Recent operations mainly focus on gradually reducing the short position #zec . In the third wave, we will close the short at $ZEC and, combining with the still-open portion, realize a profit of 76000U. #hype and DEXE price action are relatively holding up and rebounding; for now, we keep the current positions unchanged. If Sandisk and Micron continue to rebound upward in the later period, we will continue to set up short positions. The AI sector has entered a top-ranging consolidation zone. After such a long period of hype, in the second half of the year valuations will most likely gradually return to a more reasonable range. However, shorting the AI sector involves relatively large volatility and carries higher risk appetite requirements, so the plan is to participate only with a small position.
$BTC The weekly and daily indicators both show oversold signals. We expect that next month will first rebound to the 65000–67000 range to repair the oversold indicators, and then in the middle to late month it will turn downward again. The likely bottom in the second half of the year is expected to fall below 50,000. The depth of the decline ultimately depends on whether a black swan event erupts in the second half of the year. Only after the largest institutions互相踩踏 and all the gold appears everywhere is the good time to accumulate spot holdings. In Q3, every rebound is an opportunity to add to shorts. If next month can first rebound to above 65,000, we will buy back the ZEC short position units closed recently. If it does not rebound and continues to fall to 53,000, then we will significantly reduce the short positions we currently hold. We are not yet in the stage of accumulating coins for a bear market. For the current and short-to-mid term, the operational mindset remains mainly to short into strength.
$BTC The weekly and daily indicators both show oversold signals. We expect that next month will first rebound to the 65000–67000 range to repair the oversold indicators, and then in the middle to late month it will turn downward again. The likely bottom in the second half of the year is expected to fall below 50,000. The depth of the decline ultimately depends on whether a black swan event erupts in the second half of the year. Only after the largest institutions互相踩踏 and all the gold appears everywhere is the good time to accumulate spot holdings. In Q3, every rebound is an opportunity to add to shorts. If next month can first rebound to above 65,000, we will buy back the ZEC short position units closed recently. If it does not rebound and continues to fall to 53,000, then we will significantly reduce the short positions we currently hold. We are not yet in the stage of accumulating coins for a bear market. For the current and short-to-mid term, the operational mindset remains mainly to short into strength.
