1. Capital situation
4H/8H Level: Still in a net outflow state (4H outflow -$67,400, 8H outflow -$243,500), indicating that medium to long-term profit-takers and panic sellers are still clearing out, and the previous selling pressure remains.
1H Level: A sudden change, net inflow +$47,400, with a net inflow change rate as high as 294.72%.
Conclusion: Major funds are attempting to replenish in the short term, or in other words, someone is starting to place buy orders in the $40-$45 range. The selling pressure from the larger cycle is being gradually digested by the buying from the smaller cycle.
2. The extreme contraction of the volume-price relationship
The price has dropped from 75 all the way down to around 40, with the first half being a volume surge drop (panic sellers exiting), but pay attention to the recent 4-8 hours of trends—prices are consolidating, and the trading volume is visibly shrinking.
Volume contraction at the bottom is often more real than a volume expansion rebound.
This means that the people who cut losses have finished selling, those who want to buy are still observing, and exhausted selling is the first element of a reversal.
3. The game on the contract side
The contract funds at the 5-minute level have started to turn positive (net inflow of $79,700), although the amount is not large, it represents that the very short-term speculative sentiment is recovering. This is not a signal for a major attack, but a sign for tentative long positions to enter.
Personal opinion
$RIVER Currently in a typical left-side bottoming area.
Positive signal: Main force returns at the 1-hour level, volume exhausted, support levels at 40-45 are effective.
Risk point: The outflow at the 4H level has not been completely reversed, caution is needed as the main force may use contract funds for 'inducing more' before a second bottom.
The aggressive party can focus on the range of $43-$45, as long as the 1H capital flow remains positive, this is an excellent point for risk-reward ratio.
The conservative party suggests waiting for a strong bullish candle to break through, confirming that the 4H level funds have turned positive before entering on the right side.
Data doesn't lie, but don't blindly trust a single indicator. Do good risk control. DYOR.
