If we are to seriously discuss whether CKB can rise to 1 dollar, we must set aside emotional shouting and deduce using a complete, self-consistent long-term logic. 1 dollar is not a short-term target, but rather a result of 'system-level success'; it corresponds not to a single market movement, but to CKB truly establishing an irreplaceable position in the decentralized world.
First, it must be made clear that if CKB rises to 1 dollar, it is not because it has been 'speculated up', but because the resources it represents have been repriced. The core of CKB is not as a medium of exchange, but as a certificate of ownership for on-chain state and storage. When blockchain moves from the 'application building' stage to the 'hosting real assets and long-term data' stage, the state itself will shift from a cost item to a scarce asset, and CKB is one of the few public chains that institutionalizes this scarcity at the base level.
Under this logic, the upward momentum of CKB does not come from trading frequency but from occupancy demand. As Layer2, cross-chain bridges, modular blockchains, decentralized identities, and on-chain asset mapping continue to develop, what becomes truly scarce will no longer be computing power but the state space that can be stored long-term, securely, and without trust. Every real-world asset being put on-chain, every long-term contract deployment, and every cross-system asset lock will directly consume available CKB storage space.
Once CKB is widely used for 'long-term occupancy', the structural changes in market circulation will occur. The design of CKB determines that the tokens in an occupied state will not be frequently released; they are more like capital sedimented in the underlying system. As more and more CKB is locked for infrastructure and long-term assets, the truly tradable chips in the secondary market will sharply decrease, and price elasticity will be amplified. This is not a hype logic but a natural result after the supply-demand structure changes.
From the perspective of market capitalization, 1 dollar means CKB needs to reach a scale of hundreds of billions of dollars, which seems high today, but the premise is that the blockchain still assumes to be a speculative market. If in the future the blockchain becomes the infrastructure of the digital world, then the valuation of the storage layer and the state layer should not be lower than that of the computing layer. In the real world, the value of land, property rights systems, and infrastructure often exceeds that of the applications built upon them. Once this mapping is accepted by the market, the valuation model of CKB will change completely.
A commonly overlooked factor is time. CKB does not seek to complete value release within one or two cycles; all its designs assume that the system will run for decades. When the market begins to pay the price for the inflation of early public chain states, security risks, and economic model imbalances, networks that can be 'designed for long-term existence from the beginning' will instead gain a premium. 1 dollar is not a reward for CKB at the peak of a bull market, but more like a revaluation after long-term correctness is validated.
Therefore, the real premise for CKB to rise to 1 dollar is not sentiment, consensus, or marketing, but a deeper transformation: the market begins to recognize that on-chain states are assets, storage is a resource, and long-term security requires payment. Once this awareness becomes mainstream, the value represented by CKB will no longer be an option but the infrastructure itself.
In this sense, 1 dollar is not an exaggerated number but a threshold. It means that CKB is no longer regarded as 'the token of a certain public chain', but as a non-replaceable underlying resource priced in the decentralized world. If that day truly comes, the price is just a result, not a cause.#CKB
