This morning, Trump once again directed his criticism at the Federal Reserve. In a public speech, he went all out, calling a fool within the Fed and stating that he is considering suing Powell for incompetence.

A more direct signal is that he explicitly mentioned:

"I would love to fire Powell... I might announce Powell's successor in January. There is still plenty of time."

Although it carries his usual bombastic style, the information conveyed may suggest 👇

Leadership change may be imminent
Trump has previously hinted at replacing the Fed chair, pointing to January as the timeframe. If a change occurs, the monetary policy path for 2026 may face reconstruction.

Interest rate cut expectations may be reinforced
Trump has consistently advocated for significant rate cuts. If the chair he appoints holds a similar stance, market expectations for easing next year may further intensify.

Fed independence again under pressure
Publicly threatening to sue and fire the central bank governor is undoubtedly another pressure on the Fed's independence, which may affect the dollar's credibility and market stability expectations.

However, from the data of public opinion polls of American political figures, old Powell is relatively the most trusted and has the most support among several parties...
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