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橙子Joyce
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橙子Joyce

价值投资者:以十年为单位投资美股及BTC.ETH.BNB.SOL.推特X:@Joyce88ai
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U.S. July CPI, PPI, and retail sales data all came in soft. Combined with cooling employment, the market’s odds of a September rate hike at the Federal Reserve plunged from 75% to 25%, lifting global stock markets for a third straight week. However, oil prices are still elevated, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened, and the long end of the bond market continues to price in inflation and fiscal deficits. With the Jackson Hole meeting coming into focus in two weeks, it is set to become a key directional signal. U.S. inflation data unexpectedly cooled, while employment and consumption also softened. This week, market expectations for a September rate hike rapidly unwound. But abnormal signals from the long end of the bond market, the surge in oil prices, and the persistence of hawkish officials are challenging this “pause narrative.” The probability of a September rate hike fell sharply from 75% in late July to around 25%. That drove global stock markets higher for a third consecutive week, and major U.S. indexes remained near historical highs. AI infrastructure-related earnings have continued to be strong, providing additional support for technology stocks and allowing equity markets, for the time being, to overlook the warning sounds coming from both oil-price shocks and the long end of the bond market. Yet the Iran/Strait of Hormuz crisis pushed Brent crude up by nearly 6% this week, approaching $90 per barrel; at the same time, the auction yield on U.S. 30-year Treasuries touched the highest level in 25 years. While stocks cheer “the Fed turning,” the long end of the bond market is still pricing inflation and fiscal deficits—two sets of logic running in parallel. Who is right versus who is wrong could be the most important trading question of the second half of this year. Inflation cools, September rate-hike expectations collapse This week’s biggest macro driver comes from a series of softer U.S. data: July CPI rose only about 0.1% month over month, and about 3.4% year over year; core inflation pressures continue to ease moderately; July PPI was flat month over month, coming in below expectations; July retail sales fell 0.6% month over month, the largest single-month drop in more than a year. It was far worse than the market’s expectation of a slight increase. Weakness in autos, oil prices, and several timing-related factors all weighed on the figures. Combined with the nonfarm payroll data already released last week (down by 23,000 and revised lower), the soft-data mix caused the market’s expectations for near-term Fed hikes to unravel across the board, erasing all the hawkish premium that had built up since Chair Powell took over.
U.S. July CPI, PPI, and retail sales data all came in soft. Combined with cooling employment, the market’s odds of a September rate hike at the Federal Reserve plunged from 75% to 25%, lifting global stock markets for a third straight week. However, oil prices are still elevated, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened, and the long end of the bond market continues to price in inflation and fiscal deficits. With the Jackson Hole meeting coming into focus in two weeks, it is set to become a key directional signal.

U.S. inflation data unexpectedly cooled, while employment and consumption also softened. This week, market expectations for a September rate hike rapidly unwound. But abnormal signals from the long end of the bond market, the surge in oil prices, and the persistence of hawkish officials are challenging this “pause narrative.”

The probability of a September rate hike fell sharply from 75% in late July to around 25%. That drove global stock markets higher for a third consecutive week, and major U.S. indexes remained near historical highs.

AI infrastructure-related earnings have continued to be strong, providing additional support for technology stocks and allowing equity markets, for the time being, to overlook the warning sounds coming from both oil-price shocks and the long end of the bond market.

Yet the Iran/Strait of Hormuz crisis pushed Brent crude up by nearly 6% this week, approaching $90 per barrel; at the same time, the auction yield on U.S. 30-year Treasuries touched the highest level in 25 years.

While stocks cheer “the Fed turning,” the long end of the bond market is still pricing inflation and fiscal deficits—two sets of logic running in parallel. Who is right versus who is wrong could be the most important trading question of the second half of this year.

