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橙子Joyce
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橙子Joyce

价值投资者:以十年为单位投资美股及BTC.ETH.BNB.SOL.推特X:@Joyce88ai
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Dalio: U.S. debt crisis could arrive within three years—advises selling bonds, buying gold, and bitcoinBridgewater Fund founder Ray Dalio’s latest article says the U.S. annual budget deficit is as high as $2 trillion, and there is also about $10 trillion in debt that urgently needs refinancing. If the current trajectory is not changed, a debt crisis—"with a margin of error of about two years, either up or down, within three years"—could be on the way. He advises investors to cut back on bonds, raise the gold allocation to 10% to 15% of the portfolio, and hold a small amount of bitcoin to hedge risk. Bridgewater Fund founder and billionaire Ray Dalio issues a warning: the U.S. debt crisis could break out as soon as within three years, and advises investors to reduce their bond holdings, allocating 10% to 15% of their portfolio to gold. He also recommends holding a small amount of bitcoin to hedge risk.

Dalio: U.S. debt crisis could arrive within three years—advises selling bonds, buying gold, and bitcoin

Bridgewater Fund founder Ray Dalio’s latest article says the U.S. annual budget deficit is as high as $2 trillion, and there is also about $10 trillion in debt that urgently needs refinancing. If the current trajectory is not changed, a debt crisis—"with a margin of error of about two years, either up or down, within three years"—could be on the way. He advises investors to cut back on bonds, raise the gold allocation to 10% to 15% of the portfolio, and hold a small amount of bitcoin to hedge risk.
Bridgewater Fund founder and billionaire Ray Dalio issues a warning: the U.S. debt crisis could break out as soon as within three years, and advises investors to reduce their bond holdings, allocating 10% to 15% of their portfolio to gold. He also recommends holding a small amount of bitcoin to hedge risk.
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On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography. Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic. Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process. Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography.

Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive

Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic.

Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process.

Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
橙子Joyce
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On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography.

Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive

Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic.

Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process.

Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
橙子Joyce
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On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography.

Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive

Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic.

Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process.

Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
橙子Joyce
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On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography.

Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive

Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic.

Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process.

Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
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The biggest suspense after Apple’s leadership change in September: Will it really spend big to buy an AI giant?
Apple’s hardware chief John Ternus will take over as CEO this September from Tim Cook. Under the Tim Cook era, Apple was known for its scale and execution strength, but in the AI arms race it has seemed overly conservative. With the baton handoff in September, Wall Street is betting on whether the new boss can lead the world’s second-largest company through a truly meaningful strategic transformation.
Bank of America analyst Wamsi Mohan, in a recent research note, raised a key question: “Can Apple transition from an era driven by scale and execution to a new era driven by AI innovation?” This question has directly sparked market imagination about Apple’s future strategic direction.
橙子Joyce
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On August 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin published a new article, “Obfuscation (Part Three): Local Mixing,” introducing a cryptographic obfuscation technique being explored—“Local Mixing”—and suggesting it could become a new foundational tool for cryptography after elliptic curves, RSA, and lattice cryptography.

Vitalik publishes “Local Mixing” cryptography research: exploring next-generation obfuscation techniques, or becoming a new type of cryptographic base primitive

Vitalik said that today’s mainstream obfuscation techniques mainly rely on complex mathematical assumptions, but they often come with extremely high computational overhead. Local mixing uses an entirely different approach: it does not rely on elliptic curves, large-integer factorization, or lattice cryptography. Instead, it draws on experience from symmetric cryptography and hash function design—by continuously scrambling, restructuring, and hiding circuit structures, it eliminates information leakage while keeping functionality unchanged. The main steps in local mixing include reversibility, hardening, mixing, splitting, crossing walk, and “gadgetization.” By adding random structures to circuits, rearranging logic gates, and introducing nonlinear hiding mechanisms, it becomes difficult for an attacker to recover the original computation logic.

Vitalik noted that the technique is still in an early stage; its security has not yet been validated through long-term testing and it faces challenges such as random attacks and linear analysis. However, he believes that local mixing represents a completely new direction for cryptographic exploration, with the goal of building more efficient indistinguishability obfuscation (iO) schemes. If local mixing breakthroughs are achieved, it could lead to new post-quantum public-key encryption solutions and accelerate the development of general-purpose obfuscation technologies. At present, the field still requires years of cryptanalysis and optimization validation, but AI-assisted research may significantly speed up the maturation process.

