📉 Monetary policy: Traders are dialing down bets on Fed rate hikes before mid-2027!

With softer U.S. economic data (especially slowing retail sales), markets are adjusting their outlooks. Pressure for a prolonged tightening cycle from the Federal Reserve is easing.

Key takeaways:

Adjusting expectations: Investors are scaling back bets on aggressive tightening out to mid-2027.

Market impact: More moderate bond yields could provide potential support for risk assets, subject to future inflation releases.

The current tactic: Don’t give in to premature euphoria. Read macroeconomic flows carefully and manage your exposures with rigor and discipline. ⚔️🔋

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