01

Carnival is a collective illusion.

The swamp is the truth of reality.

I am Yuchen.

The New Year's fireworks in Kuala Lumpur have finished, and the air is filled with the smell of sulfur.

This is the emptiness after the carnival.

I know you are all waiting for the great bull market of 2026.

You can't wait to sell your house today and dive in with all your funds.

But as someone watching coldly from the Petronas Towers, I must cool you down.

January (the lunar December) is 'Jichou month'.

In Qimen divination, Chou soil is 'wet soil' and also 'treasure house'.

Wet soil dark fire: The big fire of 2026 has not yet started, but it has been covered by this wet mud. This means that market sentiment will be extremely suppressed, sticky, and even nauseating.

Gold stored: Funds (gold) are hiding in the vaults to survive winter. This means liquidity is drying up, and big players are sleeping.

There won't be a major market move this month—only a 'big grinding mill'.

It's designed to wear down those who are eager for quick gains, right before dawn.

02

Bitcoin (BTC):

$88,000 is not the bottom—it's a 'bait'.

【Quantitative Perspective】

Our tracking system shows that retail long positions are extremely dense right now.

Everyone thinks 'new year, new atmosphere', and all are betting on a strong opening.

This is the most typical mistaken consensus of the 'mob mentality'.

【院长判词】

Earth produces metal, but also buries it.

BTC is likely to form a 'door-shaped pattern + gradual decline' this month.

First half of the month: There will be a deceptive bullish rebound, making you think the bull market has arrived.

Second half of the month (before Spring Festival): As domestic funds are drained for the New Year (due to cash withdrawal demand), a 'golden pit' will appear.

Operation instructions:

$88,000 - $90,000: This is where retail investors are densely concentrated—don't join the crowd.

$78,000 - $82,000: If you see this range (the golden pit), it's like a red envelope from heaven sent to you during the Ji Chou month. Take it in batches—don't hesitate.

03

Ethereum (ETH):

A rotten log in the mud cannot sprout.

【Esoteric Perspective】

ETH belongs to wood (Yi wood/wind).

Think about it: a small plant (Yi wood) planted in cold, rotten mud (Ji Chou wet earth) during winter.

Can it grow?

It will only rot from the roots.

【院长判词】

Too much water makes wood float; too much earth breaks wood.

Ethereum will remain 'a hopeless child' in January.

The ETH/BTC exchange rate will continue to grind lower, possibly making new lows.

Don't chase the bottom just because it looks cheap—cheap things are often worth exactly what they cost.

When should you buy?

Wait until February 4th, Lichun.

After Lichun enters the 'Geng Yin month'. The Yin wood has strong roots—spring has arrived, and only then can wood survive.

Now? Let it rot in the mud for a while.

04

January survival rules

Dedicated to comrades in the 'one-person fund'.

If you want to win this month, you only need to do two things:

First: Control your hands (cultivate your mind)

In the Ji Chou month, frequent trading is the worst thing to do.

The faster you struggle in the mud, the deeper you sink.

Uninstall your trading software, spend time with your family, buy some New Year goods, or come to Kuala Lumpur to have tea with me.

Second: Prepare your ammunition (geographical advantage)

Don't go all-in; keep 30%-50% of USDT in reserve.

That 'golden pit' will definitely come. It might be triggered by some negative news, or by the year-end withdrawal rush.

When everyone in the group is crying and cursing, that's when you should pull the trigger.

2026 is a fire year, but before ignition, the furnace must first be cleaned.

Don't fall while cleaning up.

— Yuchen

2026.01.01 in Kuala Lumpur#加密市场观察 #比特币行情走势分析 #以太坊 $BTC $ETH