No one can imagine how brutal the coming bear market will be. Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle remains steady and unchanged. This block halving took place on April 20, 2024. The market follows a clear, fixed rhythm: the 18th month after the halving marks the bull market’s peak; then the following 12 months bring continuous selling pressure and a grinding drawdown until the cycle bottoms out. October 2025 precisely corresponds to the 18th month after the halving, and this Bitcoin bull market’s peak price is set at $126,200. Immediately afterward, a full year of deep decline begins, and the absolute bottom of this cycle is ultimately locked in on October 6, 2026. The bottom won’t quickly reverse and surge; instead, it will go through a long period of sideways consolidation to grind out the base. Therefore, by late 2026 and in early 2027, you can confidently plan to accumulate Bitcoin. The bottom price range will remain at $30,000 to $60,000. Looking back at the previous bull-bear cycle, Bitcoin’s maximum drawdown was 77%. In November 2021, it surged to $69,000; in November 2022, it crashed to a low of $15,500. For three months, it continued to trade in consolidation below $20,000. Based on historical patterns, the end of 2026 is the optimal time to make an all-in entry. With this cycle’s peak at $126,200, a 77% drawdown implies a price of $29,000. The $30,000 level is the core support line for this cycle. In extreme conditions, the price may briefly break below $30,000, but overall the bottom range will be $30,000 to $60,000—and it will inevitably break below the previous bull market’s $69,000 peak. Once Bitcoin falls into the $30,000–$60,000 core low range, you must decisively enter with a full position. Entry must meet three key conditions at the same time: after October 2026, the coin price is $30,000–$60,000, and the fear index is around 10. If all three criteria are met, the overall probability of making profits reaches 99%. Holding long-term until 2029, Bitcoin rising into the $150,000–$250,000 range is enough for you to sell everything and take profit. By the end of 2026, market sentiment will sink into extreme pessimism—Bitcoin death narratives and mining-hashrate collapse conspiracy theories will sweep across the entire internet. The market shifts from being cold and ignored to a unified, collective bearish stance across the web, firmly convinced that the bubble has completely burst. Right now, nobody can predict the arrival of the bear market. Just like in the previous cycle, when Bitcoin was at a low of $15,500 and broke below the 2017 $20,000 high, the market was in extreme fear, and no one believed Bitcoin could return to $100,000 or $150,000. But cycle calculations have already predicted the $100,000 scenario would materialize. This time’s $126,200 peak fully matches the projection—only stopping short of $150,000.