$ACE bounced back to around 0.27—don’t chase longs yet!
In this ACE move, it was quickly pulled back from around 0.19 to 0.27. The chart looks strong, but the capital flow data actually shows signs of divergence.
For the short term, the 5-minute and 15-minute contracts have clear net outflows, indicating that short-term chasing capital is withdrawing. Although the 4-hour and 8-hour periods still maintain net inflows, the price has already gone through a round of fast rebound, so profit-taking is more likely to appear in the short term.
Spot markets are also worth paying attention to: the 5-minute to 1-hour data shows continuous net outflows, and the 12-hour net outflow is close to 8 million, suggesting that spot support is not as strong as people might imagine.
My plan: near 0.27, don’t rush into long positions first. Focus on the resistance zone between 0.27 and 0.28. If the rebound cannot hold above 0.28, you can consider shorting the rebound. Only if there is a volume-expanding breakout and a firm hold above 0.28 should the short thesis be reassessed. For this kind of rapid rally, it’s better to wait for confirmation than to jump in when sentiment is at its hottest
#交易员下调2027年中前美联储加息押注 #美元跌至5月低点 #美国8月一年期通胀预期升至4.3%
In this ACE move, it was quickly pulled back from around 0.19 to 0.27. The chart looks strong, but the capital flow data actually shows signs of divergence.
For the short term, the 5-minute and 15-minute contracts have clear net outflows, indicating that short-term chasing capital is withdrawing. Although the 4-hour and 8-hour periods still maintain net inflows, the price has already gone through a round of fast rebound, so profit-taking is more likely to appear in the short term.
Spot markets are also worth paying attention to: the 5-minute to 1-hour data shows continuous net outflows, and the 12-hour net outflow is close to 8 million, suggesting that spot support is not as strong as people might imagine.
My plan: near 0.27, don’t rush into long positions first. Focus on the resistance zone between 0.27 and 0.28. If the rebound cannot hold above 0.28, you can consider shorting the rebound. Only if there is a volume-expanding breakout and a firm hold above 0.28 should the short thesis be reassessed. For this kind of rapid rally, it’s better to wait for confirmation than to jump in when sentiment is at its hottest
#交易员下调2027年中前美联储加息押注 #美元跌至5月低点 #美国8月一年期通胀预期升至4.3%
