💰 Trading Plan | July 17 | BNBUSDT.P 🔥
BNBUSDT.P - 1H
🔹 Market Context
🔸 Higher Timeframe (4H)
Strong dump candle from the top; on the 4H timeframe, CHoCH is appearing with an increase, but a BOS increase has not yet been formed to confirm the reversal.
Price is currently trading within the Premium zone after a strong retracement, indicating that sell pressure has weakened but the uptrend has not yet been confirmed. The HTF is currently leaning toward a balanced (balance) state.
🔸 Lower Timeframe (1H)
After the 1H SSL sweep, the buyer forms an increasing 1H CHoCH and pushes price back into the Premium zone.
After forming a 1H Equal High and ranging sideways near the top zone, price dropped to create a decreasing CHoCH, indicating selling pressure is still strong.
Currently, price has pulled back to the 4h OB zone with gradually decreasing volume. There is a price reaction on the LTF.
🔸 Order Flow & Derivatives
OI
Flat and rising within the bullish leg creates a higher 1H CHoCH
Continue rising throughout the sideways movement at the 1H EQH top
Slight drop in the bearish leg creates a lower 1H CHoCH
Most of the OI was built during the up-move and has not been fully unwound yet, suggesting the existing Long positions from earlier are still present in the market.
Funding
Slightly positive.
Liquidity
Above: internal high 581.64, 1H SWH 586.34, 4H SWH 593.83
Below: 4h OB 569.18, 4h SWL 562.52
🔹 Expected Order Flow
OI decreases during the down-move, showing that most of the current selling pressure comes from closing Long positions rather than opening new Shorts.
Meanwhile, the OI accumulated earlier in the up-move has not been fully unwound, so the current 4H Order Block is very likely to determine whether buyers can still hold the structure or sellers will regain control.
🔸 Scenario 1 - Failed pullback, seller continues to control
If a pullback to the 1H OB occurs with decreasing Volume and OI, and then a bearish displacement appears on 15m together with expanding Volume,
⇒ confirmation that the seller is still controlling the market
⇒ SHORT following Plan A
🔸 Scenario 2 - no deep pullback, but instead continues down to the 4h OB
If price continues to fall into the 4h order block and sweeps liquidity below the nearest bottom area, then absorption appears, followed by bullish displacement with Volume and expanding OI,
⇒ buyer confirms absorption is complete.
⇒ LONG following Plan B.
🔹 Execution Plans
🔸 Plan A: Sell Pullback into Supply
Setup: Pullback Continuation
Trigger: 15m displacement down
Entry: 15m
Aggressive: After displacement candle (market order)
Conservative: Limit at 50% displacement or FVG
Stop loss: above 15m SWH
Target:
TP1: 1H VAL 573.91
TP2: 1H SWL 570.61
TP3: runner down to 4h SWL 562.52
Cancel: 1H closes strongly above the 1H OB with large volume and expanding OI.
🔸 Plan B: Buy Reversal at Demand
Setup: Liquidity Sweep Reversal
Trigger: 15m displacement up
Entry:
Aggressive: After displacement candle (market order)
Conservative: Limit at 50% displacement or FVG
Stop loss: below 15m SWL
Target:
TP1: 1H POC 577.54
TP2: 4h POC 580.98
TP3: 1H SWH 586.34
Cancel:
1H closes strongly below 4h OB
⚠️ Not Financial Advice, DYOR!