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花涧空
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In a bear market, everyone likes to predict the lowest price for this round, $BTC . Let me take a shot at it too!
What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments!
Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉
Three core points:
1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;
2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;
3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳
This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨
Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!
⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.
What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments!
Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉
Three core points:
1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;
2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;
3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳
This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨
Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!
⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.
Too many people send meme coins into the public wallet @CZ , and it scared CZ into giving up on this public wallet—he had to turn it into a burn address!
As long as you become a recognized authority figure in an industry, even if you do nothing at all, people will keep sending you money. Right now, the total value of the virtual currency in this wallet is about $1.32 million—convert it to RMB and it’s around 10 million! Easily achieve the status of a millionaire!
As long as you have money and influence, money will come running toward you!$BNB
#BNB链将激活Pasteur硬分叉
#CZ
As long as you become a recognized authority figure in an industry, even if you do nothing at all, people will keep sending you money. Right now, the total value of the virtual currency in this wallet is about $1.32 million—convert it to RMB and it’s around 10 million! Easily achieve the status of a millionaire!
As long as you have money and influence, money will come running toward you!$BNB
#BNB链将激活Pasteur硬分叉
#CZ
According to on-chain data, at around 16:15 today, CZ’s public donation address repeatedly showed three consecutive token burn events. They were, respectively, 4,444 units of the Meme token “Bull Comes” (contract address starting with 0xD043B6, the same-named token “Bull Comes” that has been heavily hyped by the market and whose token address begins with 0xbee), 4,444 units of the Meme coin MarsCoin, and 4,444 units of “Binance Life.”
Upon verification of the three burn transactions, the 4,444 units of the Meme token “Bull Comes” were not actively burned by CZ. The transaction initiator was the token creator himself (0xcf86..383). The creator deployed the contract and set privileged permissions, minting 1 billion tokens to his own address. He then proactively transferred about 800 million tokens to the CZ address, and used transferFrom from the CZ address to forcibly transfer out 4,444 tokens to a burn/black-hole address, thereby simulating a CZ burn. During this period, the CZ address had granted no authorization to CZ for this token or to this initiator.$BNB
As long as you’re strong and famous enough, someone will forcefully try to “mug” or falsely implicate you!
#BNB链将激活Pasteur硬分叉
Upon verification of the three burn transactions, the 4,444 units of the Meme token “Bull Comes” were not actively burned by CZ. The transaction initiator was the token creator himself (0xcf86..383). The creator deployed the contract and set privileged permissions, minting 1 billion tokens to his own address. He then proactively transferred about 800 million tokens to the CZ address, and used transferFrom from the CZ address to forcibly transfer out 4,444 tokens to a burn/black-hole address, thereby simulating a CZ burn. During this period, the CZ address had granted no authorization to CZ for this token or to this initiator.$BNB
As long as you’re strong and famous enough, someone will forcefully try to “mug” or falsely implicate you!
#BNB链将激活Pasteur硬分叉
@CZ : Do you have any special feelings for the number 4444?
Both of these meme coins are the biggest coins in terms of recent traffic!
Both of these meme coins are the biggest coins in terms of recent traffic!
I think $niulai has a pretty clear advantage: the story is relatively easy for ordinary people to understand.
You don’t need to grasp particularly complex Web3 concepts.
It’s basically a movie, plus a Meme, and then connected to the Web3 community.
The project hopes that through this approach, the movie IP can break into the mainstream, while also getting crypto users to participate in spreading the film content.
Whether it can truly form an ecosystem depends on what happens next, but the direction is quite fresh. #niulai #牛来
You don’t need to grasp particularly complex Web3 concepts.
It’s basically a movie, plus a Meme, and then connected to the Web3 community.
The project hopes that through this approach, the movie IP can break into the mainstream, while also getting crypto users to participate in spreading the film content.
