Market consensus holds: If Trump suffers a setback in the midterm elections, TRUMP tokens and the WLFI project will face large-scale shorting pressure. If the Democrats take control of Congress, they will step up scrutiny of the Trump family’s crypto business. The WLFI trust license and the USD1 stablecoin business will face regulatory uncertainty, prompting funds to position in advance on this expectation.

Rumors circulate that the founder of RVN has fallen out with Trump, and that related associated funds have shorted RVN to profit while warning the founder. However, there is no hard evidence to confirm this claim. Trump himself recognizes grassroots crypto assets like RVN; the family continues to expand its investment in the WLFI and stablecoin sectors. Intentionally suppressing similar coins does not align with a long-term strategy.

In this round, BTC, BCH, RVN, and other PoW coins are under simultaneous pressure, with the leading capital coming from Wall Street quantitative institutions. Capital leverages vulnerabilities in the RVN consensus to amplify the tensions between the U.S. community’s two political parties, generating panic. At the technical level, the RVN vulnerability can be fixed; the hard cap on the token supply remains unchanged. The risk is not the same as uncontrolled minting.

The cycle of price rises and falls is a norm in the crypto market. Extreme panic does not necessarily mark the end of the trend. Election-related expectations and political storylines are mostly tools for major players to mobilize sentiment. Ultimately, the market will still return to patterns governed by capital and market cycles.