Inflation cools, September rate-hike expectations collapse

This week’s biggest macro driver comes from a series of softer U.S. data:

July CPI rose only about 0.1% month over month, and about 3.4% year over year; core inflation pressures continue to ease moderately;

July PPI was flat month over month, coming in below expectations;

July retail sales fell 0.6% month over month, the largest single-month drop in more than a year. It was far worse than the market’s expectation of a slight increase. Weakness in autos, oil prices, and several timing-related factors all weighed on the figures.

Combined with the nonfarm payroll data already released last week (down by 23,000 and revised lower), the soft-data mix caused the market’s expectations for near-term Fed hikes to unravel across the board, erasing all the hawkish premium that had built up since Chair Powell took over.
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13F Unveiled | Nvidia’s Q2 Holdings Revealed: SpaceX Jumps to Second-Largest Stake—What Game Is Jensen Huang Playing Next?Nvidia’s relationship with Musk is no longer just about “selling chips” and “buying chips.” Today, $Nvidia (NVDA.US)$ disclosed its Q2 holdings report, for the first time publicly revealing its position in SpaceX: as of June 30, the company held approximately 123 million shares of SpaceX Class A stock. At the end of the quarter, the position was valued at about $21 billion, accounting for 33.06% of its disclosed stock portfolio—second only to Intel—making it Nvidia’s second-largest equity holding. According to FactSet’s statistical definition, Nvidia also entered the ranks of SpaceX’s top six shareholders. What is even more noteworthy is that this is not a typical secondary-market purchase; rather, it is a strategic layout orchestrated through a combination of xAI investment, SpaceX acquisitions, and chip procurement.

13F Unveiled | Nvidia’s Q2 Holdings Revealed: SpaceX Jumps to Second-Largest Stake—What Game Is Jensen Huang Playing Next?

Nvidia’s relationship with Musk is no longer just about “selling chips” and “buying chips.”
Today, $Nvidia (NVDA.US)$ disclosed its Q2 holdings report, for the first time publicly revealing its position in SpaceX: as of June 30, the company held approximately 123 million shares of SpaceX Class A stock. At the end of the quarter, the position was valued at about $21 billion, accounting for 33.06% of its disclosed stock portfolio—second only to Intel—making it Nvidia’s second-largest equity holding.
According to FactSet’s statistical definition, Nvidia also entered the ranks of SpaceX’s top six shareholders. What is even more noteworthy is that this is not a typical secondary-market purchase; rather, it is a strategic layout orchestrated through a combination of xAI investment, SpaceX acquisitions, and chip procurement.
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TradeMaster_PK
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Bullish
Received USDT Rewards Gift 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🎁🎁🎁🎁
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#bitcoinminingdifficultyfalls14fromyearhigh High #XRPLedgerUpgradeToRestorePulledFeatures
#BIP110SoftForkAttemptBegins #SenateReadiesSeptemberCLARITYActVote te #BIP110ForkSignalingExpectedThisWeekend
币盈Anna
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RWA compliance framework: the three main routes in the United States, the European Union, and China How MiCA, the Genius Act, and China’s policy from eight departments regulate tokenized assets
RWA compliance framework: the three main routes in the United States, the European Union, and China
1. Why compliance is the first lifeline in RWA: The content in this area is actually relatively sensitive. Some fans commented in the back channel that they want to know about this part. I’ve generally been quite cautious, but I’ll still say a little. In fact, a lot of the details are not for discussion—don’t say it, don’t say it, don’t say it. Native encrypted assets can be “run first, review later.” Once the code is deployed, you can talk. But RWA is tied to real-world assets and the value of fiat currency. Its compliance is not optional; it’s a threshold that must be faced from day one. Once you cross a red line, the consequences are not just “there’s a bug in the code.” It’s that the custody account gets frozen, the product is delisted, and the team bears real legal responsibility. So the first step in doing RWA isn’t writing contracts—it’s figuring out “which market, who you sell to, and how it is regulated.”
湖南交易员之家
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Bullish
#dusk $DUSK Dusk is ushering in a new phase that truly brings blockchain into regulated financial deployment. It focuses on privacy, compliance, and real-world asset digitalization (RWA). Its goal isn’t simply to tell a story, but to provide usable infrastructure for regulated financial scenarios. Compared with many projects that only emphasize performance or narratives, Dusk places greater emphasis on meeting regulatory requirements while protecting user privacy—an aspect that holds significant room for imagination in terms of future institutional participation and the development of on-chain finance. If the ecosystem, applications, and adoption continue to advance, Dusk has the opportunity to take a unique position in the race for privacy finance and compliant asset issuance. Worth keeping an eye on, but also evaluate independently in light of the market environment and project progress.