Vitalik also said that obfuscation techniques are viewed as the “last frontier” of cryptography because, in theory, other cryptographic primitives can be constructed based on obfuscation and one-way functions. Local mixing could not only reduce the cost of traditional obfuscation schemes, but also become an important direction for future cryptographic infrastructure.
【Anthropic is expected to match or exceed SpaceX’s IPO record】 Previously, reports said that Anthropic’s preliminary revenue in the second quarter exceeded $11.5 billion, while it was only $787 million in the same period of 2025. By the end of July, the company’s annualized revenue run rate had reached $65 billion. According to people familiar with the matter, the AI company Anthropic expects its IPO size to match or exceed the record set by SpaceX. As the AI company accelerates its preparations for going public, a mega-IPO is being lined up. The people familiar with the matter said that Anthropic is conducting related calculations and preparing to file for a potentially large IPO as early as later this month. They added that a recent investor communications meeting chaired by Chief Financial Officer Klao avoided discussing valuation. Data shows that at the time of its IPO, SpaceX—an aerospace company for rockets and satellites—raised $75 billion, becoming the largest initial public offering in history. Because it exercised so-called over-allotment options, the figure ultimately rose to $86.2 billion. This mechanism is typically triggered in the early period after the stock begins trading. Anthropic’s target reflects how leading companies in the AI industry are reshaping the tech investment landscape in an extremely short time. Previously, reports said that Anthropic’s preliminary revenue in the second quarter exceeded $11.5 billion, while it was only $787 million in the same period of 2025. By the end of July, the company’s annualized revenue run rate had reached $65 billion.
【Anthropic is expected to match or exceed SpaceX’s IPO record】

Previously, reports said that Anthropic’s preliminary revenue in the second quarter exceeded $11.5 billion, while it was only $787 million in the same period of 2025. By the end of July, the company’s annualized revenue run rate had reached $65 billion.

According to people familiar with the matter, the AI company Anthropic expects its IPO size to match or exceed the record set by SpaceX. As the AI company accelerates its preparations for going public, a mega-IPO is being lined up. The people familiar with the matter said that Anthropic is conducting related calculations and preparing to file for a potentially large IPO as early as later this month. They added that a recent investor communications meeting chaired by Chief Financial Officer Klao avoided discussing valuation. Data shows that at the time of its IPO, SpaceX—an aerospace company for rockets and satellites—raised $75 billion, becoming the largest initial public offering in history. Because it exercised so-called over-allotment options, the figure ultimately rose to $86.2 billion. This mechanism is typically triggered in the early period after the stock begins trading. Anthropic’s target reflects how leading companies in the AI industry are reshaping the tech investment landscape in an extremely short time. Previously, reports said that Anthropic’s preliminary revenue in the second quarter exceeded $11.5 billion, while it was only $787 million in the same period of 2025. By the end of July, the company’s annualized revenue run rate had reached $65 billion.
Article
SpaceX has an AI advantage that OpenAI and Anthropic cannot replicateSince 2002, every rocket test and engineering project completed by aerospace giant SpaceX (SPCX) could now be used as training material for artificial intelligence (AI). This makes it far more appealing than simply merging with xAI, which is much more than just a merger between two companies owned by Musk. In fact, according to Musk, Grok 4.7 is currently undergoing additional training using a large amount of SpaceX data, and Grok 5 is expected to use the company’s complete historical dataset. If everything goes according to plan, SpaceX could provide Grok with engineering training that competitors such as OpenAI and Anthropic cannot replicate on their own.

