agonia invest

It seems everything is in line with yesterday’s projections. Today, around 12:00 p.m. Brasília time, the #btc hit 77.6k, very close to what I had outlined. Now it should move on to 82k; so we’ll see how the next projections turn out.

Follow the clues 👣👣👣 79k ↘️ 77.5k ↗️ 82k

#BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Pessimists - Part 2: Continuing the early July post...

Ladies and gentlemen, pessimists, you lost 64k, 66k, 68k, 70k — those aren’t coming back anymore! But calm down, there’s still a probability of a correction between 77k and 73k. I’d say that currently, the chance for 77k is 75%, and 73k has a lower chance, 10% and dropping. But it’s still possible; below that, forget it—there are currently no signs that it will happen.

But nothing is impossible in the variable market, of course: suddenly, Trump says/does some more bullshit, or there’s some intensification in the war or an alien invasion — all of that can impact the market. Although, in particular, I think Trump’s bullshit and the war are already well priced in and have already given what they had to give. So, the way for those still hoping for 40k, the only option is 👽👾. Oh, and hope they come in hostile mode, because if they come in peace, they’ll also invest in BTC 🤣

it makes me want to say "suck it, Itaú", but I’m going to hold back.🫢
already it’s the 3rd cycle of BTC and the twentieth major variable market forecast that these analysts get wrong in their predictions—and there are people who still pay for it. Disgraceful.

Modesty aside, but I believe most people should follow me and read more of my articles, because they’re very well written and they keep coming to fruition some days or weeks after their predictions. That would help a lot of people, I’m sure—and it’s free. But then, who am I in this vast sea of Square publishers?

I mentioned that this time the up-and-down cycle would no longer be the same as the previous ones, because the market’s dynamics have changed completely. Today we have much more liquidity, ETFs, and other applications from major banks and institutions tied to BTC; we even have companies from countries operating, along with far more “small retail investors” than before. Not to mention the spread adjustment between brokerages and the hunt for liquidity-boosting bots. So, there is no more “a cycle of 4 years”—forget that once and for all; the market dynamics have changed everything. In my article written on July 7, I stated that we were already in the bull cycle and estimated three possible time scenarios (slow, strong, or aggressive). And if things continue as they are, we may possibly be entering the aggressive phase. (if there is no reversal) This could change all the projected time targets; that’s why, when I do an outlook, I use two targets (time and price)—whichever is reached first, I leave.

I’ve been saying since the end of June that the fund is gone, that we’ve entered a bull market, and that August would break the cycle of being historically a bad month — it’s not possible that there are still some who doubt we’re in a bull and calling this just a dead-cat bounce to go for the 40🤣.

These days ago I wrote an article about a short squeeze and commented on how the market was becoming highly leveraged, with the pessimists betting on BTC to fall. Well, today you’ve seen this in practice: this short squeeze today that occurred with BTC led to one of the largest liquidations in recent years, second only to the one from 2025. Today, more than $2.5B was liquidated within minutes.

I came back, damn, today’s forecast was spot-on. I can’t be away all day—you guys drop the BTC by more than 1000$ 🤣

today the indicators are strange, and without a clear concrete sign of which direction the market will go, my recommendation is to stay out; if anyone is going to trade, do it with extreme caution. It’s possible that BTC will correct even more strongly today before the next trend. Also, I’ll take a break—I won’t even look to avoid making mistakes. The market is like that sometimes; it’s better to stay out than to be wrong.

i am the old user kur1ng4br i just changed the name. just to be on record.

We entered August and my opinion remains the same as I cited at the end of June: that the bear market has already ended. But there are still some people who haven’t caught on yet, especially because BTC’s rises have been modest, but not the altcoins. For example, my ADA has already accumulated more than 40% since my buy recommendation at the end of June, and ETH has also gained more than 22% over that same period from the end of June until now. This doesn’t happen in a bear market. BTC is still kind of trading sideways, but I’m tired of saying this: there won’t be a new lower low than the one formed at the end of June. July was positive and August will be too, breaking the rule that it’s a negative month. People will only realize the bear is over when we reach November or December without any new lows. And BTC hasn’t taken off yet only because many are still waiting for bottoms around 40k to enter, but that won’t happen for that reason; the rally is starting slowly. Those who were going to sell already did, and those who are holding won’t undo that for now. Anyone waiting for a 40/50 bottom will end up buying later at 70/80. Maybe the next correction will be as close as 61/62 that you’ll reach, because 59 won’t come back anymore. Write it down!

This is what happens when someone who has an asset knows it’s worth far more, but those on the outside are aiming at much lower targets that won’t be reached.

The buzz going around the internet is that BTC will reach $66,700; if it hits that level and stays above it, it will go after $72,600. But if it doesn’t hit it or can’t hold above it, it will fall back below $63,000 again. Do you agree?

looks like some people are making profit in Ada and then going back to BTC 😅