Whether it can truly form an ecosystem depends on what happens next, but the direction is quite fresh. #niulai #牛来
📢 After turning $5,000 into $5.6 million, then going to zero? LAB public investors experience “paper wealth” turning into a 99.94% loss
Investors in the LAB public offering put in $5,000, which once grew to $5.6 million—a gain of 1,120x. But due to the project team delaying unlocks, when funds finally arrived recently, the value was only $3,219—down 99.94% from the peak. This incident highlights the liquidity risk caused by project lock-up periods.（😭 big bearish news）$LAB
Impact analysis: The project team changed the rules to restrict outflows, causing users to miss the chance to cash out at the high point. This kind of “paper riches” happens frequently in projects with long lock-up periods, reflecting the devastating blow to holders from centralized intervention by the project.
Possible investment opportunities: Be wary of presale projects with overly long lock-ups and unclear mechanisms; prioritize assets with sufficient liquidity in the secondary market.
Investors in the LAB public offering put in $5,000, which once grew to $5.6 million—a gain of 1,120x. But due to the project team delaying unlocks, when funds finally arrived recently, the value was only $3,219—down 99.94% from the peak. This incident highlights the liquidity risk caused by project lock-up periods.（😭 big bearish news）$LAB
Impact analysis: The project team changed the rules to restrict outflows, causing users to miss the chance to cash out at the high point. This kind of “paper riches” happens frequently in projects with long lock-up periods, reflecting the devastating blow to holders from centralized intervention by the project.
Possible investment opportunities: Be wary of presale projects with overly long lock-ups and unclear mechanisms; prioritize assets with sufficient liquidity in the secondary market.
✨ Meme coin issuance isn’t dominated by Solana anymore—let’s take stock of four major chains. Based on 24h trading volume, it’s very clear:
🌊 Solana: Still the main stronghold with the largest issuance volume, and the most mature low-cost launch platform. The biggest performer today is The Black Bull (ANSEM): market cap is $214 million, 24h trading volume is $7.07 million, with 270 “smart money” wallets watching closely—looks like a solid big seed.$SOL
🟡 BSC (your preferred chain): Keeps hot on Solana’s heels—low launch costs + fast transaction speed, and a very high concentration of “shitcoins.” Today, SpaceX (SPCXB) has a market cap of $67.66 million and 24h volume of $22.65 million, ranking first; MarsCoin also has a market cap of $54.87 million. Both have well over a hundred smart-money/celebrity follow-the-fund wallets, and their liquidity pools look healthy.$BNB
🟣 Base: A rising newcomer. With Coinbase’s “own child” traffic boost, it’s gaining momentum. Squid (QUID) has a market cap of $72.84 million, but the pool is only $980,000. That market-cap-to-pool ratio is a bit dangerous—everyone, be careful not to chase price.
⚪ Ethereum: A veteran chain mainly driven by memes. New meme issuance is basically sluggish, and the 24h leaderboard is mostly mainstream coins like LINK and UNI. On-chain meme launches currently have the lowest value-for-money.$ETH
One-line conclusion: New meme coins mainly look at Solana + BSC; Base is the second tier where you wait for opportunities, and for now, don’t issue new memes on ETH.
🌊 Solana: Still the main stronghold with the largest issuance volume, and the most mature low-cost launch platform. The biggest performer today is The Black Bull (ANSEM): market cap is $214 million, 24h trading volume is $7.07 million, with 270 “smart money” wallets watching closely—looks like a solid big seed.$SOL
🟡 BSC (your preferred chain): Keeps hot on Solana’s heels—low launch costs + fast transaction speed, and a very high concentration of “shitcoins.” Today, SpaceX (SPCXB) has a market cap of $67.66 million and 24h volume of $22.65 million, ranking first; MarsCoin also has a market cap of $54.87 million. Both have well over a hundred smart-money/celebrity follow-the-fund wallets, and their liquidity pools look healthy.$BNB
🟣 Base: A rising newcomer. With Coinbase’s “own child” traffic boost, it’s gaining momentum. Squid (QUID) has a market cap of $72.84 million, but the pool is only $980,000. That market-cap-to-pool ratio is a bit dangerous—everyone, be careful not to chase price.