SpaceX has an AI advantage that OpenAI and Anthropic cannot replicate

Since 2002, every rocket test and engineering project completed by aerospace giant SpaceX (SPCX) could now be used as training material for artificial intelligence (AI). This makes it far more appealing than simply merging with xAI, which is much more than just a merger between two companies owned by Musk. In fact, according to Musk, Grok 4.7 is currently undergoing additional training using a large amount of SpaceX data, and Grok 5 is expected to use the company’s complete historical dataset. If everything goes according to plan, SpaceX could provide Grok with engineering training that competitors such as OpenAI and Anthropic cannot replicate on their own.
[Micron Launches Micron Research Laboratory; to Invest $10 Billion Over the Next Decade] Micron Technology announced the establishment of the Micron Research Laboratory, planning to invest $10 billion over the next ten years. The center will bring together customers, academia, government, and the broader semiconductor ecosystem to explore breakthrough results beyond current technology roadmaps, building on Micron’s technology and manufacturing leadership. Key research areas include critical memory technologies, advanced memory and computing architectures, packaging, and future semiconductor manufacturing. As the first research center of its kind in the United States dedicated to memory research, the Micron Research Laboratory will be anchored by the Boise flagship campus, supporting advanced research across cross-critical technology domains. The investment plan will also fund extensive university collaborations, global satellite laboratories, and deep ecosystem partnerships, building an interconnected research network focused on next-generation technologies for the AI era.
[Micron Launches Micron Research Laboratory; to Invest $10 Billion Over the Next Decade] Micron Technology announced the establishment of the Micron Research Laboratory, planning to invest $10 billion over the next ten years. The center will bring together customers, academia, government, and the broader semiconductor ecosystem to explore breakthrough results beyond current technology roadmaps, building on Micron’s technology and manufacturing leadership. Key research areas include critical memory technologies, advanced memory and computing architectures, packaging, and future semiconductor manufacturing. As the first research center of its kind in the United States dedicated to memory research, the Micron Research Laboratory will be anchored by the Boise flagship campus, supporting advanced research across cross-critical technology domains. The investment plan will also fund extensive university collaborations, global satellite laboratories, and deep ecosystem partnerships, building an interconnected research network focused on next-generation technologies for the AI era.
Partly True
Article
Over the past 40 years, it has never "turned hawkish in the second half of an election year"—is this time "different" for the Fed?The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes from July suggest a hawkish tilt that shows more than just three members favoring rate hikes. The bond market turmoil has also prompted speculation about "passive rate hikes"—will the Federal Reserve break a 40-year historical pattern in the second half of an election year and turn hawkish against the trend? Current market pricing indicates that the probability the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points before the October 2026 FOMC meeting is about 55%, reflecting concerns about stubbornly high inflation and the market’s worries—after the July policy meeting—about the Fed’s credibility in fighting inflation. However, according to Nomura’s latest research report, recent inflation data has clearly cooled off. In June, the core PCE month-on-month increase was only 0.132%, and the July CPI and PPI data also point to another relatively moderate reading. Objectively, this gives the Federal Reserve "room to wait." Nomura maintains its baseline forecast that the Fed will keep rates on hold.

Over the past 40 years, it has never "turned hawkish in the second half of an election year"—is this time "different" for the Fed?

The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes from July suggest a hawkish tilt that shows more than just three members favoring rate hikes. The bond market turmoil has also prompted speculation about "passive rate hikes"—will the Federal Reserve break a 40-year historical pattern in the second half of an election year and turn hawkish against the trend?
Current market pricing indicates that the probability the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points before the October 2026 FOMC meeting is about 55%, reflecting concerns about stubbornly high inflation and the market’s worries—after the July policy meeting—about the Fed’s credibility in fighting inflation. However, according to Nomura’s latest research report, recent inflation data has clearly cooled off. In June, the core PCE month-on-month increase was only 0.132%, and the July CPI and PPI data also point to another relatively moderate reading. Objectively, this gives the Federal Reserve "room to wait." Nomura maintains its baseline forecast that the Fed will keep rates on hold.
Verified
Article
U.S. Federal Debt First Surpasses $40 Trillion! Minutes of the Fed Meeting: Do More Officials Think Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed?U.S. federal debt first tops $40 trillion, with interest expense reaching $1.17 trillion this year U.S. Treasury Department data shows that as of Tuesday’s close, the outstanding balance of U.S. public debt rose to $40.05 trillion, marking the first time it has crossed the $40 trillion mark. It is less than five years since it surpassed $30 trillion in January 2022. So far this fiscal year, federal interest expense has reached $1.17 trillion, up 15% year over year, becoming the third-largest federal spending item after Medicare and Social Security. Previously, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced an expansion of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond repurchase program. After the news was released, Treasury yields fell. More recently, auction yields for the 30-year and 10-year Treasury notes have risen to levels not seen in about 25 years and since 2007, respectively.

U.S. Federal Debt First Surpasses $40 Trillion! Minutes of the Fed Meeting: Do More Officials Think Further Rate Hikes May Be Needed?

