The subway is almost at the Futian Port station, and I’m still refreshing the US stock perpetuals ranking.

My finger is hovering over $LITE and I haven’t swiped past it. It didn’t just surge the hardest—it has that kind of “there’s volume, there’s volatility, and the capital hasn’t gotten so crowded it feels overheated” vibe that makes me want to take another look.

Over the last 24 hours, it’s up 5.12%. The current price is $922.43. The intraday high and low are far apart—it touched $967.43 and also dipped to $837.35.

This kind of chart action says one thing: there’s a lot of disagreement, but the buyers aren’t gone.

I’m leaning bullish on it, but I’m not doing it because I’m chasing some single parabolic surge.

As far as I understand, Lumentum is basically still a company tied to the communications, optical components side—so it can benefit from big directions like AI infrastructure and data center capacity expansion.

But these kinds of stocks are also annoying in this way: they usually aren’t that lively day to day. Once the market starts giving “compute supply chain upstream” companies a valuation reset, their upside often moves more directly and more sharply than the big-name stocks everyone already knows.

Another point that makes me feel comfortable is that today’s trading volume is already 136.07M USDT, and its ranking isn’t low either. In the US perpetuals gainers list, it’s at #16, and by volume it’s #11.

But the funding rate is still +0.0000%—that’s actually pretty interesting.

It suggests the chasing contract sentiment hasn’t turned into an one-sided crowd yet. At least it’s not in that state where everyone looks bullish and once you go in, it’s easy to get hit by a pullback.

Open interest is 22,877 contracts as well, and you can tell someone is taking it seriously—this isn’t just cold tickets sitting there and slowly drifting up on their own.

I’ve lost a lot of times before. I’m most afraid of the kind of situation where the moment some news drops, the whole internet is hyping it, the funding rate is hot to the touch, and I let my hands itch and jump in—then the very next day I get shoved right back.

Right now, $LITE doesn’t feel like that script.

Of course, the intraday range is still fierce—going from $837.35 to $967.43 isn’t small change.

If you treat it like a defensive asset, you’d probably feel uncomfortable sitting in it.

One more thing: I don’t dare pretend I understand too much about company-level details. What I care about more is whether the direction it’s in has been picked back up by the market for trading.

If it were me, I’d put $LITE in the “keep tracking” list—lean bullish, but I only accept scaling in, not chasing it once the mood gets hot.

The market is changing; what’s true today might not hold for tomorrow. $LITE

#USStocks