$INTCB #INTC Here’s the trading conclusion first: if you can’t reclaim 97.315, you need to continue defending 95.46. Current price: 97.28; 1-hour: -0.70%, 24-hour: -1.39%.

Right now, 1-hour is -0.70% and 24-hour is -1.39%, and the two timeframes have not formed sufficiently clear alignment in the same direction. In a range-bound market, the tolerance for chasing and cutting is low. It’s better to use confirmation at the upper boundary to define direction, and confirmation at the lower boundary to confirm support/resumption. The midline is only used as the strength-vs-weakness dividing line.

For key levels: 97.315 is the midline that weak repair must reclaim. If price can’t stand back above here, any rebound should still be viewed as a technical repair. Below, 95.46 still has a chance of being tested again. Only after reclaiming the midline do you have the qualification to further observe 99.17.

My scenario isn’t single-track. If price breaks above 99.17 and can hold it, it means the upside space has been reopened. If it breaks below 95.46 and fails to rebound back, the structure becomes even weaker. If price moves between the two, continue monitoring the closes on both sides of 97.315.

Position management should separate swing (mid-term) and short-term trades. For existing swing positions, first assess whether the structure is broken; don’t let repeated whipsaws from a single 1-hour candlestick overly influence you. For short-term positions, execute around support/resistance and the confirmation from closes. If you’re currently in cash, there’s no need to chase near the middle of the range—waiting for a clearer location usually gives better odds.

Simplifying the conclusion doesn’t mean simplifying risk control. In real execution, you still must wait for price confirmation and leave room to exit if your thesis is invalidated. Next, I’ll focus on tracking whether 97.315 holds or fails. Do you lean more toward testing 99.17 first, or returning to 95.46 first? Feel free to share your view and reasoning.

When the market is hot, you must watch follow-through (acceptance). At this position, do you think the opportunity is greater or the risk is greater? Want to learn about quant hedging arbitrage trading robots? Join the chat.

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