Markets are awaiting the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Jobless Claims data—figures that may clearly increase volatility around the announcement time.
📊 Market expectations:
🔹 Monthly PPI: 0.2%
🔹 Annual PPI: 4.9% vs 5.5% previously
🔹 Core Monthly PPI: 0.3%
🔹 Unemployment claims: 202K vs 199K previously
👀 How should we read the data educationally?
🟢 Producer inflation below expectations + higher unemployment claims may support expectations of less-tight monetary policy; this scenario could be positive for risk assets.
🔴 Core PPI at 0.4% or higher with unemployment claims lower than expected may bring back inflation worries and pressure the market.
🟡 Numbers very close to expectations may make the market’s initial reaction choppy and indecisive.
For me, Core PPI is the most important figure to watch, but more important than predicting the direction $BTC
before the news is observing the price reaction after the data is released.
⚠️ During the data release, we may see fast candles and wicks in both directions, so the first move is not always the real direction of the market.
📚 Educational analysis only, not a buy or sell recommendation.
📊 Market expectations:
🔹 Monthly PPI: 0.2%
🔹 Annual PPI: 4.9% vs 5.5% previously
🔹 Core Monthly PPI: 0.3%
🔹 Unemployment claims: 202K vs 199K previously
👀 How should we read the data educationally?
🟢 Producer inflation below expectations + higher unemployment claims may support expectations of less-tight monetary policy; this scenario could be positive for risk assets.
🔴 Core PPI at 0.4% or higher with unemployment claims lower than expected may bring back inflation worries and pressure the market.
🟡 Numbers very close to expectations may make the market’s initial reaction choppy and indecisive.
For me, Core PPI is the most important figure to watch, but more important than predicting the direction $BTC
before the news is observing the price reaction after the data is released.
⚠️ During the data release, we may see fast candles and wicks in both directions, so the first move is not always the real direction of the market.
📚 Educational analysis only, not a buy or sell recommendation.