大仁Jaron
221 Posts
大仁Jaron
Wb3项目投研｜AI研究员｜推特X: @Jaron2277
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Frequent Trader
3.6 Years
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On August 20, after a long period of quiet, the crypto market tonight saw a strong surge. According to HTX data, Bitcoin briefly rose and broke above $69,000, up about 5.7% over the past 24 hours; Ethereum briefly broke above $2,100, up about 8.8% over the past 24 hours. The total crypto market capitalization rose to about $2.4 trillion, up about 4.7% in 24 hours.
In recent days, bullish views from multiple market participants have also begun to converge. Earlier, the well-known trader Killa, who previously perfectly predicted Bitcoin’s downside path during this bear market, recently said Bitcoin has rebounded from the lows and is waiting for a “perfect bottom” that could lead to missing out on subsequent gains. He still believes his long-term target remains above $150,000 and thinks the traditional four-year cycle may ultimately change.
Killa said that Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average is currently around $69,500. Next, it only needs to wait for Bitcoin to break back above and hold the 200-day moving average. Once that happens, the market can be considered to have officially turned into a bull market. This view was further validated by tonight’s action: after Bitcoin rapidly surged, it precisely met resistance and pulled back at the $69,500 level.
The institutional narrative is also fairly upbeat. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan recently said the crypto market is repricing “on-chain assets that can generate revenue,” and some protocol valuations may be upgraded as real revenue is captured. Bitwise Europe also mentioned in its August report that there are signs that institutional demand has started to accelerate again. ETP inflows, high-level supply from long-term holders, and stabilized demand from treasury companies all form potential support for the market going forward.
Matt Hougan also said on the Rollup podcast that Bitcoin is “unbothered” by bad news, and the bear market may be nearing its end. He believes that among the roughly $20 trillion in total assets under management across the four major wealth platforms on Wall Street (Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, UBS, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch), if only 1%–2% of that is allocated to crypto, it could translate into sustained inflows at the scale of hundreds of billions of dollars.
Grayscale Research head Zach Pandl also said at the end of July that he believes the bottoming time for Bitcoin in this bear market could arrive earlier than the traditional four-year cycle.
🧧🧧🧧Reply 2100 to get $BNB 🧧🧧🧧
🎁🎁🎁👇👇👇🎁🎁🎁
In recent days, bullish views from multiple market participants have also begun to converge. Earlier, the well-known trader Killa, who previously perfectly predicted Bitcoin’s downside path during this bear market, recently said Bitcoin has rebounded from the lows and is waiting for a “perfect bottom” that could lead to missing out on subsequent gains. He still believes his long-term target remains above $150,000 and thinks the traditional four-year cycle may ultimately change.
Killa said that Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average is currently around $69,500. Next, it only needs to wait for Bitcoin to break back above and hold the 200-day moving average. Once that happens, the market can be considered to have officially turned into a bull market. This view was further validated by tonight’s action: after Bitcoin rapidly surged, it precisely met resistance and pulled back at the $69,500 level.
The institutional narrative is also fairly upbeat. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan recently said the crypto market is repricing “on-chain assets that can generate revenue,” and some protocol valuations may be upgraded as real revenue is captured. Bitwise Europe also mentioned in its August report that there are signs that institutional demand has started to accelerate again. ETP inflows, high-level supply from long-term holders, and stabilized demand from treasury companies all form potential support for the market going forward.
Matt Hougan also said on the Rollup podcast that Bitcoin is “unbothered” by bad news, and the bear market may be nearing its end. He believes that among the roughly $20 trillion in total assets under management across the four major wealth platforms on Wall Street (Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, UBS, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch), if only 1%–2% of that is allocated to crypto, it could translate into sustained inflows at the scale of hundreds of billions of dollars.
Grayscale Research head Zach Pandl also said at the end of July that he believes the bottoming time for Bitcoin in this bear market could arrive earlier than the traditional four-year cycle.
