🚨📊 MARKET THOUGHTS — PLEASE READ CAREFULLY

I don’t want to be the negative one, but after being in crypto since 2014, there’s something I learned:

🧠 Market Makers know how to get Retail to enter at the wrong time.

And the funny part is that the scenarios repeat… but retail usually doesn’t learn. 😅

Now everyone is talking about:

🚀 ALT SEASON IS STARTING!

And this is exactly where I want you to be very careful. ⚠️

Yes, it’s very possible that something important has started forming—but so far, what I see on the chart is only 3 waves.

And for me, this isn’t enough to confirm that we’ve fully started a Bullish move.

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🚨 RED FLAGS AROUND US

🔴 ETH/BTC is in a very strong resistance zone.

🔴 TOTAL gave a Break of Structure, but it’s still possible to turn into Flat Structure.

🔴 BTC also has the potential to form a Flat ABC.

Most importantly:

📉 So far, we haven’t broken Wave 2’s Structure.

From the June top to the bottom, we had Wave 1—so we still need more confirmation before we can clearly say that the bigger trend has changed.

There are a lot of Red Alerts around us. 🚨

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But at the same time… I can’t ignore something very important:

🔥 BTC made a huge move from the bottom.

📈 Almost 27% of the Swing Low.

And ETH also made a very strong move.

So we can’t simply say this is just a random move.

🧠 And this is where the real game starts.

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📊 NEXT WEEKS = REALITY CHECK

In my opinion, the coming weeks will be a real Reality Check for the market.

🌊 Wave 4 may need much more time to develop.

So the question now is:

What we’re seeing is:

Wave 4 → then continuation of the drop? 📉

Or will we get a move that completely cancels the Bearish Count? 📈

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🔴 Watch USDT DOMINANCE

Also, make sure you watch USDT Dominance.

We currently have two main scenarios:

1️⃣ Wave 4, then continuation of the drop 📉

2️⃣ Or that the next move completely invalidates the entire Bearish scenario 🚀

And the current Correction in USDT Dominance could align with BTC Wave 4.

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🧠 And here is the scenario that makes me extremely cautious:

What if we make Market Makers see:

5 Waves Up 📈

And everyone starts saying:

🚀 ALT SEASON

🚀 BULL MARKET

🚀 WE ARE BACK

Then we discover that these 5 Waves Up are not the start of a big bullish wave…

Is it actually Wave C of the Bigger B? 😈

And this is where the market can surprise everyone again.

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🤯 And another very important question…

What if the Market Makers are doing something completely different?

What if they make everyone wait:

📉 4-Year Cycle

📉 30K BTC

📉 Big Crash

Then the market simply doesn’t give them that bottom and leaves them behind? 👀

And that’s exactly why I don’t want to predict the bottom based on a cycle or a specific date.

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🎯 WHAT DO WE WAIT FOR?

5 Waves Up → 3 Waves Down → Hold the Bottom.

If we get this structure, we’ll have a much stronger Confirmation. 🧠📊

We don’t want to chase the market right now.

We want to make it prove the direction first.

🔥 And the first real test for the Bulls now is:

🌊 WAVE 4

If you keep Structure correctly, it will be extremely important.

But if it fails… 🚨

We may be facing a completely different scenario.

Just thoughts running through my mind — sharing them with you.

I’m not saying the market will go down.

And I’m not saying that an Alt Season won’t start.

I’m only saying:

⚠️ There are so many scenarios around us, so don’t let excitement blind you to the risks.

🧠 Wait for the structure.

📊 Wait for confirmation.

🛡️ Trade safe.