U.S. federal debt first tops $40 trillion, with interest expense reaching $1.17 trillion this year
U.S. Treasury Department data shows that as of Tuesday’s close, the outstanding balance of U.S. public debt rose to $40.05 trillion, marking the first time it has crossed the $40 trillion mark. It is less than five years since it surpassed $30 trillion in January 2022. So far this fiscal year, federal interest expense has reached $1.17 trillion, up 15% year over year, becoming the third-largest federal spending item after Medicare and Social Security. Previously, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced an expansion of the long-term U.S. Treasury bond repurchase program. After the news was released, Treasury yields fell. More recently, auction yields for the 30-year and 10-year Treasury notes have risen to levels not seen in about 25 years and since 2007, respectively.
Article
Is the crypto market finally “bullish”? Bitcoin suddenly surges, briefly breaks $70,000—how should it be interpreted?On Wednesday in U.S. Eastern Time, BTC suddenly rebounded strongly. The price hit a high of $70,059.9, the highest level since early June, and it also recorded the largest single-day gain since March. As the market quickly reversed, a large number of shorts were forced to cover, triggering the biggest wave of Bitcoin short liquidations since 2021, based on available records. According to Coinglass data, within just about an hour, more than $1 billion worth of Bitcoin short positions were forcibly liquidated. Bitcoin had been falling for months, at one point dropping to just over $60,000, while bearish sentiment continued to build. As the price suddenly turned upward, large amounts of passive buy orders generated by short-covering further pushed the coin’s price higher, forming a typical “short squeeze” pattern.

Is the crypto market finally “bullish”? Bitcoin suddenly surges, briefly breaks $70,000—how should it be interpreted?

