$SEI 1H Technical Analysis | Relief Bounce or Another Rejection? 📊

$SEI is sitting at an interesting decision point on the 1H timeframe. The broader structure remains bearish, but price is approaching an area where a short-term relief bounce could develop.

The key level I’m watching is 0.04061. Until buyers can decisively reclaim and hold above that previous swing high, I’m treating any upside move as a potential counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed reversal.

🟢 First scenario: Liquidity sweep and relief bounce

The first area of interest is the 0.03982 demand zone.

If price sweeps below this level, finds strong buying pressure and quickly reclaims it, a relief move toward:

0.04061 → 0.04099 → 0.04117

becomes possible.

I wouldn't enter simply because price touches 0.03982. I want to see confirmation such as:

Bullish pin bar

Bullish engulfing candle

Strong rejection wick

5M/15M market-structure shift

Increasing buying volume

That would give the bounce more credibility.

🚀 Bullish breakout setup

The stronger bullish scenario comes if $SEI can close decisively above 0.04061.

A breakout alone isn't enough for me. I'd prefer:

Break 0.04061 → Retest → Hold → Bullish confirmation

If 0.04061 successfully flips from resistance into support, the next upside targets become:

🎯 0.04099
🎯 0.04117
🎯 0.04185–0.04223

The 0.04185–0.04223 region becomes the larger resistance/supply area to watch if momentum continues.

🔴 Bearish rejection setup

The other possibility is that price pushes above 0.04061, takes liquidity, and immediately fails.

That would be a potential bull trap.

If trades around 0.04055–0.04065 and prints a strong bearish rejection, bearish engulfing candle, or lower-timeframe structure shift, a short setup could develop.

Downside targets:

0.04000 → 0.03982

If sellers continue to dominate and price loses 0.03963 with a decisive close, the next area I'd watch is around:

0.03950