At 2 a.m., I watched BTC refresh the screen from 72,640. In my mind, there was only one sentence: This isn’t a rally—this is a cleanup.
BTC is currently trading at $72,640, up +4.34% in the past 24 hours. ETH is currently trading at $2,314, up +1.68% in the past 24 hours.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
The Van Tian system shows that BTC is currently in the BEAR_RECOVERY regime, while ETH is in CHOP_MID. In other words—BTC is struggling to climb out of the pit, and ETH is still rolling around in the mud. These two words are the most important: RECOVERY, not BULL. In a bear market, rebounds have force, but they don’t have conviction.
━━━ Trading Mindset ━━━
When it’s up 4%, your greed starts to wake up. You begin to fantasize, “This time is different.” But I’ve seen too many of these markets: it’s precisely when emotions are at their loosest that you should tighten discipline the most. The market never rewards people who follow their feelings.
━━━ Strategy Direction ━━━
Under the BEAR_RECOVERY regime, if you go long, keep your position light and wait for pullback confirmation. Don’t chase—wait for the structure. ETH’s CHOP isn’t suitable for grid trading; wait for a directional breakout before saying anything. The right positioning for today should have been set up yesterday.
#BTC #ETH #合约交易 #姓赵不宣
BTC is currently trading at $72,640, up +4.34% in the past 24 hours. ETH is currently trading at $2,314, up +1.68% in the past 24 hours.
━━━ Regime Assessment ━━━
The Van Tian system shows that BTC is currently in the BEAR_RECOVERY regime, while ETH is in CHOP_MID. In other words—BTC is struggling to climb out of the pit, and ETH is still rolling around in the mud. These two words are the most important: RECOVERY, not BULL. In a bear market, rebounds have force, but they don’t have conviction.
━━━ Trading Mindset ━━━
When it’s up 4%, your greed starts to wake up. You begin to fantasize, “This time is different.” But I’ve seen too many of these markets: it’s precisely when emotions are at their loosest that you should tighten discipline the most. The market never rewards people who follow their feelings.
━━━ Strategy Direction ━━━
Under the BEAR_RECOVERY regime, if you go long, keep your position light and wait for pullback confirmation. Don’t chase—wait for the structure. ETH’s CHOP isn’t suitable for grid trading; wait for a directional breakout before saying anything. The right positioning for today should have been set up yesterday.
#BTC #ETH #合约交易 #姓赵不宣