🧧🧧🧧Reply 2100 to get $BNB 🧧🧧🧧
🎁🎁🎁👇👇👇🎁🎁🎁
VIRUS-逍遥
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In this line of work, the money you make is all “cognitive wealth.” Don’t chase runaway gains, don’t fear pullbacks. Keep your position sizing under control, steady your mindset, and remember: taking the long road matters more than becoming rich overnight.🧧🧧🧧🧧
可可529
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Trust is like a person’s teeth—once they’re gone, they’re gone. Even if you replace them, it’s still fake…
众合-朝阳
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Which one do you like? Come in money, come in money👑👑👑👑
🥇🥇🥇LUCIC must-have, 🗽🗽🗽come in money 🗽🗽🗽🗽
🥇🥇🥇LUCIC must-have, 🗽🗽🗽come in money 🗽🗽🗽🗽
Bilverse
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🔥🧧 RED PACKET GIVEAWAY IS LIVE! 🧧🔥
The red packets are flying — and this time, ETH is inside! ⚡️
To celebrate our amazing community, I’m giving away ETH Red Packets on Binance 🎁💰
Want a share of the rewards? 👇
🧧 How to participate:
❤️ Like this post
🔁 Repost / Share it
👥 Follow @Bilverse
💬 Comment “ETH” below
🎯 The more the community grows, the bigger we make the next giveaway.
Good luck, everyone! May the red packet bring you some serious fortune. 🧧💎
#ETH #RedPacketMission #Bilverse #CryptoCommunity
The red packets are flying — and this time, ETH is inside! ⚡️
To celebrate our amazing community, I’m giving away ETH Red Packets on Binance 🎁💰
Want a share of the rewards? 👇
🧧 How to participate:
❤️ Like this post
🔁 Repost / Share it
👥 Follow @Bilverse
💬 Comment “ETH” below
🎯 The more the community grows, the bigger we make the next giveaway.
Good luck, everyone! May the red packet bring you some serious fortune. 🧧💎
#ETH #RedPacketMission #Bilverse #CryptoCommunity
灼见
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🔥 Bitcoin has opened up market momentum, but what’s really grabbing attention today may be ETH.
Over the past 24 hours, the pace of the crypto market has clearly accelerated.
After $BTC broke through $69K, it stayed strong, while $ETH’s performance was even more eye-catching—rising rapidly from around $1,900 and once reaching close to $2,250, with a single-day gain of nearly 18%.
Even more worth watching is that this time, it wasn’t just BTC moving on its own.
BTC → ETH → major coins, and capital appears to be starting to spread out.
This is a marked difference from the market structure in the recent period, when BTC moved and other coins just watched.
At the same time, large-scale short liquidations also became one of the key pushes behind this rally. In a short time, nearly $1.4 billion worth of short positions were liquidated, and rapid deleveraging further amplified price volatility.
So now the market has entered a more interesting phase:
The first wave is BTC breaking out.
The second wave is ETH catching up.
Next, we need to watch whether the rally can shift from a “short-squeeze” setup into a real spread of capital.
If more major assets begin to follow, the market structure could change again;
If capital concentrates back into BTC, then the sustainability of this broad-based rally still needs to be observed.
📊 Next, I’m focusing on three signals:
🔹 Whether ETH can maintain relative strength versus BTC
🔹 Whether BTC can hold steady in its new price range after the breakout
🔹 Whether major assets like BNB continue to attract capital attention
The market has moved from “waiting for direction” to “watching where capital spreads.”
👇 Who do you think will be the next main character in the next phase today?
BTC / ETH / BNB?
#BTC #ETH #BNB
Over the past 24 hours, the pace of the crypto market has clearly accelerated.
After $BTC broke through $69K, it stayed strong, while $ETH’s performance was even more eye-catching—rising rapidly from around $1,900 and once reaching close to $2,250, with a single-day gain of nearly 18%.
Even more worth watching is that this time, it wasn’t just BTC moving on its own.