BANK大鹤
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There are many ways to make money, but only one way to lose it all back.
In the crypto world, you’ve seen too many people get rich overnight, and too many people hit zero.
Some make money through trading, some make money by mining and farming rewards, and others by holding coins long-term.
But in the end, the ones who manage to keep their wealth usually get three things right:
✅ First: Stick to the right things over the long term
Don’t bet on direction, don’t get greedy for short-term gains. Slow is fast. Make small wins and small losses, and avoid big losses.
✅ Second: Have a clear understanding of money
Control your position sizing. Don’t add to your holdings impulsively when you’re emotional. Every investment must be made with a clear idea of how much you can afford to lose.
✅ Third: Continuously improve your understanding
Keep learning, understand market logic, and the compounding effect of your knowledge is the most valuable asset.
Just like that classic saying:
“Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. Those who understand it make money with it; those who don’t end up paying for it.”
📌 A real master isn’t the one who makes money the fastest, but the one who can last the longest
蛋花955
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Only when you have a good mood will you have good luck. It’s enough to live well in the present. Don’t brood over yesterday, which can’t be changed. And don’t overthink tomorrow, which you can’t predict. If your heart is calculating and resentful, troubles will be everywhere. If your heart is more open and relaxed, every day will feel like spring.
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@钞机八蛋
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[LIVE] 🎙️ Let’s keep talking about DUSK—let’s build the Binance Square together!
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Elena神话
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Lately, I’ve been increasingly thinking that if Web3 truly wants to expand its user base, it can’t just keep spinning in its own circle.
$niulai $niuIai Choosing to start with film IP is, in my view, a fairly direct attempt.
《Niu Lai》 itself belongs to traditional content, and when combined with the Meme community, it effectively adds a new distribution channel for film IP.
This direction is worth continuing to explore. #niulai #牛来
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神话一
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Bullish
$GOOGL.US
$AAVE
$BLESS
#SanDiskExtendsGainsTo11%
#SP500ClosesAtRecordHigh
#US30YBondBidToCoverFallsTo2.39
#KOSPITops7000AtOpen
#TapestryFallsNearly15%OnEarnings

Leo木BNB_1688
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A friend of mine recently asked me: what are stablecoins actually used for, besides shuffling them back and forth on exchanges?
I laid out what’s happened over the past few months:
The Bank of England-led Digital Pound Lab is testing the cross-border interoperability of stablecoins—exporters receive stablecoins, and importers settle using a potential digital pound. This is an institution at the level of a central bank, testing stablecoins as a settlement tool in real trade scenarios.
When you put this together with a few earlier clues, the pattern becomes clear: the U.S. strategic bitcoin reserves blueprint, South Korea writing crypto assets into the definition of national assets, Fannie Mae accepting crypto assets as collateral, and Russia legalizing cryptocurrencies for use in international trade settlement.
Five developments, five directions—but all pointing to the same thing: crypto assets and stablecoins are shifting from being speculative instruments in financial markets to tools being used by sovereign states and core financial institutions in real economic settings.
When retail users ask “is there a use case?”, the Bank of England, Fannie Mae, the U.S. government, and the South Korean government are already using them—or testing how to use them.
I’m not saying that buying something right now will definitely go up—prices in the short term are driven by sentiment, and it takes time for these grand narratives to be reflected in price. What I’m saying is that when so many sovereign-level institutions make decisions in the same direction, the signal value of that fact alone is worth taking seriously.
Have there been any changes in your view of stablecoins or crypto assets in the public square due to these sovereign-level moves? Share your thoughts.
$BTC


