$Lobster—In this 15-minute window, it directly dropped 2.66%, with volume spiking to nearly 3x. Even the close broke below the lower bound of the range of 20 five-minute K-lines.
The key point is that OI is shrinking: both the 15-minute and 1-hour OI are decreasing, and nominal changes are also moving downward. This looks more like longs are actively cutting positions and exiting, rather than shorts adding to the sell-off. The active execution spread is -29.6%, and the buy-sell ratio is 0.54—sell pressure is indeed heavier.
But there’s a detail worth noting: the OI abnormal percentile has already reached 96.8%, ranking 4th across the entire pool. This indicates that the position structure itself is already in an extreme zone. Combined with the $13M 24-hour成交额, this combination of a contraction-led decline plus deleveraging is often not a signal of a trend start, but more like a washout.
Don’t rush to chase shorts—wait for this K-line to stabilize before making a move. $Lobster
The key point is that OI is shrinking: both the 15-minute and 1-hour OI are decreasing, and nominal changes are also moving downward. This looks more like longs are actively cutting positions and exiting, rather than shorts adding to the sell-off. The active execution spread is -29.6%, and the buy-sell ratio is 0.54—sell pressure is indeed heavier.
But there’s a detail worth noting: the OI abnormal percentile has already reached 96.8%, ranking 4th across the entire pool. This indicates that the position structure itself is already in an extreme zone. Combined with the $13M 24-hour成交额, this combination of a contraction-led decline plus deleveraging is often not a signal of a trend start, but more like a washout.
Don’t rush to chase shorts—wait for this K-line to stabilize before making a move. $Lobster
