Chaos breaks out! BTC returns to the 200-day moving average! Standard Chartered: The 100,000 target is already conservative; aiming for $126,000 by year-end
On August 24, the crypto market saw a strong rebound over the past week. Bitcoin surged 23.5% for the week, briefly topping out near $79,000; it is currently quoted at about $77,600. This is the first time since November 2025 that it has climbed back above the 200-day moving average. Ethereum jumped 31.1% over the same period to $2,456; XRP rose even more sharply, up 53.3%, to $1.52. The total market capitalization across the entire crypto market climbed to $2.63 trillion. In the prior week, spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded total net inflows of more than $261 million.
On the macro front, the total size of U.S. Treasury debt has surpassed $40 trillion. The U.S. Treasury plans to expand its long-term bond repurchase authorization by at least one倍, raising it to $4 billion. The move is seen as a major driver behind the recent simultaneous strength in both gold and crypto assets. Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, issued a warning: if the U.S. debt situation is not reversed, there is a risk of a debt crisis erupting within the next three years. He suggests allocating about 15% to gold, with a smaller allocation to Bitcoin.
Regulatory developments are also coming fast. Trump again urged Congress to pass the CLARITY Act, pushing for a balanced version to ensure the U.S. maintains a leading advantage in the crypto sector. The bill will undergo a procedural vote in the Senate on September 15, and passage requires gathering 60 votes. Meanwhile, the SEC released a new rule proposal to establish a safe-harbor mechanism that, under certain conditions, would allow projects to issue tokens—potentially opening a financing channel for domestic crypto projects.
CFTC Chair also commented: if the CLARITY Act is blocked in the Senate, the commission will independently implement regulatory details, open up margin trading business, and study compliance protection plans for developers.
For this round of gains, analyses by firms such as Nansen suggest that short covering is one of the short-term forces behind the rally. Geoff Kendrick, head of digital assets at Standard Chartered, also updated his view: the original Bitcoin year-end target of $100,000 may be somewhat conservative. If the market continues its repair-and-recovery momentum, there may be an opportunity to challenge the $126,000 historical high within the year.
⚠️ This content is for sharing market information only and does not constitute investment advice.