Where are we going in the future—so what, bulls run like that?
The 13th and 14th are an excellent time to get in. At this point, it’s the moment when people are basically cutting ties—it’s the start of an entry opportunity. All the emotions have just been ignited. On the 15th, 16th, and 17th, if it experiences a big surge, and then after it hits the Alpha, there will be a small pullback because the good news has already played out—then comes bad news. But later, it’s affected by the current U.S. government’s many measures piling on top of each other, and that “fortunate effects” response tied to its name causes it to rise again.

My personal prediction is that in the short term it will go through a drop—there will definitely be a drop. Because this round has risen very sharply, there will be a wave of profit-taking that gets offloaded. However, there are still a few moves it hasn’t completed yet. This market cycle hasn’t finished. First, its spot—its contracts, and so on—haven’t been listed yet. It hasn’t launched spot yet, so before spot launches, it definitely still has another round of momentum. Second, there’s the more discretionary/random part. That means there could be certain events—for example, abroad, if that movie explodes in popularity again, that’s an overseas event, etc.—which could cause a second wave of上涨 (rally). The second rally is more random. But the first rally is definitely—and there will be another event.

This current market cycle absolutely hasn’t finished yet. Let’s analyze it: basically, every time something rallies hard—each “m e me,” roughly speaking—it goes through the same pattern: a first wave of explosive surge and pull-up, then a bit of decline, then it hits Alpha, then it goes into contracts and spot listings, and so on. It’s basically like that. Only after all those moves finish does this cycle end. But that’s just the deterministic part. After that, there are also some parts that are uncertain—like BI life. Later it rose again because of CZ’s new book. Then it’s like Niu Lai again—Niu Lai, it may also catch fire once more because of some overseas movies or even a book titled Niu Lai, and then it could rise another wave.
#牛来 #FOMC会议纪要 $Niu Lai $BTC