📊 Trump Ends Iran MoU — BTC Under Pressure Again

Geopolitics is back in the driver's seat.

🔥 What happened:
President Trump declared the US-Iran ceasefire/MoU "is over" — killing the fragile Islamabad framework signed just weeks ago (June 17). Both sides say talks will continue, but the diplomatic scaffolding is gone.

📉 Market reaction:
- Oil jumped as Strait of Hormuz supply fears returned
- The dollar strengthened — a headwind for BTC and other USD-denominated risk assets
- $BTC slipped back toward the low-$60Ks after failing to hold recent highs, extending its high-beta "risk asset" behavior rather than acting like a safe haven

🧭 What to watch:
- Whether the "technical talks" produce any replacement framework
- Oil price action near the Strait of Hormuz — sustained disruption there tends to ripple across every asset class, crypto included
- BTC's rolling correlation with the S&P 500 — right now it's trading like tech, not gold

Bottom line: this isn't a crypto-specific shock, it's a macro/geopolitical one flowing through crypto. Keep position sizes sane until there's clarity on the Iran situation.

⚠️ Not financial advice — DYOR.

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