Technical and volume analysis of BLUR/USDT (for 4 hours)

1. Cash Flow Analysis (Data for 4 hours)

Order distribution indicators over the last 4 hours provide a clear understanding of the current microtrend:

Overall balance of power: A net capital inflow of +2.13 million BLUR has been recorded (total buy volume was 5.80 million versus 3.67 million in sales). The market is locally in the hands of buyers.

Whale behavior (Large orders): Net inflow was +464,109 BLUR with zero sales (0.00). Large players completely removed sell-side pressure from the order book, allowing the price to move up.

Retail behavior (Small orders): The main driver behind the current uptrend is retail traders. Their net inflow was +1.47M BLUR (about 70% of the total inflows).

2. Technical markers and levels

Current market indicators show that the coin has worked off a local impulse, but it has hit important technical boundaries:

Resistance zone: The price is in the $0.01571 – $0.01574 area, effectively testing the upper Bollinger band ($0.01572).

Overbought factor: The RSI index reached 69.77. The coin has moved very close to the overbought zone (above 70), which on the hourly and four-hour charts often signals cooling of the impulse.

Nearest support zones: If the retail market locks in profits, the price will likely be caught at the $0.01560 (EMA7) and $0.01556 (the middle Bollinger band) levels.

3. Movement scenarios for the next 4 hours

Main scenario (Local pullback / Consolidation): Since the crowd (retail) provided the fuel for the rise, and the price is squeezed below the key Bollinger resistance with a high RSI, the most likely outcome is a technical rebound downward or a sideways move. Testing the $0.01560 – $0.01556 levels is expected to relieve the indicators. If the supports hold, it will form a good base for a new wave.

Alternative scenario (Breakout upward): To continue a steady rise without a pullback above $0.01575, the current retail activity won’t be enough. A full inflow of buy volume from “medium” and “large” orders is needed—orders that will begin aggressively clearing the sell limits.

Trade summary

The current 4-hour structure looks locally strong but technically overheated. Buying “straight into” the upper Bollinger band is risky. A safer approach is either to wait for the price to consolidate above the $0.01575 level, or to catch a local pullback around $0.01556 with a stop placed below the lower support boundary.