On Wednesday in U.S. Eastern Time, BTC suddenly rebounded strongly. The price hit a high of $70,059.9, the highest level since early June, and it also recorded the largest single-day gain since March. As the market quickly reversed, a large number of shorts were forced to cover, triggering the biggest wave of Bitcoin short liquidations since 2021, based on available records.
According to Coinglass data, within just about an hour, more than $1 billion worth of Bitcoin short positions were forcibly liquidated. Bitcoin had been falling for months, at one point dropping to just over $60,000, while bearish sentiment continued to build. As the price suddenly turned upward, large amounts of passive buy orders generated by short-covering further pushed the coin’s price higher, forming a typical “short squeeze” pattern.
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Bullish
Verified
The U.S. Treasury steps in to support the market, pushing down the U.S. Treasury yields that have been pressuring global stock markets. The U.S. Treasury announced that it will at least double the size of its buyback program for long-term Treasury bonds. After the news broke, the prices of ultra-long Treasury bonds issued by the U.S. government surged sharply. The backdrop to this move is that global long-term bond markets have recently suffered large-scale selling, and the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly spiked to the highest level since 2007 on Monday. At the same time, traders are preparing for a new issuance auction of $16 billion worth of 20-year Treasury notes scheduled to take place soon. In a statement, the U.S. Treasury said, “By increasing the size of the repurchase operations, the Treasury aims to provide stronger liquidity support for the long-dated nominal Treasury market. Within these maturity ranges, market participants have consistently demonstrated strong and stable appetite, which is evidenced by the large volume of high-quality bids the Treasury regularly receives in its long-dated Treasury repurchase operations.” Under the accelerated repurchase plan, the Treasury will focus on repurchasing Treasuries in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year maturity ranges. Since the end of June, the U.S. Treasury markets in these maturities have been plagued by a “buyer walkout,” with investors’ willingness to take on the bonds clearly lacking. According to the Treasury’s announcement, the government will increase the maximum size of each repurchase operation “by at least” double—from $2 billion to “at least” $4 billion. #黄金 #silver
The U.S. Treasury steps in to support the market, pushing down the U.S. Treasury yields that have been pressuring global stock markets. The U.S. Treasury announced that it will at least double the size of its buyback program for long-term Treasury bonds. After the news broke, the prices of ultra-long Treasury bonds issued by the U.S. government surged sharply. The backdrop to this move is that global long-term bond markets have recently suffered large-scale selling, and the yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly spiked to the highest level since 2007 on Monday. At the same time, traders are preparing for a new issuance auction of $16 billion worth of 20-year Treasury notes scheduled to take place soon. In a statement, the U.S. Treasury said, “By increasing the size of the repurchase operations, the Treasury aims to provide stronger liquidity support for the long-dated nominal Treasury market. Within these maturity ranges, market participants have consistently demonstrated strong and stable appetite, which is evidenced by the large volume of high-quality bids the Treasury regularly receives in its long-dated Treasury repurchase operations.” Under the accelerated repurchase plan, the Treasury will focus on repurchasing Treasuries in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year maturity ranges. Since the end of June, the U.S. Treasury markets in these maturities have been plagued by a “buyer walkout,” with investors’ willingness to take on the bonds clearly lacking. According to the Treasury’s announcement, the government will increase the maximum size of each repurchase operation “by at least” double—from $2 billion to “at least” $4 billion.
#黄金
#silver
A single greeting, carries the tenderness of Qixi; a blessing, is the softness of Qixi. May all the deep feelings in this world not be let down, may all true love be cherished well, and may every rush of pursuit be met with the gentlest echoes. 🐦‍🔥🐲🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹
A single greeting, carries the tenderness of Qixi; a blessing, is the softness of Qixi. May all the deep feelings in this world not be let down, may all true love be cherished well, and may every rush of pursuit be met with the gentlest echoes. 🐦‍🔥🐲🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹🌹
JPMorgan Conducts On-Site Research on Tesla: Two Core Narratives—Robotaxi and Optimus—Their Commercialization Path Is Gradually Becoming Clear. The expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi fleet will see a clear acceleration from late 2026 to early 2027, with the key trigger already identified: the in-year release of FSD v15. For Optimus, the Gen 3 design has been finalized, the supply chain is largely locked in, and after the start of mass production (SoP), the initial deployment target is to enter the “Optimus Academy” training phase in the second half of 2026, with external commercial sales achieved as early as the second half of 2027. Tesla’s two core narratives—scaling up Robotaxi deployments and commercializing Optimus humanoid robots—are moving from concept to an execution path that can be quantified. JPMorgan recently carried out an on-site research visit at Tesla’s Fremont factory and held meetings with the company’s investor relations team. Overall, the analysts gave positive assessments of the advancement pace for the two business lines, believing that both are broadly aligned with the timeline previously disclosed by management. According to a JPMorgan report, the key trigger for expanding the Robotaxi fleet has been clearly pinned to the in-year launch of FSD v15. Management said that technical validation work for a small-scale Cybercab test fleet is continuing, and about 40% of the core v15 technical modules have already been tested in the Robotaxi fleet, with initial feedback described as positive; At the same time, the company intends to control the number of Model Y units converted to the Robotaxi fleet, indicating confidence in the near-term ability to deliver Cybercab at scale. For Optimus, the Gen 3 design has been finalized, the supply chain is largely locked in, and production lines are being installed at the Fremont factory. After mass production starts (SoP), the initial deployment target is to enter the “Optimus Academy” training phase in the second half of 2026, with external commercial sales as early as the second half of 2027. JPMorgan maintains a Neutral rating on Tesla with a target price of $445. At the time the report was published, the stock price was $339.30. The analysts’ view is that the expansion of the Robotaxi fleet will accelerate noticeably from late 2026 to early 2027; the Optimus commercialization path is clear, and an improving FSD penetration rate, together with a lineup of new vehicle models, will support a near-term rebound in demand. Robotaxi scaling up: FSD v15 is the key switch Optimus: Production line installation underway; commercialization path in three stages FSD: From configuration options to the core driver of purchasing Demand recovery coexists with pressure on gross margins
JPMorgan Conducts On-Site Research on Tesla: Two Core Narratives—Robotaxi and Optimus—Their Commercialization Path Is Gradually Becoming Clear.

The expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi fleet will see a clear acceleration from late 2026 to early 2027, with the key trigger already identified: the in-year release of FSD v15. For Optimus, the Gen 3 design has been finalized, the supply chain is largely locked in, and after the start of mass production (SoP), the initial deployment target is to enter the “Optimus Academy” training phase in the second half of 2026, with external commercial sales achieved as early as the second half of 2027.

Tesla’s two core narratives—scaling up Robotaxi deployments and commercializing Optimus humanoid robots—are moving from concept to an execution path that can be quantified. JPMorgan recently carried out an on-site research visit at Tesla’s Fremont factory and held meetings with the company’s investor relations team. Overall, the analysts gave positive assessments of the advancement pace for the two business lines, believing that both are broadly aligned with the timeline previously disclosed by management.

