花涧空

✨

📊 Current status: ETH price is $1,880. 24h trading volume is $6 billion. Over the past week, it has mostly been moving back and forth within the $1,854–$1,935 range. The latest hourly candle closed around $1,878.
$ETH

📉 Short-term rhythm: Over the past few trading days, the highs have been stepping down ($1,934 → $1,928 → $1,918). The lows have repeatedly tested the $1,855–$1,870 area as well. This is a typical pattern of 【late stagnation at higher levels and shifting the center downward】. Short-term momentum is weak, but it hasn’t broken down.

🎯 Key levels:
Support: $1,855–$1,860 (the lower edge of the range). If this breaks, it will likely move down to look for the $1,800 psychological level.
Resistance: $1,900 and $1,920–$1,935 (the upper edge of the range). Only a breakout with increased volume can open room.

💡 Trading suggestions:
If you already hold positions: Don’t panic. As long as the range hasn’t broken, hold. If it breaks below $1,850, then consider trimming.
If you’re on the sidelines: Don’t chase. Wait for a pullback to $1,855–$1,865 and试多 with a small position size. Set a stop loss below $1,845.
For swing traders: As long as the range hasn’t been broken, it’s a high-sell / low-buy setup.

⚠️ Risk warning: Right now, ETH is moving with the overall market rhythm—when <$BTC > moves, ETH has to shake along with it. Don’t take positions that are too heavy, okay.

✨✨✨✨✨

This is only a technical analysis of the chart and does not constitute investment advice.
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉
#ETH质押比例创34.4%纪录

In a bear market, everyone likes to predict the lowest price for this round, $BTC . Let me take a shot at it too!
What do you think the bottom will be? Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments!
Personally, I predict the extreme bottom for this round at 44000U📉
Three core points:

1. Technical Cycle: The high was 126,000, and a 65% golden retracement perfectly corresponds to the 44,000 range;

2. Miner Cost Hard Support⛏️: The shutdown price for mainstream S23 water-cooled miners is 44,000. This is the new generation computing power's bottom line; if it drops below this, many will shut down, leading to massive selling pressure; the older S21 miners at 69,000-74,000 will reduce output in advance to cushion the drop;

3. Capital Flow: The spot ETF continues to provide a floor, making it hard to replicate the deep crashes of previous years. After the panic selling clears in Q4, we may see a bottom⏳

This prediction is based solely on cycles and mining costs, and there could be black swan events in the market. This does not constitute investment advice; invest your spare change to maintain a calm mindset✨
Once we hit a price you consider suitable, you can start to accumulate! Gradually increase your position; if you keep waiting for the absolute lowest price, you might miss out on this round of opportunities!

⚠️ Crypto investments carry extremely high risks, so enter the market with caution.

August 12, an established high-performance blockchain platform Harmony experienced another security incident today. On-chain analysis indicates that Harmony may have been hit by a zero-block vulnerability attack. The attacker minted approximately 4 billion ONE tokens without authorization, accounting for about 26% of the current circulating supply. Of these, roughly 2.8 billion ONE tokens were then transferred to trading platforms, creating noticeable sell pressure in the market. As a result, the ONE price was briefly cut in half during the day.$ONE
#美国7月CPI与PPI数据本周出炉

After $KUAISHOU , can we directly say “Kuaishou” in the livestream room without saying “Kuaishou” anymore? After all, the currency pair I’m trading is KUAUSHOUUSDT on Binance.

Now we can directly trade Kuaishou and Meituan stocks on Binance!
#Shein最早下周启动香港IPO招股
#港股

$TUT $TST
The mindset of playing counterfeit coins can be benchmarked against the equity investment logic of Alibaba and top-tier investment banks.
Investment banks make hundreds of venture capital deals within a year; most of those projects fail and incur losses. They only break through by relying on a very small number of targets that surge dramatically, earning dozens of times returns—thereby offsetting all losses and still ending up with substantial profits.

Laying out counterfeit coins is similar. Diversify across 20 coins. Most market moves will be ordinary, and some may even pull back and cause losses. But as long as you hold at least one “black horse” coin that can run dozens or even hundreds of times, your overall returns can achieve a turnaround.
The key takeaways are twofold: manage position sizing and capital controls well, and leave the rest to time and patience to bide its time.

⚠️ Risk note: Counterfeit coins are extremely volatile. Be sure to tightly control the principal you invest, and never go heavy on positions.

$TRX Is this what happens when you take the wrong medicine? 💊?
#孙宇晨预言

AI boom ≠ the 2000 internet bubble

This current AI cycle is exactly the same as the frenzy narrative of the 2000 dot-com bubble:
Both have expectations for a new technology revolution pushed to the limit, capital flooding in uncontrollably, valuations far exceeding earnings, the market’s collective FOMO, upstream shovel-seller stocks surging first, and C-end breakout products not yet formed.

But the essence is completely different:
In 2000, the internet was a “pure bubble”: no revenue, no execution, no user infrastructure—people relied only on storytelling, and the crash meant the destruction of the entire industry.

