1⃣ Binance wallet Pre-TGE (Prime Sale model) Sentient (SENT) oversubscribed by about 22 times, if fully filled can receive 11,849.92 SENT, based on the pre-market price of $0.021, worth about $249, with a cost of 0.13839 BNB (about $129).
2⃣ Why do some choose to hedge?
▪️ TGE selling pressure expectation heavy:
January 22 18:00 UTC listed Alpha, initial circulation approximately 21% (community + airdrop accounted for a large part, TGE unlocks about 13% of the community portion).
Binance Prime Sale participants (2% supply) + farmers/early airdrop users are likely to dump quickly.
Historically, similar projects often see a drop immediately after TGE and a short-term retest of the bottom.
▪️ Profit protection mindset:
100U+ profit is already in hand, many people are afraid that the 'cooked duck will fly away.'
▪️ Recent case warning:
Similar projects like Zama have already lost 20-30% before the opening, FOGO has dropped below the IPO price.
3⃣ Why don’t I choose to hedge?
▪️ There are still 48h+ before the opening:
There are still more than 2 days left, and there are still many variables before the opening.
▪️ Not necessarily a crash:
Some markets on Polymarket believe that FDV >600M still has a 50%+ probability, and it may not necessarily crash in the short term.
▪️ Although it is an INDIA project:
There was a previous bull head, which was also a similar project, and it rose quite well; whose project is just a matter of probability.
Of course, if it can rise above 0.03, with a profit of 200u, I will also choose to lock in the profit?
It's just that the current profit is not worth hedging for me, the MMT incident is still fresh in my mind!