509 Jony Dong

$ACE long: price sits at 0.144 on the 4H, the line buyers must defend.

Hold 0.144 → 0.147, then 0.149.
Lose 0.142 → the idea is off the table.
I want to see buyers absorb the selling here and hold the level.

What backs it:
- BTC short-term trend bullish, a tailwind for this idea
- Risk 1.9% to SL vs 3.0% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- 4H price 0.144 below EMA50 0.153, a bounce attempt under the trend, so the stop matters

🟢 LONG · Entry 0.1440–0.1445 · TP 0.1459 / 0.1470 / 0.1486 · SL 0.1415

NFA · DYOR

$BTC long: 68% of accounts are already long.

Crowd is leaning one way into 80548 support on the 4H. If buyers defend it, 80833 then 80999; lose 80167 and the same crowd is the fuel.

What backs it:
- 4H price 80583 below EMA50 81850, this is a bounce attempt under the trend
- Risk 0.52% to SL vs 0.83% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- Daily above EMA200 75863, the bigger trend is on this side

🟢 LONG · Entry 80548–80618 · TP 80833 / 80999 / 81249 · SL 80167

Crowd right here, or crowd trapped?

NFA · DYOR

Short $TAO : 248 is the line sellers must hold on the 4H 👀

Price sits at 248 with the 4H EMA50 up at 264, so structure leans down. I want a rejection here, not a push through 252.

Why it's on my radar:
- 4H price 248 below EMA50 264: trend structure still favors sellers
- Risk 1.3% to SL vs 2.2% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- BTC short-term trend bearish, a tailwind for this idea

🔴 SHORT · Entry 247.9–248.4 · TP 246.1 / 244.8 / 242.7 · SL 251.5

NFA · DYOR

$IOST short: funding at -0.030% says the short side is crowded.

Price sits in 0.000746–0.000748 on the 4H. If sellers defend it, 0.000737 then 0.000730 come into play. Above 0.000764 I drop the idea.

What I'm seeing:
- 4H price 0.000747 below EMA50 0.000852, trend structure still favors sellers
- Daily below EMA200 0.000904, the bigger trend is on this side
- Risk 2.3% to SL vs 3.6% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.000746–0.000748 · TP 0.000737 / 0.000730 / 0.000720 · SL 0.000764

Does 0.000748 hold, or does the crowded short get squeezed?

NFA · DYOR

$BR short: sellers need to hold 0.469 on the 4H.

Price is sitting just under this line. I'm watching for a rejection here, not a chase. Acceptance above 0.485 and I step aside.

The read:
- 4H price 0.467 is below the EMA50 at 0.504, so structure still favors sellers
- Risk 3.8% to SL vs 6.1% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- 1H RSI at 41: momentum neutral, room to roll over

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.4656–0.4686 · TP 0.4563 / 0.4492 / 0.4385 · SL 0.4849

Rejection at 0.469, or acceptance above 0.485?

NFA · DYOR

$CAP short played out to TP2 at 0.06925 ✅

Step by step:
- Entry zone 0.07161–0.07203 filled right at the post
- TP1 0.07028 hit ~2h15m after entry
- TP2 0.06925 hit ~10h after entry
- Worst move against: 2.38%, SL 0.07439 untouched
- TP3 0.06771 still open

Same process every time: level first, risk defined, then patience. The entry zone did the heavy lifting, not a prediction.

NFA · DYOR

$APT long: 0.704 is the line buyers have to hold on the 4H.

This is a bounce attempt under the daily downtrend, so the stop matters here. I'm watching whether buyers defend 0.704 or let it slip to 0.685.

Why it's on my radar:
- 4H price 0.706 sits below the EMA50 at 0.778, so this bounce is still under the trend
- 1H RSI at 32: momentum has reset, room to bounce
- Risk 3.0% to SL against 4.8% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out

🟢 LONG · Entry 0.7044–0.7071 · TP 0.7183 / 0.7267 / 0.7393 · SL 0.6847

NFA · DYOR

$APT short played out to TP3 at 0.724004 ✅

RSI went from 50 near entry to 22 at the target. No chase: the order sat in the planned zone and the plan did the rest.