This round of AI is a “structural boom”:
There is real B-end paid demand, real orders for compute, a mature digitalization foundation, and big firms with steady cash flow.
In the future, there won’t be an overall collapse—what will happen is that companies that only hype concepts and are essentially junk will be weeded out, leaving true technology, true compute, and truly implementable businesses.$NVDA.US
$MU
$SKHY

One-sentence summary:
2000 was a nationwide false bull market; 2026 is an industrial upgrade plus localized bubbles.
#CLARITY法案参议院程序性投票延后

$BTC four-year cycle is still ongoing (2026 - 2029)
2026 - Bear market (we are right here)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell


So far, the 4-year cycle has been executed perfectly.
Do what the bear market is supposed to do!
Following the continuity of the structure, 2027 will be the next buying opportunity...

$BTC
The 4-year cycle continues...

Cycle 1 (2010 - 2013)
2010 - Sprouting teeth (bear market)
2011 - Buy
2012 - Hold
2013 - Sell

Cycle 2 (2014 - 2017）

2014 - Bear market
2015 - Buy
2016 - Hold
2017 - Sell

Cycle 3 (2018 - 2021）

2018 - Bear market
2019 - Buy
2020 - Hold
2021 - Sell

Cycle 4 (2022 - 2025)

2022 - Bear market
2023 - Buy
2024 - Hold
2025 - Sell

Cycle 5 (2026 - 2029)

2026 - Bear market (we’re right here now)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell

So far, the 4-year cycle has played out perfectly.

In a bear market, do what a bear market is supposed to do!

Following the continuation of the structure, 2027 will be the next buy opportunity...

The Nasdaq launches a 23-hour trading system.

Before trading US stocks:

Work during the day,
watch the market at night📉.

Now:

Watch US stocks during the day,
watch US stocks at night,
and keep watching US stocks into the early morning
#美股2026
Is this trying to align with the crypto world, or to dump coins and steal users from the crypto world?

This is really a talent, huh! In the village they don’t allow playing with crypto coins—don’t you know?
Even the wise have a thousand thoughts; it’s not as good as an idiot suddenly coming up with a good idea!
And you’re still tagging cz and heyi— they’ve already got the idea to crush you!
Or is it that you got liquidated and lost, so now you want to bring in a few more people to keep you company?
$BTC

Why run around everywhere—Binance's security department has it all! @CZ
Buy virtual currency
Buy US stocks
Buy gold
Buy oil
Do contracts
Post
Go live
……

With Binance in hand, I have the whole world! $BNB

Stocks are dropping harder than the crypto market—where did the money go?
A new day in August, a fresh start!

In the past 24 hours, the lowest price was $1,848 for $ETH . Why did Arthur Hayes urgently sell $4.3 million worth of ETH below the market price? Is it because he urgently needs cash flow, or because he smelled the scent of an ETH waterfall 📉?

The Advanced Coin-Hoarder’s Realm: No Coins in Your Mind.

You no longer constantly watch the market quotes, nor refresh various news sites and forums every day.
Fully accept that short-term price swings are a normal part of the market, and that sudden one-day surges or crashes won’t affect your life and mindset.

Bitcoin is only one part of your asset allocation—it isn’t your whole life.
Prioritize managing real life, improving yourself, and maintaining health and relationships.
Don’t let the candlestick chart dictate all of your emotions.

Only when you’re no longer staring at the screen every moment and feeling anxious about the market can you truly have the mindset for long-term holdings.$BTC

Stockpiling Bitcoin: A Coin-Standard Mindset

Gold Standard: The economy uses real currency (gold-backed US dollars) as a value benchmark.
Coin Standard: Use Bitcoin as the value yardstick.

Switching to a coin-standard perspective will completely reshape your understanding:

1. Dollar-cost averaging Bitcoin is no longer “investing for speculation,” but rather digital saving;
​
2. Your focus shifts from gains and losses in fiat to changes in the amount of Bitcoin you hold;
​
3. In a bull market, sell part of your Bitcoin for fiat; in a bear market, use idle fiat to accumulate more Bitcoin;
​
4. No longer get caught in the frenzy of constantly recruiting people to enter. No matter how many newcomers come in, 1 BTC is still 1 BTC. Holding on to your own chips is the most important.

People who think in terms of the fiat standard keep watching BTC/USDT price fluctuations and are easily swayed by short-term price volatility.
Coin-standard holders aim to collect as much Bitcoin as possible during bear markets, and to realize some fiat during bull markets. $BTC

An hourly K-line chart—so many oversold signals! This is rare! Even $BTC is oversold. Isn't this the best time to bottom-fish in the short term? $ETH $SOL —bottom-fishing feels like it’s time to go!

$BTC 13Returns for each quarter over the years!
Among them, in 2022 all four quarters were loss-making,
in 2018, 3 quarters were loss-making and 1 quarter was profitable
in 2014, 3 quarters were loss-making and 1 quarter was profitable

Next, in 2014, losses in 2 quarters exceeded 35%
in 2018, losses in 2 quarters exceeded 40%
in 2022, losses in 1 quarter exceeded 50%
And from 2026 to now, the maximum loss in a single quarter is still only 22%; bigger losses are very likely to be within these four quarters!