BTC → ETH → major coins, and capital appears to be starting to spread out.
This is a marked difference from the market structure in the recent period, when BTC moved and other coins just watched.
At the same time, large-scale short liquidations also became one of the key pushes behind this rally. In a short time, nearly $1.4 billion worth of short positions were liquidated, and rapid deleveraging further amplified price volatility.
So now the market has entered a more interesting phase:
The first wave is BTC breaking out.
The second wave is ETH catching up.
Next, we need to watch whether the rally can shift from a “short-squeeze” setup into a real spread of capital.
If more major assets begin to follow, the market structure could change again;
If capital concentrates back into BTC, then the sustainability of this broad-based rally still needs to be observed.
📊 Next, I’m focusing on three signals:
🔹 Whether ETH can maintain relative strength versus BTC
🔹 Whether BTC can hold steady in its new price range after the breakout
🔹 Whether major assets like BNB continue to attract capital attention
The market has moved from “waiting for direction” to “watching where capital spreads.”
👇 Who do you think will be the next main character in the next phase today?
BTC / ETH / BNB?
#BTC #ETH #BNB
艾伦Eren1688
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Bullish🎋 *Dear partners, Happy Chinese Valentine’s Day! * 🎋
This red dragon is lifting off, carrying power, good fortune, and a rising momentum. In Chinese culture, the dragon symbolizes strength, ambition, and a new beginning—able to break through countless challenges and turn adversity into good luck 🐉🔥
Just as the dragon follows its own path across the sky, we too pursue unwavering conviction and precise timing in trading. That’s why I’ve been keeping an eye on *Predict*—here, you can bet on real events, turning your predictions into value. Read the timing, strike decisively, and let your returns grow with compounding 📈💎
Wishing you all love, wealth, and a huge win this Qixi. Thank you for your support, partners—onward toward the 20,000 milestone! 🙏
What will your next prediction be? Share it in the comments below 👇
answer:1
回答 :1
#1688家族family #prediction...
This red dragon is lifting off, carrying power, good fortune, and a rising momentum. In Chinese culture, the dragon symbolizes strength, ambition, and a new beginning—able to break through countless challenges and turn adversity into good luck 🐉🔥
Just as the dragon follows its own path across the sky, we too pursue unwavering conviction and precise timing in trading. That’s why I’ve been keeping an eye on *Predict*—here, you can bet on real events, turning your predictions into value. Read the timing, strike decisively, and let your returns grow with compounding 📈💎
Wishing you all love, wealth, and a huge win this Qixi. Thank you for your support, partners—onward toward the 20,000 milestone! 🙏
What will your next prediction be? Share it in the comments below 👇
answer:1
回答 :1
#1688家族family #prediction...
橙子Joyce
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Over the past 40 years, it has never "turned hawkish in the second half of an election year"—is this time "different" for the Fed?
The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes from July suggest a hawkish tilt that shows more than just three members favoring rate hikes. The bond market turmoil has also prompted speculation about "passive rate hikes"—will the Federal Reserve break a 40-year historical pattern in the second half of an election year and turn hawkish against the trend?
Current market pricing indicates that the probability the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points before the October 2026 FOMC meeting is about 55%, reflecting concerns about stubbornly high inflation and the market’s worries—after the July policy meeting—about the Fed’s credibility in fighting inflation. However, according to Nomura’s latest research report, recent inflation data has clearly cooled off. In June, the core PCE month-on-month increase was only 0.132%, and the July CPI and PPI data also point to another relatively moderate reading. Objectively, this gives the Federal Reserve "room to wait." Nomura maintains its baseline forecast that the Fed will keep rates on hold.