$ETH

彭敏 Luffy
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Don’t Delay Happiness—Live in the Moment 🎈
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凯哥的进击
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🌹Thank you for helping to share THS 🌹
🎁🎁Reply to claim the red envelope 🎁🎁$SOL
✅Wishing your holding market value rises step by step✅
✅Open the trade and profit big, earning money day by day✅
橙子Joyce
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U.S. July CPI, PPI, and retail sales data all came in soft. Combined with cooling employment, the market’s odds of a September rate hike at the Federal Reserve plunged from 75% to 25%, lifting global stock markets for a third straight week. However, oil prices are still elevated, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has steepened, and the long end of the bond market continues to price in inflation and fiscal deficits. With the Jackson Hole meeting coming into focus in two weeks, it is set to become a key directional signal.

U.S. inflation data unexpectedly cooled, while employment and consumption also softened. This week, market expectations for a September rate hike rapidly unwound. But abnormal signals from the long end of the bond market, the surge in oil prices, and the persistence of hawkish officials are challenging this “pause narrative.”

The probability of a September rate hike fell sharply from 75% in late July to around 25%. That drove global stock markets higher for a third consecutive week, and major U.S. indexes remained near historical highs.

AI infrastructure-related earnings have continued to be strong, providing additional support for technology stocks and allowing equity markets, for the time being, to overlook the warning sounds coming from both oil-price shocks and the long end of the bond market.

Yet the Iran/Strait of Hormuz crisis pushed Brent crude up by nearly 6% this week, approaching $90 per barrel; at the same time, the auction yield on U.S. 30-year Treasuries touched the highest level in 25 years.

While stocks cheer “the Fed turning,” the long end of the bond market is still pricing inflation and fiscal deficits—two sets of logic running in parallel. Who is right versus who is wrong could be the most important trading question of the second half of this year.

Inflation cools, September rate-hike expectations collapse

This week’s biggest macro driver comes from a series of softer U.S. data:

July CPI rose only about 0.1% month over month, and about 3.4% year over year; core inflation pressures continue to ease moderately;

July PPI was flat month over month, coming in below expectations;

July retail sales fell 0.6% month over month, the largest single-month drop in more than a year. It was far worse than the market’s expectation of a slight increase. Weakness in autos, oil prices, and several timing-related factors all weighed on the figures.

Combined with the nonfarm payroll data already released last week (down by 23,000 and revised lower), the soft-data mix caused the market’s expectations for near-term Fed hikes to unravel across the board, erasing all the hawkish premium that had built up since Chair Powell took over.
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半币江山
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🔥Big News!🔥
🔥CZ confirms his attendance to speak at the 2026 Bitcoin Asia Conference
The conference will be held in Hong Kong on August 27–28, and it is the largest Bitcoin industry event in Asia.
Major invited guests will boost market expectations on-site, providing an important catalyst for the $BNB ecosystem—watch the market closely🚀
#BinanceLife #BNB #香港Web3
大东哥势不可挡
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Something big happened, something big happened, something big happened!!!
#PredictFun is getting into esports; brothers, you’re in luck 😍 hahaha
Just make a light prediction, and the red envelope will arrive immediately 😍😍😍
$BNB

乘风Sunshine
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“I once said that you should get married early, otherwise all that’s left are the inferior ones—the ‘crooked melons and cracked dates.’ At the same time, Charlie Munger once said that in life you only need to get rich once. Based on my years of observation, I now have to disagree with Mr. Munger: if you don’t marry early and end up with one of those inferior partners, then you’ll need to get rich twice in your life.”
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楠楠势不可挡
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Bullish
Predict prediction platform👍👍👍
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