⚪ Ethereum: A veteran chain mainly driven by memes. New meme issuance is basically sluggish, and the 24h leaderboard is mostly mainstream coins like LINK and UNI. On-chain meme launches currently have the lowest value-for-money.$ETH
One-line conclusion: New meme coins mainly look at Solana + BSC; Base is the second tier where you wait for opportunities, and for now, don’t issue new memes on ETH.
$BNB Binance C2C Anniversary Selection,
Split 50,000 USDT
This is an official Binance event—everyone, take a look!
Like & share to claim BNB red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧
Split 50,000 USDT
This is an official Binance event—everyone, take a look!
Like & share to claim BNB red envelopes 🧧🧧🧧
✨
📊 Current status: ETH price is $1,880. 24h trading volume is $6 billion. Over the past week, it has mostly been moving back and forth within the $1,854–$1,935 range. The latest hourly candle closed around $1,878.
$ETH
📉 Short-term rhythm: Over the past few trading days, the highs have been stepping down ($1,934 → $1,928 → $1,918). The lows have repeatedly tested the $1,855–$1,870 area as well. This is a typical pattern of 【late stagnation at higher levels and shifting the center downward】. Short-term momentum is weak, but it hasn’t broken down.
🎯 Key levels:
Support: $1,855–$1,860 (the lower edge of the range). If this breaks, it will likely move down to look for the $1,800 psychological level.
Resistance: $1,900 and $1,920–$1,935 (the upper edge of the range). Only a breakout with increased volume can open room.
💡 Trading suggestions:
If you already hold positions: Don’t panic. As long as the range hasn’t broken, hold. If it breaks below $1,850, then consider trimming.
If you’re on the sidelines: Don’t chase. Wait for a pullback to $1,855–$1,865 and试多 with a small position size. Set a stop loss below $1,845.
For swing traders: As long as the range hasn’t been broken, it’s a high-sell / low-buy setup.
⚠️ Risk warning: Right now, ETH is moving with the overall market rhythm—when <$BTC > moves, ETH has to shake along with it. Don’t take positions that are too heavy, okay.
✨✨✨✨✨
This is only a technical analysis of the chart and does not constitute investment advice.
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
#ETH质押比例创34.4%纪录
📊 Current status: ETH price is $1,880. 24h trading volume is $6 billion. Over the past week, it has mostly been moving back and forth within the $1,854–$1,935 range. The latest hourly candle closed around $1,878.
$ETH
📉 Short-term rhythm: Over the past few trading days, the highs have been stepping down ($1,934 → $1,928 → $1,918). The lows have repeatedly tested the $1,855–$1,870 area as well. This is a typical pattern of 【late stagnation at higher levels and shifting the center downward】. Short-term momentum is weak, but it hasn’t broken down.
🎯 Key levels:
Support: $1,855–$1,860 (the lower edge of the range). If this breaks, it will likely move down to look for the $1,800 psychological level.
Resistance: $1,900 and $1,920–$1,935 (the upper edge of the range). Only a breakout with increased volume can open room.
💡 Trading suggestions:
If you already hold positions: Don’t panic. As long as the range hasn’t broken, hold. If it breaks below $1,850, then consider trimming.
If you’re on the sidelines: Don’t chase. Wait for a pullback to $1,855–$1,865 and试多 with a small position size. Set a stop loss below $1,845.
For swing traders: As long as the range hasn’t been broken, it’s a high-sell / low-buy setup.
⚠️ Risk warning: Right now, ETH is moving with the overall market rhythm—when <$BTC > moves, ETH has to shake along with it. Don’t take positions that are too heavy, okay.
✨✨✨✨✨
This is only a technical analysis of the chart and does not constitute investment advice.
