SUI is currently around 0.7265u and has pulled in more than 10 points within the past 24 hours. First, the conclusion: this wave is real money coming in. I acknowledge the direction is bullish for now, but I won’t chase at this level.

The bullish evidence is pretty solid. Over the last 3 hours, spot net inflows have been consistently positive. All 12 candles have net inflows; aggressive buys have pushed sell orders down to more than 3x. Volume has expanded to more than 2x the average. MACD has also formed a golden cross. In terms of sentiment, KOLs are basically one-sidedly leaning bullish, and news about on-chain transaction infrastructure and tokenized product rollouts is also heating up. This isn’t a short squeeze pump—this is money moving in.

The issue lies in the level and positioning. Price has already pushed right up to the 24-hour high, and the next level up is the 0.735 resistance. At this point, the moves by big players are a bit interesting: the proportion of long positions on big-holder accounts is still increasing, but their actual holdings ratio has shrunk a lot. In the past 15 minutes, large orders have even started net outflow, and on the order book the sell wall is thicker than the buy wall. In plain terms: retail sentiment is heating up, while those who already hold coins are gradually reducing.

Technically, it’s not fully aligned either. Price has reclaimed the 10-day moving average, but the 50-day and 200-day lines are still overhead pressing down. The higher-timeframe trend hasn’t fully flipped yet. ADX is still in a transition zone, and trend strength hasn’t been confirmed. The good news is the fee rate is still sitting around 0.01%, not overheated—bulls aren’t crowded yet.

So my stance: slightly bullish, but chasing here isn’t great on risk-reward. If it goes up, do it with a small position for trial and error. The comfortable way is to wait for a pullback, and see whether it can hold near 0.70. If it holds, then consider adding.

#sui $SUI