Yesterday and today, the crypto market shows a cautious but confident attempt at recovery. Bitcoin is showing growth of 1.5%–2%, confidently closing the technical gap at the level of $89,300, which remained after a turbulent weekend. Currently, the bulls are targeting the next serious mark — the closure of the unclosed gap around $93,000.
However, despite technical optimism, traders should not lose vigilance. The current rise is occurring against the backdrop of 'the calm before the storm', as today's Fed meeting and the tense geopolitical situation could change the direction of movement in an instant.
🚢 Trump's ultimatum and the Iranian threat: The armada is already on its way.
The situation around Iran has moved into a phase of open ultimatum. Donald Trump made a series of extremely tough statements that have already caused turbulence in the markets. Here are the main facts as of this evening:
'Beautiful armada' is already on its way: Trump officially confirmed that a large US aircraft carrier group led by the USS Abraham Lincoln is approaching the shores of Iran. According to him, the fleet is ready to carry out the mission 'quickly and harshly' if Tehran does not make concessions.
Nuclear ultimatum: The President of the USA demands an immediate conclusion of a new agreement on Washington's terms: a complete abandonment of uranium enrichment and the transfer of stocks to a third party. Trump reminded of past operations, warning that the next attack will be 'much worse.'
🇮🇷 3. Iran's reaction
President Pezeshkian stated that Iran seeks peace but will not accept terms 'under the shadow of military threats.'
Iran's Foreign Ministry called the actions of the USA 'blackmail' and stated its readiness for defense at 'the highest level.'
Market reaction: Oil is already responding with a rise due to the risks of blocking the Strait of Hormuz, while gold is hitting capitalization records. Bitcoin, although it is rising at the closure of gaps, remains extremely sensitive to news about a possible start of hostilities.
Some analysts consider this a strategy of 'maximum pressure' to force a quick agreement by January 31, so that Trump can declare a 'diplomatic victory' against the backdrop of internal problems with the shutdown.
Now we see a classic 'volatility trap'. On one side - a magnet in the form of a gap at $93,000, on the other - the threat of war and shutdown on January 31.