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
#ETH质押比例创34.4%纪录
Verified
After $KUAISHOU , can we directly say “Kuaishou” in the livestream room without saying “Kuaishou” anymore? After all, the currency pair I’m trading is KUAUSHOUUSDT on Binance.
Now we can directly trade Kuaishou and Meituan stocks on Binance!
#Shein最早下周启动香港IPO招股
#港股
Now we can directly trade Kuaishou and Meituan stocks on Binance!
#Shein最早下周启动香港IPO招股
#港股
$TUT $TST
The mindset of playing counterfeit coins can be benchmarked against the equity investment logic of Alibaba and top-tier investment banks.
Investment banks make hundreds of venture capital deals within a year; most of those projects fail and incur losses. They only break through by relying on a very small number of targets that surge dramatically, earning dozens of times returns—thereby offsetting all losses and still ending up with substantial profits.
Laying out counterfeit coins is similar. Diversify across 20 coins. Most market moves will be ordinary, and some may even pull back and cause losses. But as long as you hold at least one “black horse” coin that can run dozens or even hundreds of times, your overall returns can achieve a turnaround.
The key takeaways are twofold: manage position sizing and capital controls well, and leave the rest to time and patience to bide its time.
⚠️ Risk note: Counterfeit coins are extremely volatile. Be sure to tightly control the principal you invest, and never go heavy on positions.
The mindset of playing counterfeit coins can be benchmarked against the equity investment logic of Alibaba and top-tier investment banks.
Investment banks make hundreds of venture capital deals within a year; most of those projects fail and incur losses. They only break through by relying on a very small number of targets that surge dramatically, earning dozens of times returns—thereby offsetting all losses and still ending up with substantial profits.
Laying out counterfeit coins is similar. Diversify across 20 coins. Most market moves will be ordinary, and some may even pull back and cause losses. But as long as you hold at least one “black horse” coin that can run dozens or even hundreds of times, your overall returns can achieve a turnaround.
The key takeaways are twofold: manage position sizing and capital controls well, and leave the rest to time and patience to bide its time.
⚠️ Risk note: Counterfeit coins are extremely volatile. Be sure to tightly control the principal you invest, and never go heavy on positions.
AI boom ≠ the 2000 internet bubble
This current AI cycle is exactly the same as the frenzy narrative of the 2000 dot-com bubble:
Both have expectations for a new technology revolution pushed to the limit, capital flooding in uncontrollably, valuations far exceeding earnings, the market’s collective FOMO, upstream shovel-seller stocks surging first, and C-end breakout products not yet formed.
But the essence is completely different:
In 2000, the internet was a “pure bubble”: no revenue, no execution, no user infrastructure—people relied only on storytelling, and the crash meant the destruction of the entire industry.
This round of AI is a “structural boom”:
There is real B-end paid demand, real orders for compute, a mature digitalization foundation, and big firms with steady cash flow.
In the future, there won’t be an overall collapse—what will happen is that companies that only hype concepts and are essentially junk will be weeded out, leaving true technology, true compute, and truly implementable businesses.$NVDA.US
$MU
$SKHY
One-sentence summary:
2000 was a nationwide false bull market; 2026 is an industrial upgrade plus localized bubbles.
#CLARITY法案参议院程序性投票延后
This current AI cycle is exactly the same as the frenzy narrative of the 2000 dot-com bubble:
Both have expectations for a new technology revolution pushed to the limit, capital flooding in uncontrollably, valuations far exceeding earnings, the market’s collective FOMO, upstream shovel-seller stocks surging first, and C-end breakout products not yet formed.
But the essence is completely different:
In 2000, the internet was a “pure bubble”: no revenue, no execution, no user infrastructure—people relied only on storytelling, and the crash meant the destruction of the entire industry.
This round of AI is a “structural boom”:
There is real B-end paid demand, real orders for compute, a mature digitalization foundation, and big firms with steady cash flow.
