Tonight 20:30, the U.S. June CPI data will be released.
Market expectations:
YoY CPI: 4.2% Core CPI YoY: 2.9%
CPI will directly affect: Fed rate-cut expectations, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and capital flows into the crypto market
Below expectations:
Inflation cools → rate-cut expectations rise → bullish for BTC/ETH
Strategy: wait for a pullback to go long.
Above expectations:
Inflation heats up → rate cuts delayed → risk assets under pressure
Strategy: short at resistance after a rebound.
In line with expectations:
It’s likely to first range and shake out positions, then pick a direction.
Strategy: wait for a 15-minute trend confirmation.
Data can cause wild market swings—avoid chasing or selling immediately.
Trading principle: don’t guess the data; wait for the market to show the direction.
#cpi
Market expectations:
YoY CPI: 4.2% Core CPI YoY: 2.9%
CPI will directly affect: Fed rate-cut expectations, the strength of the U.S. dollar, and capital flows into the crypto market
Below expectations:
Inflation cools → rate-cut expectations rise → bullish for BTC/ETH
Strategy: wait for a pullback to go long.
Above expectations:
Inflation heats up → rate cuts delayed → risk assets under pressure
Strategy: short at resistance after a rebound.
In line with expectations:
It’s likely to first range and shake out positions, then pick a direction.
Strategy: wait for a 15-minute trend confirmation.
Data can cause wild market swings—avoid chasing or selling immediately.
Trading principle: don’t guess the data; wait for the market to show the direction.
#cpi
