$ETH - 4H | Decision Zone
$ETH is currently trading around 2,490, so the price has not yet reached the decision zone. There is no active entry at the moment.
Now the market is approaching an area of interest where the next decision will be concentrated:
FVG-D: 2,560–2,600
From here, I propose two conditioned scenarios.
SCENARIO A — SHORT
If ETH reaches the zone and then shows rejection, I would look for bearish confirmation via a 4H close below 2,560 or a bearish MSS on 15M/1H within the zone.
Execution reference: ~2,560
SL: >2,600
TP: 2,000–2,200, daily FVG zone.
Taking 2,100 as the TP reference:
Approx. R:R = 1:11.5
The trade would only make sense after price reaches the zone and confirms the rejection.
SCENARIO B — LONG
If the zone is strongly mitigated and ETH manages to close 4H above 2,600, or shows a clear bullish reaction after mitigation, the SHORT scenario would be invalidated.
Execution reference: ~2,600
SL: <2,560
TP: 2,850–2,900, upper FVG-D.
Taking 2,875 as the TP reference:
Approx. R:R = 1:6.9
In this case as well, there is no entry while the price remains below the zone.
The key point of the analysis:
I’m not trying to anticipate whether ETH will go up or down.
First, I need the price to reach 2,560–2,600.
Then:
Rejection + bearish MSS → look for SHORT.
Acceptance above + bullish reaction → consider LONG.
Until that happens, there is no confirmed setup.
The market may continue moving in any direction before reaching the zone. The plan starts only when price interacts with it.
#ETH #ETHUSD #Ethereum #smc #crypto
$ETH is currently trading around 2,490, so the price has not yet reached the decision zone. There is no active entry at the moment.
Now the market is approaching an area of interest where the next decision will be concentrated:
FVG-D: 2,560–2,600
From here, I propose two conditioned scenarios.
SCENARIO A — SHORT
If ETH reaches the zone and then shows rejection, I would look for bearish confirmation via a 4H close below 2,560 or a bearish MSS on 15M/1H within the zone.
Execution reference: ~2,560
SL: >2,600
TP: 2,000–2,200, daily FVG zone.
Taking 2,100 as the TP reference:
Approx. R:R = 1:11.5
The trade would only make sense after price reaches the zone and confirms the rejection.
SCENARIO B — LONG
If the zone is strongly mitigated and ETH manages to close 4H above 2,600, or shows a clear bullish reaction after mitigation, the SHORT scenario would be invalidated.
Execution reference: ~2,600
SL: <2,560
TP: 2,850–2,900, upper FVG-D.
Taking 2,875 as the TP reference:
Approx. R:R = 1:6.9
In this case as well, there is no entry while the price remains below the zone.
The key point of the analysis:
I’m not trying to anticipate whether ETH will go up or down.
First, I need the price to reach 2,560–2,600.
Then:
Rejection + bearish MSS → look for SHORT.
Acceptance above + bullish reaction → consider LONG.
Until that happens, there is no confirmed setup.
The market may continue moving in any direction before reaching the zone. The plan starts only when price interacts with it.
#ETH #ETHUSD #Ethereum #smc #crypto
