2026.8.18 early BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK analysis
That night the market seized $222 million, 67,111 people went bankrupt to zero; the amount barely increased while the number of people decreased a lot. Funds couldn’t keep up, so those who couldn’t sustain ahead exited early. If you’re still stubbornly holding and your position sizing isn’t well controlled, you’ll likely be done soon too;
As for BTC, the first-long position has been fully reduced and protective orders set this morning already with 0 risk. As for ETH, last night it gave plenty of time for you to let the previous week’s 1,893 first-long position run out;
Up to now, last week’s 7 trades were changed to 5: one took profit, one scratched even, and one stopped out or was still stuck, and overall it’s still “profits in progress”;
For SUI: last Friday if you entered, it was the only stop-loss order or a position temporarily stuck. This morning a single long needle should have already gotten most people out. This loss being controlled within 3% is acceptable; beyond that means the position size is too large. If you don’t have a stop-loss, you can leave it for now and not manage it. Do not add positions blindly—wait for the right-side signal. Then add only in a 1:3 or 1:5 plan;
BTC support/resistance levels: 67,135 / 63,450 / 61,050 / 59,800
Keep the first-long entries at 63,450. Right now the first-long at 63,450 has already captured 700—first take-profit achieved. You can reduce to breakeven and lock in 0 risk. The one at 62,600 has already captured the second take-profit with 1,500 space;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2,000 / 1,835 / 1,775 / 1,725
Over the weekend, last night I kept telling you: for the big pie and the small pie, suggested letting the small pie run to breakeven and exit;
XAU: yesterday the 4,450–4,500 range offered a chance to short. The top at 44.41 didn’t get reached; if the pattern isn’t complete, there might still be another opportunity later. If you didn’t act this morning, just wait for another pullback to get a chance to short. Stop-loss stays at the previous high.
At this moment, the price action is a multi-timeframe divergence—both longs and shorts have opportunities. If you can’t read signals, you can just watch the show;
Last night in US stocks, SNDK continued to push higher. After tapping a high, the bears seem to have seen hope. I can only advise this: since it’s already blasted up, the shorts of the whole world are trapped. The “hope” being given to you is so you’ll add more positions and get liquidated, with your liquidation price closer so they can seize you more easily. If you think it will immediately and quickly crash down and you’re blindly adding positions, then chances are you’ll fall for the trap of the market maker;
Trading advice is not investment advice. When the market gives opportunities, just do the trade. Control your position size and carry your stop-loss. Don’t be afraid of placing stop-losses and therefore not doing it. What matters is not being afraid to miss and then trading recklessly. Reckless trading is far more terrifying than following a plan with stop-loss;
As always: if you give me opportunities in the next three months, I will look for chances to heavily enter spot. For futures trading, once the plan is set, execute it strictly—take profits where it’s profit, cut losses where it’s loss!
That night the market seized $222 million, 67,111 people went bankrupt to zero; the amount barely increased while the number of people decreased a lot. Funds couldn’t keep up, so those who couldn’t sustain ahead exited early. If you’re still stubbornly holding and your position sizing isn’t well controlled, you’ll likely be done soon too;
As for BTC, the first-long position has been fully reduced and protective orders set this morning already with 0 risk. As for ETH, last night it gave plenty of time for you to let the previous week’s 1,893 first-long position run out;
Up to now, last week’s 7 trades were changed to 5: one took profit, one scratched even, and one stopped out or was still stuck, and overall it’s still “profits in progress”;
For SUI: last Friday if you entered, it was the only stop-loss order or a position temporarily stuck. This morning a single long needle should have already gotten most people out. This loss being controlled within 3% is acceptable; beyond that means the position size is too large. If you don’t have a stop-loss, you can leave it for now and not manage it. Do not add positions blindly—wait for the right-side signal. Then add only in a 1:3 or 1:5 plan;
BTC support/resistance levels: 67,135 / 63,450 / 61,050 / 59,800
Keep the first-long entries at 63,450. Right now the first-long at 63,450 has already captured 700—first take-profit achieved. You can reduce to breakeven and lock in 0 risk. The one at 62,600 has already captured the second take-profit with 1,500 space;
ETH support/resistance levels: 2,000 / 1,835 / 1,775 / 1,725
Over the weekend, last night I kept telling you: for the big pie and the small pie, suggested letting the small pie run to breakeven and exit;
XAU: yesterday the 4,450–4,500 range offered a chance to short. The top at 44.41 didn’t get reached; if the pattern isn’t complete, there might still be another opportunity later. If you didn’t act this morning, just wait for another pullback to get a chance to short. Stop-loss stays at the previous high.
At this moment, the price action is a multi-timeframe divergence—both longs and shorts have opportunities. If you can’t read signals, you can just watch the show;
Last night in US stocks, SNDK continued to push higher. After tapping a high, the bears seem to have seen hope. I can only advise this: since it’s already blasted up, the shorts of the whole world are trapped. The “hope” being given to you is so you’ll add more positions and get liquidated, with your liquidation price closer so they can seize you more easily. If you think it will immediately and quickly crash down and you’re blindly adding positions, then chances are you’ll fall for the trap of the market maker;
Trading advice is not investment advice. When the market gives opportunities, just do the trade. Control your position size and carry your stop-loss. Don’t be afraid of placing stop-losses and therefore not doing it. What matters is not being afraid to miss and then trading recklessly. Reckless trading is far more terrifying than following a plan with stop-loss;
As always: if you give me opportunities in the next three months, I will look for chances to heavily enter spot. For futures trading, once the plan is set, execute it strictly—take profits where it’s profit, cut losses where it’s loss!