In the future, there won’t be an overall collapse—what will happen is that companies that only hype concepts and are essentially junk will be weeded out, leaving true technology, true compute, and truly implementable businesses.$NVDA.US
$MU
$SKHY
One-sentence summary:
2000 was a nationwide false bull market; 2026 is an industrial upgrade plus localized bubbles.
#CLARITY法案参议院程序性投票延后
$BTC four-year cycle is still ongoing (2026 - 2029)
2026 - Bear market (we are right here)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell
So far, the 4-year cycle has been executed perfectly.
Do what the bear market is supposed to do!
Following the continuity of the structure, 2027 will be the next buying opportunity...
2026 - Bear market (we are right here)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell
So far, the 4-year cycle has been executed perfectly.
Do what the bear market is supposed to do!
Following the continuity of the structure, 2027 will be the next buying opportunity...
$BTC
The 4-year cycle continues...
Cycle 1 (2010 - 2013)
2010 - Sprouting teeth (bear market)
2011 - Buy
2012 - Hold
2013 - Sell
Cycle 2 (2014 - 2017）
2014 - Bear market
2015 - Buy
2016 - Hold
2017 - Sell
Cycle 3 (2018 - 2021）
2018 - Bear market
2019 - Buy
2020 - Hold
2021 - Sell
Cycle 4 (2022 - 2025)
2022 - Bear market
2023 - Buy
2024 - Hold
2025 - Sell
Cycle 5 (2026 - 2029)
2026 - Bear market (we’re right here now)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell
So far, the 4-year cycle has played out perfectly.
In a bear market, do what a bear market is supposed to do!
Following the continuation of the structure, 2027 will be the next buy opportunity...
The 4-year cycle continues...
Cycle 1 (2010 - 2013)
2010 - Sprouting teeth (bear market)
2011 - Buy
2012 - Hold
2013 - Sell
Cycle 2 (2014 - 2017）
2014 - Bear market
2015 - Buy
2016 - Hold
2017 - Sell
Cycle 3 (2018 - 2021）
2018 - Bear market
2019 - Buy
2020 - Hold
2021 - Sell
Cycle 4 (2022 - 2025)
2022 - Bear market
2023 - Buy
2024 - Hold
2025 - Sell
Cycle 5 (2026 - 2029)
2026 - Bear market (we’re right here now)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell
So far, the 4-year cycle has played out perfectly.
In a bear market, do what a bear market is supposed to do!
Following the continuation of the structure, 2027 will be the next buy opportunity...
Partly True
The Nasdaq launches a 23-hour trading system.
Before trading US stocks:
Work during the day,
watch the market at night📉.
Now:
Watch US stocks during the day,
watch US stocks at night,
and keep watching US stocks into the early morning
#美股2026
Is this trying to align with the crypto world, or to dump coins and steal users from the crypto world?
Before trading US stocks:
Work during the day,
watch the market at night📉.
Now:
Watch US stocks during the day,
watch US stocks at night,
and keep watching US stocks into the early morning
#美股2026
Is this trying to align with the crypto world, or to dump coins and steal users from the crypto world?
This is really a talent, huh! In the village they don’t allow playing with crypto coins—don’t you know?
Even the wise have a thousand thoughts; it’s not as good as an idiot suddenly coming up with a good idea!
And you’re still tagging cz and heyi— they’ve already got the idea to crush you!
Or is it that you got liquidated and lost, so now you want to bring in a few more people to keep you company?
$BTC
Even the wise have a thousand thoughts; it’s not as good as an idiot suddenly coming up with a good idea!
And you’re still tagging cz and heyi— they’ve already got the idea to crush you!
Or is it that you got liquidated and lost, so now you want to bring in a few more people to keep you company?
$BTC
Stocks are dropping harder than the crypto market—where did the money go?
A new day in August, a fresh start!
A new day in August, a fresh start!
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