【如果XRP跌破0.9，我会怎么办】
To be honest, I’ve thought about this scenario.
If it really gets smashed down to levels like 0.85 or 0.8, the community will blow up—everywhere you’ll hear “it’s over” and “how much lower can it go?” But the experience I had when I was cut in 2017 taught me that what you should do in that moment isn’t panic. It’s asking yourself: in this position, should I be afraid—or greedy?
First, settle this week’s numbers.
On Monday, the market was still in a fairly optimistic mood, since there were some good notes from the Hormuz side—energy pressure eased a bit. But that optimism didn’t last more than 48 hours. The moment Trump opened his mouth about Iran paying 50 years in compensation, expectations got dragged right back. Oil prices shot back up to around 89, and the crypto market, just like global equities, had nothing but a brief rise.
I checked, and this week, besides XRP, other major coins were actually doing okay—BTC, Ethereum, and BNB all rose by nearly 3%. But XRP? It’s down 6.5% over the past 7 days, and in the last 24 hours it’s still falling. That says a lot.
The market is splitting—not a broad selloff. Someone is being targeted.
Let me talk about which parts of my previous predictions were right and which ones were misses.
The parts that were right: last week I said BTC would keep getting pulled back and forth around $ 65k, making people feel miserable. Now it looks like I was completely validated—because it really couldn’t break upward, and it also couldn’t drop down. It just churned there at that level.
The mistakes: I underestimated how strong the pressure from macro factors would be. I thought inflation data would be a positive. But once oil prices jumped again, expectations got knocked back. I’ll admit it—I was too optimistic.
But the most core problem isn’t the price. It’s the logic.
As XRP has fallen to where it is now, the support level at 0.97 is in real danger. I’m not here to guess whether it will break. Instead, I want to discuss a more practical question: for the Ripple project, can it truly be implemented and take hold?
XRP’s value anchors are twofold: the cross-border payment network and regulatory progress. RippleNet has indeed been pushing forward over the years, but to be honest, regulation has always been hanging in the air. How long has the SEC’s lawsuit been going on? Every time there’s so much as a hint of movement, XRP drops first as a precaution. What does that indicate? That its fundamental support is still quite fragile—it’s not strong enough to withstand macro pressure.
That said, from a valuation perspective, XRP is down 72% from its historical high. That does place it in an oversold zone. There are two possibilities here: either the market has wrongly sold it off and is giving people a chance to pick it up cheap; or fundamentals really are deteriorating, and the price is still on its way back to reality.
I can’t tell you which one is definitely correct. But
To be honest, I’ve thought about this scenario.
If it really gets smashed down to levels like 0.85 or 0.8, the community will blow up—everywhere you’ll hear “it’s over” and “how much lower can it go?” But the experience I had when I was cut in 2017 taught me that what you should do in that moment isn’t panic. It’s asking yourself: in this position, should I be afraid—or greedy?
First, settle this week’s numbers.
On Monday, the market was still in a fairly optimistic mood, since there were some good notes from the Hormuz side—energy pressure eased a bit. But that optimism didn’t last more than 48 hours. The moment Trump opened his mouth about Iran paying 50 years in compensation, expectations got dragged right back. Oil prices shot back up to around 89, and the crypto market, just like global equities, had nothing but a brief rise.
I checked, and this week, besides XRP, other major coins were actually doing okay—BTC, Ethereum, and BNB all rose by nearly 3%. But XRP? It’s down 6.5% over the past 7 days, and in the last 24 hours it’s still falling. That says a lot.
The market is splitting—not a broad selloff. Someone is being targeted.
Let me talk about which parts of my previous predictions were right and which ones were misses.
The parts that were right: last week I said BTC would keep getting pulled back and forth around $ 65k, making people feel miserable. Now it looks like I was completely validated—because it really couldn’t break upward, and it also couldn’t drop down. It just churned there at that level.
The mistakes: I underestimated how strong the pressure from macro factors would be. I thought inflation data would be a positive. But once oil prices jumped again, expectations got knocked back. I’ll admit it—I was too optimistic.
But the most core problem isn’t the price. It’s the logic.
As XRP has fallen to where it is now, the support level at 0.97 is in real danger. I’m not here to guess whether it will break. Instead, I want to discuss a more practical question: for the Ripple project, can it truly be implemented and take hold?
XRP’s value anchors are twofold: the cross-border payment network and regulatory progress. RippleNet has indeed been pushing forward over the years, but to be honest, regulation has always been hanging in the air. How long has the SEC’s lawsuit been going on? Every time there’s so much as a hint of movement, XRP drops first as a precaution. What does that indicate? That its fundamental support is still quite fragile—it’s not strong enough to withstand macro pressure.
That said, from a valuation perspective, XRP is down 72% from its historical high. That does place it in an oversold zone. There are two possibilities here: either the market has wrongly sold it off and is giving people a chance to pick it up cheap; or fundamentals really are deteriorating, and the price is still on its way back to reality.
I can’t tell you which one is definitely correct. But