【BTC is consolidating and building momentum; a catch-up | 橙子研究院 on Binance Square

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橙子研究院

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【BTC is consolidating and building momentum; a catch-up rally for ETH and SOL may be starting!】

Overall, we keep yesterday’s view and don’t make any major adjustments.

BTC is still moving within a rising consolidation channel, and the larger timeframe structure remains healthy. Although there may be some back-and-forth in the short term, the trend hasn’t changed. From the weekly chart, the bulls are still in control, so our mid-term outlook—expecting a rebound—remains unchanged.

At the moment, our community allocation is only 40% in spot positions, so there’s no real need to cut exposure further. Instead, during BTC’s ongoing consolidation, I’m more focused on the opportunities for ETH and SOL to catch up. After all, our main positions are in these two assets: we can continue holding the bottom lots for ETH at $1,556 and SOL at $65.

At this stage, don’t chase prices or keep tinkering—be patient and wait for BTC to test around $69,000. Then, based on the real-time order book, decide whether to do T-trades or sell in batches to realize profits.

#比特币市值占比升至59% $BTC #BTC #比特币ETF资产规模达809亿美元 $SOL

橙子研究院

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【True strength isn’t hindsight—it’s writing the script in advance!🚨 The first BTC target is basically achieved. Next, focus on ETH and SOL catching up!】

At the moment, our overall outlook remains the same as yesterday.

BTC is already very close to our first target of $67,000. Although the market has entered a pressure zone in the short term, the second target at $69,000 has not been reached yet. Judging from the weekly structure, the uptrend remains intact, so I believe there is still room for further upside.

That said, I need to clarify that my strategy is based on the community currently holding only about 40% in spot positions. If your current allocation is also around 40%, I’m more inclined for you to keep holding patiently and wait for a higher position. If your allocation has already reached 60% or more, then you can fully consider, based on your own risk preference, taking profit in portions here.

In addition, even if the broader market enters a choppy or sideways phase, ETH and SOL still have expectations of catching up. Our earlier setups—ETH at $1,556 and SOL at $65—are still holding up with solid unrealized profits, and the community’s main positions are also concentrated in these two coins. So I’d rather keep holding and wait for the catch-up move to play out.

Especially for SOL: it is currently running at the end of a triangular consolidation and will soon face a directional breakout. The daily MACD is about to form a golden cross above the zero line, and bullish momentum is strengthening. Once the golden cross is confirmed, the probability of an upside break from the triangle will increase further. Then there may be an opportunity to challenge the overhead big-box resistance area—currently looking at $97【as shown in Figure 1】

So the strategy for now remains unchanged: keep watching BTC’s two target levels at $67,000 and $69,000; continue to patiently hold ETH and SOL while waiting for them to catch up. If your position size is lighter, you can continue holding; if your position size is heavier, take profit in batches according to your own situation.

#BTC走势分析 $SOL #美联储料7月29日维持利率不变 $ETH #比特币触及66500美元一个月高点

Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No advice. Binance AI may be used without guarantee. See T&Cs.