Bear Market for BTC Remains Unbeaten
Each major Bitcoin bear market in recent history has lasted roughly 365 days (about 12 monthly candles) from the cycle peak to the eventual bottom.
Historical Pattern
> 2013 peak → 2015 bottom: ~406–411 days
> 2017 peak → 2018 bottom: ~363–364 days
> 2021 peak → 2022 bottom: ~376–377 days
The chart marks this pattern with a consistent rectangle labeled “12 bars, 365d”. The current cycle, measured from the all-time high in October 2025 at around $126,000, follows a similar timeline.
Where We Stand
By mid-August 2026, we’re already about 310+ days into the drawdown phase. That leaves roughly 54 days on the historical clock if the pattern holds—pointing to a possible cycle low window in early to mid-October 2026.
$BTC
$GUN
Each major Bitcoin bear market in recent history has lasted roughly 365 days (about 12 monthly candles) from the cycle peak to the eventual bottom.
Historical Pattern
> 2013 peak → 2015 bottom: ~406–411 days
> 2017 peak → 2018 bottom: ~363–364 days
> 2021 peak → 2022 bottom: ~376–377 days
The chart marks this pattern with a consistent rectangle labeled “12 bars, 365d”. The current cycle, measured from the all-time high in October 2025 at around $126,000, follows a similar timeline.
Where We Stand
By mid-August 2026, we’re already about 310+ days into the drawdown phase. That leaves roughly 54 days on the historical clock if the pattern holds—pointing to a possible cycle low window in early to mid-October 2026.
$BTC
$GUN