The market just caught its breath, and then fell back into the upside-and-downside deadlock of “trash time.” #比特币 At 63k it clearly can’t keep climbing; XRP and SHIB have crawled out of the hole, but both are stuck below the key moving averages. The short-term long/short tug-of-war hasn’t decided a winner yet.

#SHİB : The 100-day moving average is a “roadblock”

This rebound in SHIB has actually had some momentum. It not only regained the 50-day moving average, but also knocked out several short-term resistance levels in succession. The daily-chart buyers were once quite aggressive. However, after RSI briefly surged above 70, it has cooled off, indicating that the FOMO chasing has calmed down—though thankfully there hasn’t been panic-driven selling.

SHIB has climbed above the 26- and 50-day moving averages on the 26th, but the real tough level is the 100-day moving average (around $0.00000500). My view is very direct: if it can hold above with rising volume, the short-term structure turns bullish and you can look a bit higher; if it gets pushed back down, chances are it will retest the 50-day moving average for support—where it’s actually worth considering a trial entry.

#XRP : The $1.10 psychological level can’t be breached after repeated attempts

The XRP rebound from the $1.0 level was pretty smooth, and the trading volume cooperated well as well—it even formed a small ascending triangle. Unfortunately, it started to look weak when it rebounded to $1.09–$1.10, which is right at the double-suppression zone of the 50- and 100-day moving averages.

What’s most frustrating is that the RSI is still stuck around 45–46 and hasn’t entered a strongly bullish zone. The $1.10 hurdle can’t be broken through; most likely it will go back to retest the $1.00 psychological level. And if $1.00 can’t hold, then this rebound will basically be wasted, and the short-term trend will turn weak again.

Bitcoin: 63k is moving sideways—stuck in a dilemma between upside and downside.

The move that lifted Bitcoin up from the June low did briefly push above the short-term moving averages, but the 50-day moving average never held. Market sentiment has also turned cautious again. Now price is hovering around 63k, with each recent high lower than the last—typical of a weak consolidation pattern.

What I pay attention to most is that the trading volume during this rebound is clearly lower than in the previous wave, which suggests that sidelined capital is still watching and there’s no fresh buying coming in to absorb supply.

The most critical near-term zone is $60k–$61k—that’s the lifeline for the bulls right now. If it can’t hold, it’s likely to test the June lows again. On the other hand, only if it reclaims the 50-day moving average and can further challenge the 100-day moving average can market confidence truly repair; otherwise, it’s just a range-bound tug-of-war with existing positioning.#Palantir涨10%受Q2财报超预期推动