$BTC The truth about the cryptocurrency market, there has always been only one condition for the real bull market to start!!
Do you know what the starting condition is for each round of the bull market?
First, the conclusion is that it is currently a bear market.
Many people who are eager to buy the dip have overlooked a huge trap!!
First, look at the chart:
This dead cross on the MACD monthly chart marks the beginning of the bear market. On the monthly chart, it will take a full cycle to turn back to a golden cross.
The last dead cross was during the 2021 bear market. This is easy to understand, right?
Then the key point:
Many people always follow the words of the Federal Reserve, exchanges, and celebrities to judge whether it’s a bull or bear market.
This is all wrong.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and CZ's promises can only be seen as partial good news. They can be played or shorted.
These are all smoke bombs thrown out by the upper echelons to manipulate the market. They are used to harvest retail investors.
The real condition for starting a bull market
For so many years, there has only been one. That is 【Bitcoin halving】.
The biggest benefit for Bitcoin is still the halving; everything else is superficial and variable.
Like the so-called experts: they may issue good news today, but tomorrow could be bad news.
These cannot serve as the basis for judging a bull market; they can only be references for partial entry.
So the next halving will be in 2027.
Combined with the current MACD monthly dead cross, we can pay attention to the entry period at the end of 2026.
The beginning of 2026 may bring about a volatile market.
During the Spring Festival, and the liquidity brought by the beginning of the year, there may be a rebound.
