8.8 Wang Ye Er Bing’s Trading Idea
Entry: Sell short in batches around 1920–1940
Stop-loss: Above 1950
Targets: First target 1880
Second target 1850
Core Logic: On the macro side, last night’s non-farm payroll data came in below expectations. Although it briefly reduced the rate-hike expectations, ETH only rebounded slightly to 1943 before quickly falling back. The upward momentum is clearly lacking, and buyers are not strongly willing to chase the price. On geopolitics, the U.S. released news about progress in the Oman–Iran negotiations, but neither Iran nor Oman’s official channels have responded. Geopolitical risk has not truly materialized yet, so uncertainty remains. As a result, ETH has difficulty sustaining a major rebound, and the probability of a bearish comeback is higher. From a technical perspective, ETH surged to 1943 yesterday and then retreated to 1913, forming a typical “spike then pullback” pattern. On the 1-hour chart, the MACD histogram has only slightly turned negative, indicating that short-term momentum to chase higher is fading. The area 1915–1935 is a dense resistance zone; 1942 is immediate intraday resistance, and 1981 is a strong 4-hour resistance level. The current price is only about 1% away, so upside room is extremely limited. On the daily chart, the MACD histogram is still negative, meaning an intraday rebound should not be treated as an outright trend reversal. Overall, the weak market structure has not changed. $ETH #美国7月非农意外下降
Entry: Sell short in batches around 1920–1940
Stop-loss: Above 1950
Targets: First target 1880
Second target 1850
Core Logic: On the macro side, last night’s non-farm payroll data came in below expectations. Although it briefly reduced the rate-hike expectations, ETH only rebounded slightly to 1943 before quickly falling back. The upward momentum is clearly lacking, and buyers are not strongly willing to chase the price. On geopolitics, the U.S. released news about progress in the Oman–Iran negotiations, but neither Iran nor Oman’s official channels have responded. Geopolitical risk has not truly materialized yet, so uncertainty remains. As a result, ETH has difficulty sustaining a major rebound, and the probability of a bearish comeback is higher. From a technical perspective, ETH surged to 1943 yesterday and then retreated to 1913, forming a typical “spike then pullback” pattern. On the 1-hour chart, the MACD histogram has only slightly turned negative, indicating that short-term momentum to chase higher is fading. The area 1915–1935 is a dense resistance zone; 1942 is immediate intraday resistance, and 1981 is a strong 4-hour resistance level. The current price is only about 1% away, so upside room is extremely limited. On the daily chart, the MACD histogram is still negative, meaning an intraday rebound should not be treated as an outright trend reversal. Overall, the weak market structure has not changed. $ETH #美国7月非农意外下降