📊 2026.8.14 BTC Next plan: first watch 62,200, then wait for a rebound to sell from the high
Let me talk about the next steps.
This part looks like it’s falling hard, but in reality it’s only a little over a thousand points, and the process hasn’t been smooth. My view is that for this round of short-term decline, we should first look around 62,000—more specifically, 62,200.
If the price reaches 62,200, I will close all my short-term short positions, while keeping the long-term shorts with lower leverage. You can also try a rebound long entry here, but treat it only as a short-term trade; opening a long position won’t change my overall bearish view.
The long plan is simple: observe and enter around 62,200, with a stop loss 1,500 points below the entry cost. For the upside, I’d see at most 64,800 first. When it’s time to exit, exit—don’t imagine the rebound as a reversal.
There’s also an alternative short strategy. On the 4-hour level, there’s still a gap around 64,500—65,000 above. Around 64,500 there’s also liquidity. If later it truly rebounds back there, I will consider placing a short order around 65,000, with a stop loss at 66,500. Take-profit will be decided based on how strong the subsequent drop is at that time.
So these two sets of plans don’t conflict:
First, see whether there’s support at 62,200—if there is, do a rebound trade for a while. If the rebound reaches 64,500—65,000, then look for another opportunity to short again. If it doesn’t reach the levels, wait—don’t chase or sell in the middle.
The above is only my personal market analysis and trading-thought notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Please control your position size and risk according to your own circumstances.
#BTC #比特币 #Market analysis
Let me talk about the next steps.
This part looks like it’s falling hard, but in reality it’s only a little over a thousand points, and the process hasn’t been smooth. My view is that for this round of short-term decline, we should first look around 62,000—more specifically, 62,200.
If the price reaches 62,200, I will close all my short-term short positions, while keeping the long-term shorts with lower leverage. You can also try a rebound long entry here, but treat it only as a short-term trade; opening a long position won’t change my overall bearish view.
The long plan is simple: observe and enter around 62,200, with a stop loss 1,500 points below the entry cost. For the upside, I’d see at most 64,800 first. When it’s time to exit, exit—don’t imagine the rebound as a reversal.
There’s also an alternative short strategy. On the 4-hour level, there’s still a gap around 64,500—65,000 above. Around 64,500 there’s also liquidity. If later it truly rebounds back there, I will consider placing a short order around 65,000, with a stop loss at 66,500. Take-profit will be decided based on how strong the subsequent drop is at that time.
So these two sets of plans don’t conflict:
First, see whether there’s support at 62,200—if there is, do a rebound trade for a while. If the rebound reaches 64,500—65,000, then look for another opportunity to short again. If it doesn’t reach the levels, wait—don’t chase or sell in the middle.
The above is only my personal market analysis and trading-thought notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Please control your position size and risk according to your own circumstances.
#BTC #比特币 #Market analysis