According to a JPMorgan report, the key trigger for expanding the Robotaxi fleet has been clearly pinned to the in-year launch of FSD v15. Management said that technical validation work for a small-scale Cybercab test fleet is continuing, and about 40% of the core v15 technical modules have already been tested in the Robotaxi fleet, with initial feedback described as positive;

At the same time, the company intends to control the number of Model Y units converted to the Robotaxi fleet, indicating confidence in the near-term ability to deliver Cybercab at scale.

For Optimus, the Gen 3 design has been finalized, the supply chain is largely locked in, and production lines are being installed at the Fremont factory. After mass production starts (SoP), the initial deployment target is to enter the “Optimus Academy” training phase in the second half of 2026, with external commercial sales as early as the second half of 2027.

JPMorgan maintains a Neutral rating on Tesla with a target price of $445. At the time the report was published, the stock price was $339.30. The analysts’ view is that the expansion of the Robotaxi fleet will accelerate noticeably from late 2026 to early 2027; the Optimus commercialization path is clear, and an improving FSD penetration rate, together with a lineup of new vehicle models, will support a near-term rebound in demand.

Robotaxi scaling up: FSD v15 is the key switch

Optimus: Production line installation underway; commercialization path in three stages

FSD: From configuration options to the core driver of purchasing

Demand recovery coexists with pressure on gross margins
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Global attention! The Fed meeting minutes hit at 2:00 a.m. tonight—can they curb the “U.S. bond storm”?① At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will release the minutes of its July monetary policy meeting; ② With Fed Chair Walsh reducing communications with the outside world and the U.S. Treasury selloff wave escalating, the significance of these minutes has become increasingly evident. At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its July monetary policy meeting. This will be the second set of minutes released since Fed Chair Kevin Walsh took office. Against the backdrop of the Fed cutting back on external communication, the importance of these minutes has become even more pronounced. Investors who are urgently seeking incremental information are hoping to glean more clues about the Federal Reserve’s rate path from this document.

Global attention! The Fed meeting minutes hit at 2:00 a.m. tonight—can they curb the “U.S. bond storm”?

① At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Fed will release the minutes of its July monetary policy meeting; ② With Fed Chair Walsh reducing communications with the outside world and the U.S. Treasury selloff wave escalating, the significance of these minutes has become increasingly evident.
At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its July monetary policy meeting. This will be the second set of minutes released since Fed Chair Kevin Walsh took office.
Against the backdrop of the Fed cutting back on external communication, the importance of these minutes has become even more pronounced. Investors who are urgently seeking incremental information are hoping to glean more clues about the Federal Reserve’s rate path from this document.
AI companies reach out for help: OpenAI records computer actions, while Google uses uploaded content to train AI. Axios begins investigating what user data AI companies are actually collecting. The findings show that chat logs aren’t enough anymore. Now they also want to know what you click on your computer, what photos you upload, and what content you’ve viewed—then use that data for memory, personalization, and advertising. OpenAI has added Computer History. Once Mac users manually enable it, ChatGPT and Codex can record your clicks, inputs, and switches within specific apps and websites, gradually building a long-term work memory about you. The feature is turned off by default; it doesn’t record your screen or audio. OpenAI says temporary action logs won’t be used to train its models. Google is even more aggressive. A new Search Services History will save images, documents, and audio/video that users upload through services like Lens, Search Live, and Translate—and it can also be used to train generative AI. For accounts that meet the criteria, it’s enabled by default; if you want to opt out, you have to do it yourself. Even some data that is later unlinked from an account may be retained for up to 4 years after entering the training process. Advertising has kept up too. Meta will use users’ interactions with Meta AI to adjust the content and ads on Facebook and Instagram; OpenAI and Google are also exploring ad models for chatbots. The better AI understands you, the more detailed the “portrait” the ad system has in its hands. What used to be a concern was that chat logs would be used for training. Now, even how you work on your computer—and what you throw into Google—has started to become data in the hands of AI companies.
AI companies reach out for help: OpenAI records computer actions, while Google uses uploaded content to train AI.

Axios begins investigating what user data AI companies are actually collecting.

The findings show that chat logs aren’t enough anymore. Now they also want to know what you click on your computer, what photos you upload, and what content you’ve viewed—then use that data for memory, personalization, and advertising.

