$GOOGLB #GOOGL This market trend—can it continue? It doesn’t depend on how much it has already risen beforehand; it depends on whether the trend can complete “push, consolidation, and re-confirmation.” Current: 1 hour -0.22%, 24 hours -0.80%.

The current price is near the lower edge of the past 24-hour range. For the last 1 hour, it’s -0.22%; for the last 24 hours, it’s -0.80%. The core of low-level analysis is not trying to catch the bottom early, but observing whether it can quickly reclaim after breaking down. Being able to reclaim indicates selling pressure is being absorbed; staying below the lower edge for a continued period suggests weakness is not over.

The first condition for a continuation structure is that 357.185 is not effectively broken down. The second condition is that the price can retest and regain a stable position above 360.07. If, after the push, it remains below the midline for a long time, it means the active buy-side is weakening. If it then loses control and falls further below 354.3, the original continuation assumption needs to be canceled.

There are three ways to handle the next path: if it effectively holds above 360.07, wait for a pullback that doesn’t break and then reassess for continuation; if it breaks down below 354.3, prioritize risk control and wait for a new support level; if it continues to oscillate around 357.185, treat it as range rotation and don’t chase direction repeatedly in the middle of the range.

Position management should differentiate between medium-term and short-term holdings. For existing medium-term positions, first check whether the structure is broken; don’t let repeated influences from single 1-hour candlesticks affect you. For short-term positions, execute around support, resistance, and confirmation at the close. Those who are currently in cash shouldn’t chase prices in the middle of the range—waiting for a clearer spot is usually more advantageous.

The focus of short-term positions is not predicting every single candlestick. It’s ensuring there is a basis for entry, trimming, and exit. If there’s no confirmation, do less; if key levels fail, redo the plan. Control the risk of each trade first, then talk about potential room ahead.

I won’t draw a conclusion yet—I’ll just observe the next candlestick. Do you think it will give long opportunities or short opportunities? Do you know about quant hedging arbitrage trading robots? Join the chat.

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