Current market pricing indicates that the probability the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points before the October 2026 FOMC meeting is about 55%, reflecting concerns about stubbornly high inflation and the market’s worries—after the July policy meeting—about the Fed’s credibility in fighting inflation. However, according to Nomura’s latest research report, recent inflation data has clearly cooled off. In June, the core PCE month-on-month increase was only 0.132%, and the July CPI and PPI data also point to another relatively moderate reading. Objectively, this gives the Federal Reserve "room to wait." Nomura maintains its baseline forecast that the Fed will keep rates on hold.
Welcome welcome
Anna-汤圆
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[Replay] 🎙️ Has it really come back? A rebound or a reversal?
02 h 51 m 38 s · 11.5k listens
晚风 Vesper_1688
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☀️In the afternoon, the market keeps rising and falling📊
There’s no such thing as a one-way market forever; volatility is the norm🌊.
Don’t let the up-and-down moves in the trading session sway your emotions—keep to your own trading rhythm🕯️.
Less impatience, more patience; opportunities often go to those who can stay calm and wait🌿.
Stabilize your mindset and quietly wait for the stretch of market action that belongs to you✨
$BNB 🧧🧧🧧
#交易心态
#FOMC会议纪要
#1688家族family
There’s no such thing as a one-way market forever; volatility is the norm🌊.
Don’t let the up-and-down moves in the trading session sway your emotions—keep to your own trading rhythm🕯️.
Less impatience, more patience; opportunities often go to those who can stay calm and wait🌿.
Stabilize your mindset and quietly wait for the stretch of market action that belongs to you✨
$BNB 🧧🧧🧧
#交易心态
#FOMC会议纪要
#1688家族family
路飞社区糖宝Luffy
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Today is Qixi Festival $SOL . If you didn’t receive a gift, the Tangbao will give you one—follow and get the red envelope on the spot.
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🎙️ Bitcoin violently surges! From $64,000 to nearly $70,000🔥 What exactly happened?
End
03 h 11 m 13 s
9.2k
77
520龙行天下
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May you have peace and well-being year after year, and may all affairs go smoothly with good fortune that naturally shines.
May all troublesome worldly matters be made easy and everything difficult be dispelled.
May you often meet refreshing scenes that add delight, and may you always carry warm sincerity with an open, upright heart.
Slowly set out toward your original intention, seeking distant dreams; let the paths ahead be accompanied by chapters written along the way.
May what you hope for all come true as you wished, and may every journey you take be straightforward and untroubled.
May mornings and evenings be joyful, free from worldly disturbances, and may you enjoy peaceful bliss and blessed light every year.
May all troublesome worldly matters be made easy and everything difficult be dispelled.
May you often meet refreshing scenes that add delight, and may you always carry warm sincerity with an open, upright heart.
Slowly set out toward your original intention, seeking distant dreams; let the paths ahead be accompanied by chapters written along the way.
May what you hope for all come true as you wished, and may every journey you take be straightforward and untroubled.
May mornings and evenings be joyful, free from worldly disturbances, and may you enjoy peaceful bliss and blessed light every year.
凯哥的进击
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🎁🎁Today, reply to claim the red envelope🎁🎁$SOL
🌹Thank you for helping by forwarding and sharing THS🌹
🌹Thank you for helping by forwarding and sharing THS🌹
Welcome welcome
超人不会飞2020
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[Replay] 🎙️ Day 6 of investing 100U in BTC every week—more DUSK or bearish?
03 h 53 m 18 s · 15.2k listens
黄泳程 光明社区 8023
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“You can’t make money not because there isn’t money to be made, but because you’re not in the circle where people know how to earn. We’re not short of opportunities—what’s missing is the willingness to understand them, the discernment to judge them, the courage to try them, the perseverance to stay with them, and the belief that those who truly understand the value of LUCiC are already laying the groundwork. Having a card = being a shareholder. It’s like you got the original shares of a public company ahead of everyone else, and globally there are only 3,333 limited [witty]
Do you get it?”
Do you get it?”
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🎙️ The 6th day of superman 100U investing in BTC regularly—more DUSK or bearish?
End
03 h 53 m 18 s
14.9k
24
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