OpenAI has added Computer History. Once Mac users manually enable it, ChatGPT and Codex can record your clicks, inputs, and switches within specific apps and websites, gradually building a long-term work memory about you. The feature is turned off by default; it doesn’t record your screen or audio. OpenAI says temporary action logs won’t be used to train its models.

Google is even more aggressive. A new Search Services History will save images, documents, and audio/video that users upload through services like Lens, Search Live, and Translate—and it can also be used to train generative AI. For accounts that meet the criteria, it’s enabled by default; if you want to opt out, you have to do it yourself. Even some data that is later unlinked from an account may be retained for up to 4 years after entering the training process.

Advertising has kept up too. Meta will use users’ interactions with Meta AI to adjust the content and ads on Facebook and Instagram; OpenAI and Google are also exploring ad models for chatbots. The better AI understands you, the more detailed the “portrait” the ad system has in its hands.

What used to be a concern was that chat logs would be used for training. Now, even how you work on your computer—and what you throw into Google—has started to become data in the hands of AI companies.
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No matter whether open-source AI wins or closed-source AI wins, cybersecurity will be the ultimate winner! Palo Alto and CrowdStrike seize the windfall of the AI inference era!The Wall Street financial giant Wells Fargo Bank recently released a research report stating that cybersecurity supergiant $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ and $Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$ are seeing momentum in growth of orders for cybersecurity software products driven by the rapid expansion of the AI inference market. After AI moves into the stage of large-scale, massive inference and AI intelligent agent-style workflows (Agentic AI), cybersecurity demand is not simply likely to accelerate growth by “updating and iterating alongside cutting-edge AI technologies.” Instead, it may see a structural incremental expansion far beyond traditional IT spending.

No matter whether open-source AI wins or closed-source AI wins, cybersecurity will be the ultimate winner! Palo Alto and CrowdStrike seize the windfall of the AI inference era!

The Wall Street financial giant Wells Fargo Bank recently released a research report stating that cybersecurity supergiant $CrowdStrike (CRWD.US)$ and $Palo Alto Networks (PANW.US)$ are seeing momentum in growth of orders for cybersecurity software products driven by the rapid expansion of the AI inference market. After AI moves into the stage of large-scale, massive inference and AI intelligent agent-style workflows (Agentic AI), cybersecurity demand is not simply likely to accelerate growth by “updating and iterating alongside cutting-edge AI technologies.” Instead, it may see a structural incremental expansion far beyond traditional IT spending.
PANWUS+0.11%
CRWDUS-0.48%
ZSUS-0.12%
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Global Super-Rich Pile Into SpaceX (SPCX.US) Collectively—More Than a Dozen Family Offices Hold at Least $3.8 Billion!Super-rich families of billionaires in the United States and across the globe are making large bets on SpaceX (SPCX.US). The latest regulatory filings show that several family offices from the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East have already built SpaceX holdings worth billions of dollars, indicating that ultra-wealthy investors—backed by strong capital—are increasingly occupying an important position in popular investment opportunities. According to an aggregation of media reports on second-quarter 13F regulatory filings, as of the end of June, the family office of Nick Pritzker, the heir to the Hyatt Hotels fortune, held about $1.8 billion worth of SpaceX shares. At that time, it had been only a few weeks since SpaceX completed its initial public offering, and the company’s business spans rocket launches, satellite communications, and artificial intelligence, among other areas. Other super-rich individuals have also built substantial positions.

Global Super-Rich Pile Into SpaceX (SPCX.US) Collectively—More Than a Dozen Family Offices Hold at Least $3.8 Billion!

Super-rich families of billionaires in the United States and across the globe are making large bets on SpaceX (SPCX.US). The latest regulatory filings show that several family offices from the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East have already built SpaceX holdings worth billions of dollars, indicating that ultra-wealthy investors—backed by strong capital—are increasingly occupying an important position in popular investment opportunities. According to an aggregation of media reports on second-quarter 13F regulatory filings, as of the end of June, the family office of Nick Pritzker, the heir to the Hyatt Hotels fortune, held about $1.8 billion worth of SpaceX shares. At that time, it had been only a few weeks since SpaceX completed its initial public offering, and the company’s business spans rocket launches, satellite communications, and artificial intelligence, among other areas. Other super-rich individuals have also built substantial positions.
SPCXB+2.42%
TSLAUS+0.06%
AMZNUS+0.26%
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