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$BTC If the Republican Party retains control in the midterm elections, Trump promises to pay all adult Americans $5,000!

Is Brother Zui going to be another smoke-and-mirrors stunt this time, or will he actually send money to his brothers?

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Fed rate-hike expectations heat up: a tug-of-war between data and debt

After the U.S. August PPI data was released last night, market expectations for a Fed rate hike in September quickly rose to about 70%. Both the crypto market and U.S. stocks plunged; at the open, all three major U.S. stock indexes fell across the board. Tech and semiconductor stocks faced the most pressure, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping more than 3% at one point. Notable declines were seen in Intel, SK hynix, Micron, and others.

Bitcoin fell more than 2%–3%, briefly dropping below the $77,000 level. Major cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum also weakened in tandem. The entire market saw a large-scale liquidation event (according to statistics, more than 160,000 people).

Overall PPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, while the year-on-year figure accelerated to 5.4%; core PPI was relatively more moderate. Energy prices were pushed higher by the Middle East situation, and were the main driver. Tonight’s CPI will be the key: if the core data runs hot, the probability of another rate hike may rise further; if it is mild, expectations could ease.

Despite the market’s fairly hawkish pricing, some believe rate hikes are “impossible.” The reason is that U.S. debt has surpassed $40 trillion. Further rate hikes would push up long-term bond yields, increase interest burdens, and ultimately result in nobody wanting to buy U.S. Treasuries. Recent increases in long-term yields and the limited effectiveness of the Treasury’s buyback operations seem to validate this concern. There was also a mysterious options trade yesterday, with $14 million bet on the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breaking 5%.

However, this is not a foregone conclusion. There is still buying support at auctions; higher yields can actually attract institutions pursuing returns. If the market expects a rate hike but it ultimately stays on hold, expectations could be questioned due to the Fed’s anti-inflation resolve, which may push up the term premium and put additional pressure on long-duration bonds. The Fed’s top priority remains controlling inflation, not simply accommodating fiscal needs.

In short, PPI has lifted rate-hike expectations, and tonight’s CPI will set the tone for the near-term direction. This tug-of-war is the clash between market reality and hidden debt concerns.

Fellow readers, make sure to manage your positions and DYOR on your own.
Feel free to exchange ideas and discuss together! $BNB $ZEC #美国8月PPI涨幅低于预期 #美国续请失业金人数177.4万 #苹果发布首款折叠屏手机 $AAPL.US

Flowers bloom in all seasons, rivers flow in all directions.
As long as you love, mountains and seas can all be peaceful; everywhere is scenery.

☀️Holding the cup at midday, stealing a moment of calm🍃

When it comes to tea, the key is savoring slowly until the aftertaste comes to you; trading is the same📊。
Fluctuations in the market are normal—there’s no need to stay on edge and tense your mind all the time🕊️。
Learn to step away from the noise when it’s appropriate, and know that standing by to observe is also a kind of wisdom✨。
Keep your inner rhythm steady, and don’t let short-term swings disrupt your judgment。
Wait for your own time—make choices calmly, and let your progress be grounded in what you’ve cultivated💎。
To fellow travelers on the same path: only when the heart is at peace can you go far🌿

#交易心理

#美国8月PPI涨幅低于预期

#1688家族family

📊 $ZEC After the sharp drop, what should you watch?

Just now I took a look at ZEC’s 1-hour chart.

Earlier, it surged from the lows up to around 1296, and now it has quickly pulled back to the 1130—1150 area.

So the current question isn’t “Can ZEC still go up?” but:

Can this pullback hold the support?

📌 First support: 1120—1150

Look at the spot on my chart—this is also the area where price previously traded back and forth multiple times.

If it can stop the bleeding here and then reclaim the 1180—1200 zone, I think there’s a chance for the short-term to retest the overhead resistance.

📌 Second support: 1085—1100

If 1150 can’t hold, then next I will focus on this level.

If this area is also broken, the short-term structure will clearly weaken.

📌 Overhead resistance: 1200—1250

For ZEC to regain strength, it first needs to reclaim 1200.