Trade timeline:
- Entry zone 0.75223–0.755332 filled right at the post
- TP1 0.742615 hit ~3h30m after entry
- TP2 0.735171 hit ~6h after entry
- TP3 0.724004 hit ~6h15m after entry
- Worst move against: 1.41%, SL 0.772391 untouched

NFA · DYOR

$LTC long: 66% of accounts are already long into 55.9 on the 4H.

If buyers defend 55.9, 56.7 and 57.3 open up. Lose 54.6 and the bounce attempt is done.

The read:
- 1H RSI 30, momentum has reset with room to bounce
- Risk 2.4% to SL vs 3.8% to TP3, about 1.6R
- Funding +0.003%, no crowding on either side

🟢 LONG · Entry 55.86–56.02 · TP 56.73 / 57.26 / 58.06 · SL 54.62

Do buyers hold 55.9, or does 54.6 give first?

NFA · DYOR

$ENA short: 0.186 is the line. Beyond it 0.179 then 0.176. Past 0.192 it's over.

Why this level:
- 4H price 0.186 below EMA50 0.199: trend structure still favors sellers
- Risk 3.4% to SL vs 5.4% to TP3: about 1.6R if the full move plays out

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.1852–0.1860 · TP 0.1819 / 0.1794 / 0.1756 · SL 0.1919

NFA · DYOR

$TRUMP short on the 4H: 1.65 is my line. 1.59 next while sellers hold. 1.68 breaks, I'm out.

The read:
- 4H price 1.65 below EMA50 1.77, trend structure still favors sellers
- Risk 1.9% to SL vs 3.1% to TP3, about 1.6R if the full move plays out

🔴 SHORT · Entry 1.642–1.648 · TP 1.626 / 1.613 / 1.594 · SL 1.677

NFA · DYOR

$XTZ has to pick a side here. My bias: short.

Reject 0.299 → 0.295, then 0.293.
Reclaim 0.302 → the idea is off the table.
I want to see the reaction before anything else.

Why this level:
- 4H price 0.298 below EMA50 0.306: trend structure still favors sellers
- Risk 1.2% to SL vs 1.9% to TP3: about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- Daily below EMA200 0.308: the bigger trend is on this side

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.2981–0.2987 · TP 0.2963 / 0.2948 / 0.2927 · SL 0.3020

NFA · DYOR

$ENA short setup at the line that decides the next move.

Reject 0.211 → 0.202, then 0.198.
Reclaim 0.218 → the idea is off the table.
I want to see the reaction before anything else.

What backs it:
- 4H price 0.210 above EMA50 0.201: this is a fade against the trend, so the stop matters
- Risk 3.6% to SL vs 5.9% to TP3: about 1.6R if the full move plays out
- 1H RSI 66: stretched, room to cool off

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.2095–0.2108 · TP 0.2055 / 0.2024 / 0.1978 · SL 0.2178

NFA · DYOR

Short on $EDGE , plain and simple: 0.314 holds, 0.305 and 0.300 open up. 0.322 kills it.

What backs it:
- 4H price 0.313 below EMA50 0.317: trend structure still favors sellers
- Risk 2.6% to SL vs 4.2% to TP3: about 1.6R if the full move plays out

🔴 SHORT · Entry 0.3127–0.3141 · TP 0.3084 / 0.3051 / 0.3001 · SL 0.3217

NFA · DYOR

Long on $REZ reached TP3 at 0.004051.

RSI went from 50 near entry to 50 at the target. No chase: the order sat in the planned zone and the plan did the rest.

How it played out:
- Entry zone 0.00384–0.003858 filled right at the post
- TP1 0.003925 hit ~15m after entry
- TP2 0.003975 hit ~1h after entry
- TP3 0.004051 hit ~1h15m after entry
- Worst move against: 0.10%, SL 0.003723 untouched

NFA · DYOR