$AIO is around 0.0652 now, and in the past 24 hours it has surged by nearly 35%. It does look pretty fierce. But I’ll hold off for now—I’m not in a rush to chase.
First, let’s break down the gain. Over three days, it went from 0.0398 to 0.0652. Over a week, it started even lower from about 0.0385, and the increase is roughly around 70%. In the four-hour chart, there are five bullish candles and one bearish one. The price is also holding above the dual moving averages. On the momentum side, it’s genuinely in the bulls’ hands—I won’t deny that.
The problem is the capital structure. There’s zero net inflow on the spot big orders—everything is just “0”. Meanwhile, the derivatives open interest has risen by 33% in a single day. In plain terms, this rally is built by leverage stacking, not by spot demand buying it up. Looking at the order book too, the sell-side order volume is three times (or even more) the buy-side. The buy pressure is quite thin, so the price is actually very sensitive to overhead sell pressure.
One more detail: over the past 7 hours, the number of whale accounts has been trending downward. Big players aren’t adding—they’re reducing. The funding rate is pushed up to 0.06%, higher than the recent average by a noticeable margin. The long side is already paying for this ride in gas money.
So my stance is very direct: I don’t know whether it can still surge higher later. But chasing long at this current level has a very poor risk-to-reward ratio. The increase is driven by leverage, the crowding is getting worse, and the spot side still doesn’t “recognize” it. Once the derivatives funds step back, a pullback can arrive very quickly.
If you want to participate, then wait for a retracement. Wait for spot capital to genuinely come in with real money to confirm, or wait for this leverage wave to cool off. At this level, I choose to stay away.
#aio $AIO
First, let’s break down the gain. Over three days, it went from 0.0398 to 0.0652. Over a week, it started even lower from about 0.0385, and the increase is roughly around 70%. In the four-hour chart, there are five bullish candles and one bearish one. The price is also holding above the dual moving averages. On the momentum side, it’s genuinely in the bulls’ hands—I won’t deny that.
The problem is the capital structure. There’s zero net inflow on the spot big orders—everything is just “0”. Meanwhile, the derivatives open interest has risen by 33% in a single day. In plain terms, this rally is built by leverage stacking, not by spot demand buying it up. Looking at the order book too, the sell-side order volume is three times (or even more) the buy-side. The buy pressure is quite thin, so the price is actually very sensitive to overhead sell pressure.
One more detail: over the past 7 hours, the number of whale accounts has been trending downward. Big players aren’t adding—they’re reducing. The funding rate is pushed up to 0.06%, higher than the recent average by a noticeable margin. The long side is already paying for this ride in gas money.
So my stance is very direct: I don’t know whether it can still surge higher later. But chasing long at this current level has a very poor risk-to-reward ratio. The increase is driven by leverage, the crowding is getting worse, and the spot side still doesn’t “recognize” it. Once the derivatives funds step back, a pullback can arrive very quickly.
If you want to participate, then wait for a retracement. Wait for spot capital to genuinely come in with real money to confirm, or wait for this leverage wave to cool off. At this level, I choose to stay away.
#aio $AIO