If it can break through 1250 with increased volume later, then going on to challenge 1280—1300 would make the structure look even better.

And if 1300 can be broken through effectively and held, then many analysts’ viewpoints in the market may further shift toward the 1400—1500 area.

So my strategy is not to chase from the current position.

When it stabilizes around 1150 → watch for a rebound.

Break above 1200 → short-term turns strong again.

Break above 1250 and hold → look at 1280—1300.

Break below 1100 → defend first, then look around 1000.

My current view on ZEC is:

The medium-term trend is still mildly bullish, but the 1-hour chart is in a pullback.

It rose too fast earlier—now profit-taking is completely normal.

So what I care about more is whether there’s support/continuation after the pullback, not whether it’s falling and then immediately turning bearish.

Especially now that BTC is also dealing with PPI and CPI data—high-volatility coins like ZEC can easily whip up and down with spikes.

You can look for longs, but the entry timing must wait.

No chasing. No FOMO.

🚨BTC volatility fast update｜76,766 tug-of-war, is the volume hiding something?

Current BTC/USDT is 76,766.16 (-1.92%), with a 24h high/low of 78,564 / 76,464. On the daily timeframe, the current price is hovering right near the MA60 (76,753), with buyers and sellers locked in an extreme standoff. In the intraday late segment, a burst of increased volume appeared as a red candle, but the price failed to break through effectively—be alert for a potential false breakout that lures longs.

Also watch Binance’s mining pool package distribution activity. Hot capital may rotate or divert—keep your hands in check and wait until the direction is clear.

⚠️ Risk control first: This article is for objective data sharing and reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Futures trading involves risk—enter the market cautiously, and please avoid FOMO.

BTC #Bitcoin #Binance #Cryptocurrency #MarketAnalysis

💥 More than two thousand years have passed through changing times, yet the wisdom of the *Dao De Jing* has never been outdated. It teaches us to revere nature and follow the laws of the universe; to shed restlessness and let our hearts settle; to learn tolerance and practice contentment. In the years ahead, may we all be able to cultivate Daoist wisdom—carry a calm, ordinary heart; do our deeds with integrity; neither arrogant nor impatient, neither vying nor snatching. Let it all unfold naturally, and find joy in contentment. In the midst of everyday human life, may we keep our original heart, cultivate ourselves, and live with ease and steadiness—secure a lifetime of calm.

#美国银行集团完成USBDC稳定币试点 #Ripple游说推进CLARITY法案投票

#Hawk Community has three fixed live streams every day. Everyone is welcome to join the livestream room and take part in the activities 🉐 Eagle 🦅🦅, with an eagle-powered future full of promise 🌈🌈

🍀 No matter how busy the days get, don’t forget to live well.
May we turn every ordinary day into a good day that we truly love.😊

🧧🔥🧧🔥🧧🔥 Solana (SOL): Transaction V1 upgrade officially activated on September 9, increasing the network’s capacity limit by approximately 3.3x. Along with 7 consecutive weeks of net inflows of institutional funds, after the upgrade stabilizes, look for rotation opportunities between leading DEXs and DeFi protocols within the ecosystem.
Uniswap (UNI): Technical breakout above a multi-year downtrend line, and on the Robinhood Chain, daily fee revenue hit a new high. If $5.84 key support is held, there is a relatively favorable range for trading/betting.
Privacy coins and event catalysts (ZEC / DASH): The first privacy-coin spot ETF has listed in the U.S., and an offline conference has been held, driving short-term capital inflows. However, liquidity for these tokens is relatively thin, so it’s best to participate with small position sizes for a quick in-and-out after a breakout, with strict stop-losses.
Follow me—answer 1 to take away a double $SOL red packet!🧧🔥🧧🔥🧧🔥

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 Little by little, you discover that happiness is hidden in small, fleeting moments. Let go of pointless worries and anxieties, take care of your emotions, and find a sense of ease that belongs to you in everyday life. $币安人生

Follow the reply to claim the red packet 🎁🎁