#利率决定
I think the core of tonight can be summed up in one line: everyone thinks they’ll hold their ground, but the fear is that the Fed might suddenly launch a “raid.”
Although mainstream capital is betting that rates will be kept unchanged, oil prices have been rising lately, and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has tightened again—so the inflation tail hasn’t really been cut cleanly. Citadel is willing to bet on a rate hike because it’s betting that the Fed wants to create an “unexpected” move to flex its authority.
For our crypto market, the pullback in the past few days is clearly the main players managing risk ahead of time. If there really is a hike tonight, it will definitely be a heavy blow in the short term. But even if they hold their ground, we still need to watch for hawkish messaging from Powell that could shake out positions. In terms of trading, don’t rush to predict highs and lows—it’s safer to wait and see how the money moves after the “boots drop,” then enter.
$BTC
I think the core of tonight can be summed up in one line: everyone thinks they’ll hold their ground, but the fear is that the Fed might suddenly launch a “raid.”
Although mainstream capital is betting that rates will be kept unchanged, oil prices have been rising lately, and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East has tightened again—so the inflation tail hasn’t really been cut cleanly. Citadel is willing to bet on a rate hike because it’s betting that the Fed wants to create an “unexpected” move to flex its authority.
For our crypto market, the pullback in the past few days is clearly the main players managing risk ahead of time. If there really is a hike tonight, it will definitely be a heavy blow in the short term. But even if they hold their ground, we still need to watch for hawkish messaging from Powell that could shake out positions. In terms of trading, don’t rush to predict highs and lows—it’s safer to wait and see how the money moves after the “boots drop,” then enter.
$BTC