📰 Crypto Market Hotspot Dispatch

1. Ethereum leads the rally, crypto sentiment improves
Ethereum has recently shown clear strength. The ETH/BTC ratio has risen to a three-month high, and ETH has regained the 200-day moving average, indicating that funds are rotating partially from Bitcoin to Ethereum. After selling pressure eased earlier, ETH has rebounded by more than 20% in total. However, Bitcoin still dominates the crypto market’s overall market cap. In the short term, ETH strength is expected to continue lifting sentiment across the altcoin sector.

2. U.S. stocks may enter a seasonally weaker window; defensive assets draw attention
A recent seasonal study from a U.S. bank suggests that the next three months are typically a period of weaker performance for U.S. equities. Historically, the odds of the S&P 500 rising and its average returns have not been favorable. The report argues that defensive assets such as gold, the U.S. dollar, and U.S. Treasuries tend to have a relative advantage during this period. If risk appetite declines, it could indirectly affect crypto capital flows and positioning.

3. Ahead of the FOMC, the market turns cautious; ETF flows become the focus
QCP Capital notes that the key market variables this week are interest rates and Fed policy. U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, and investors are waiting for the FOMC’s signals on inflation and growth prospects. Although the crypto market has been generally strong in July, spot BTC and ETH ETF products have recently recorded combined net outflows. Whether institutional capital can continue to provide support is the key factor for the short term. Options hedging demand has picked up again, indicating that traders are starting to increase their level of defense.

4. Zama boosts privacy transfer performance, accelerating progress in the FHE track
Privacy computing protocol Zama has updated its fully homomorphic encryption library, TFHE-rs. Privacy transfer throughput has increased to 1,080 transactions per second, a major improvement over the prior version, while latency remains at a low level. The team says that current bottlenecks have shifted more toward blockchain-layer consensus and block production speed, rather than the encryption computation itself. This progress could help drive real-world deployment of privacy transfer standards such as ERC-7984.

5. Morgan Stanley optimistic about AI-enabled companies’ earnings performance
Morgan Stanley strategists say that U.S. companies that actively integrate AI capabilities into their businesses are expected to show stronger earnings resilience in the current reporting season. Their research suggests that firms with neutral to strong pricing power have seen even more pronounced margin improvements. With continued advancement of AI-related applications, net profit margins may rise further by 2027. This logic is also continuously strengthening medium- to long-term attention on AI-themed concept assets.

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