Since you don’t have confidence, then go ahead and short, damn it!
There are four short picks. First choice is NVIDIA, and I’ve always emphasized that we should short it long-term. I already started shorting it last week!
Then it’s QQQ.
The other two are more volatile, but Binance’s order book depth isn’t good enough!
NVDA (current price 219.75) — core position
Structure: rebounded from the 90-day low of 171 by +27%, and is stuck below the 30-day high of 224.76; dense zone: 211; 500-day high: 236.54
Entry: 222-225 (30-day high resistance zone; short after the rebound is done)
Add: 233-237 (the 500-day high at 236.54 = a fakeout zone)
Stop loss: first lot 228; after adding,统一 to 242 (breaks the all-time high = the scenario fails)
Targets: 206 → 190 → 171 → 144
R:R: 224 entry, 228 stop → 206 = 4.5:1; 190 = 8.5:1
QQQ (current price 722.53) — Nasdaq 100
Structure: 11.2% above MA200 at 648, approaching the 90-day high at 748.65; dense zone: 706
Entry: 735-750 (prior high area)
Add: 755-765 (fakeout zone after breaking 748)
Stop loss: first lot 755; after adding, 770
Targets: 700 → 661 → 616 → 575
R:R: 740 entry, 755 stop → 700 = 2.7:1; 661 = 5.3:1
SMH (current price 574.34) — semiconductors (high volatility, light position)
Structure: surged from 378 over 90 days to 659, then fell back to 569, below the MA50; dense zone 569-615 is all trapped positions
Entry: 600-620 (upper edge of the dense zone)
Add: 640-660 (30-day high 659.74)
Stop loss: first lot 635; after adding, 675
Targets: 563 → 500 → 480
TBT (current price 38.47, 2x short 20Y+ U.S. Treasuries)
Structure: MA200 at 34.94, 10% above; 30-day high 38.80; dense zone: 36
Entry: 37.5-38.5 (enter directly in the current-price area)
Add: 36.0-37.0 (add on the pullback into the dense zone)
Stop loss: 35.5 (below the dense zone; if it breaks, = rate decline trend reversal)
Targets: 39.70 (500-day high) → after breakout, 42-44
R:R: 38 entry, 35.5 stop (-2.5) → 39.7 (+1.7) ≈ 0.7:1; 44 = 2.4:1
R:R = Risk/Reward Ratio (risk-reward), defined as “profit ÷ loss risk” for a trade.
Formula: (target price − entry price) ÷ (entry price − stop loss price)
$NVDA
#Aİ
$QQQ
There are four short picks. First choice is NVIDIA, and I’ve always emphasized that we should short it long-term. I already started shorting it last week!
Then it’s QQQ.
The other two are more volatile, but Binance’s order book depth isn’t good enough!
NVDA (current price 219.75) — core position
Structure: rebounded from the 90-day low of 171 by +27%, and is stuck below the 30-day high of 224.76; dense zone: 211; 500-day high: 236.54
Entry: 222-225 (30-day high resistance zone; short after the rebound is done)
Add: 233-237 (the 500-day high at 236.54 = a fakeout zone)
Stop loss: first lot 228; after adding,统一 to 242 (breaks the all-time high = the scenario fails)
Targets: 206 → 190 → 171 → 144
R:R: 224 entry, 228 stop → 206 = 4.5:1; 190 = 8.5:1
QQQ (current price 722.53) — Nasdaq 100
Structure: 11.2% above MA200 at 648, approaching the 90-day high at 748.65; dense zone: 706
Entry: 735-750 (prior high area)
Add: 755-765 (fakeout zone after breaking 748)
Stop loss: first lot 755; after adding, 770
Targets: 700 → 661 → 616 → 575
R:R: 740 entry, 755 stop → 700 = 2.7:1; 661 = 5.3:1
SMH (current price 574.34) — semiconductors (high volatility, light position)
Structure: surged from 378 over 90 days to 659, then fell back to 569, below the MA50; dense zone 569-615 is all trapped positions
Entry: 600-620 (upper edge of the dense zone)
Add: 640-660 (30-day high 659.74)
Stop loss: first lot 635; after adding, 675
Targets: 563 → 500 → 480
TBT (current price 38.47, 2x short 20Y+ U.S. Treasuries)
Structure: MA200 at 34.94, 10% above; 30-day high 38.80; dense zone: 36
Entry: 37.5-38.5 (enter directly in the current-price area)
Add: 36.0-37.0 (add on the pullback into the dense zone)
Stop loss: 35.5 (below the dense zone; if it breaks, = rate decline trend reversal)
Targets: 39.70 (500-day high) → after breakout, 42-44
R:R: 38 entry, 35.5 stop (-2.5) → 39.7 (+1.7) ≈ 0.7:1; 44 = 2.4:1
R:R = Risk/Reward Ratio (risk-reward), defined as “profit ÷ loss risk” for a trade.
Formula: (target price − entry price) ÷ (entry price − stop loss price)
$NVDA
#Aİ
$QQQ