It has been nearly a year of regular live streams. Going forward, I won’t be streaming on a fixed schedule anymore. Thanks to my friends who have supported me the whole time.
Swipe Alpha / Look at the Dog-Breaking Before You Start: If you’re already trading with a Binance wallet, not binding an invitation code means you’re paying extra fees.
After binding: - Your wallet transaction fees are cut significantly (up to 30% currently) - Alpha, new coins, and on-chain transactions all use the same system - Takes just 10 seconds; it won’t affect your existing account
Manually enter the invitation code: SSSYYY Path: In the Binance app, tap “Wallet” at the top-right → “Invite Friends” → “Enter invitation code: SSSYYY”
Note 3 small things: 1. If you’ve bound someone else’s code, you usually can’t change it again—check first whether you have an inviter 2. Binding doesn’t mean you’ll automatically make money; it only helps you pay less 3. Before going offline every day, I’ll demonstrate it in my livestream—if you don’t get it, just watch the livestream
This isn’t project promotion; it’s my own way of saving on fees that I use.
$BTC is still hovering around 86,000, and it just can’t break through 87,000! Since late September, this is the third time it’s been pushed back. Right now, it’s trading around 86,200.
Last year’s National Day holiday was the perfect time to sell BTC near the top—and it was also when the first Chinese meme coin, Binance Life, was born.
On this day a year ago, BTC had just touched a high of 126,000. Since then, it’s pulled back by almost 30%. If you missed out with a large position, so be it. Dollar-cost averaging with a tiny position is meant to get you through choppy markets like this. There’s no need to worry about whether it can hold above 87k today—just buy and don’t keep checking the price.
For now, support below is still holding, while resistance above hasn’t been broken. So stay patient and wait quietly ⌛️.
$BTC is hovering around 86,000. Yesterday it surged to 87,000, but was pushed back down and still failed to break through. ETH: 2,720.
Nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29,000, and the unemployment rate was 4.2%, largely cooling market expectations of a rate hike in October. The dollar closed slightly lower at 101.94. The 10-year Treasury yield fell before rebounding to close at 5.283%, without following the weakening trend in the jobs report. WTI fell to 90.33, while Brent remained at 101.83.
The G7 plans to release up to 100 million barrels of crude oil and diesel over four months. Trump said there would be no ban on diesel exports. Iran responded to the U.S., saying that discussions related to the Strait of Hormuz are the priority at this stage. OPEC+ confirmed that November quotas will remain unchanged. Hammack believes the jobs report is in line with recent employment trends and that policymakers can afford to wait and see; Logan continues to insist on at least another 50 basis points. One side is releasing reserves to push oil prices down, while the question of rate hikes has yet to be fully settled.
BTC needs to hold above 87,200 for the outlook for further gains to look promising. ETH is range-bound between 2,650 and 2,800. The estimated probability of a rate hike in October is now just 22%, while the 10-year Treasury yield is holding around 5.25%. Key dates: Wednesday’s Fed minutes; CPI on the 14th.
The 87,200 level is crucial. Near-term support is at 83,000; if that breaks, the next level to watch is 81,000. Treasury yields have not fallen significantly, so the jobs report alone is not enough to justify turning bullish.
⚠️ Note: This does not constitute investment advice.
$BTC 86200, prices have been rising slowly over the weekend, but volume is insufficient. ETH has corrected to 2710. The previous high at 87200 still hasn’t been held.
The non-farm payroll data was weak; the odds of a rate hike for October have fallen to 20%. The OPEC+ meeting has concluded: oil output will remain unchanged in November. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, and the oil price premium is still there.
Resistance: 87200. Support: 83000. If it breaks, look for 81000. Focus on oil and U.S. Treasuries; in a low-volume market, don’t chase rallies.
10.4 Morning Quick Report|📝Weekend Continues to Polish
$BTC 84800 The NFP surge hit 87200 last night, then gave back around $ETH 2700. The volume is just a fraction of a workday—if it just goes sideways, you can’t call it holding firm.
The NFP only added 29k, with the unemployment rate at 4.2%. The probability of a rate hike in October has dropped to around two-tenths. The 10-year yield fell from 5.34 back to around 5.15. The explosion on Geshim Island is still just rumor—no official confirmation. Today OPEC+ is meeting; the market expects November production to stay unchanged.
87200 was the needle tip on Friday. Still, it’s defending 83000—break that and watch for 81000. During the National Day holiday + weekend there isn’t much volume, so we’ll wait for the results of Monday’s meeting.
The Fed’s October rate hike probability drops to 17% Everyone’s started shouting “liquidity is coming” again 😂 But don’t you think we’re the ones here in crypto providing liquidity? I haven’t bottom-fished BTC yet—still waiting, still “ing”~ I really can hold out 😓 DCA continues. The market news changes in an instant, so I can only keep DCA as the unchanged response to every changing situation (actually, this is just the last forced smile of the ones who missed out 😬)
$BTC is now around 84,500. After last night’s Non-Farm Payrolls data came out, it briefly surged to 87,200, but this morning it fell back to around 84,500. Also around $ETH 2600.
On the macro front: the U.S. dollar is above 102, hitting the highest level in a year since April last year. The U.S. military is sending a third aircraft carrier to the Middle East, potentially adding up to 10,000 troops. Trump stated that if Iran does not sign an agreement, it has no way out. Brent crude is at 101.5; the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has peaked at 5.34, the highest level since 2002, closing at 5.25.
In the September Non-Farm Payrolls, the increase was only 29,000—far below expectations of 90,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and the data for the prior two months was revised down. Treasury yields have eased to 5.15, and market expectations for an October rate hike have been cut directly to about 20%. Employment data is weaker, but with troop build-up in the Middle East and oil prices staying elevated, the pressure on long-duration bonds has not been fully removed.
87,000 is the strong resistance level for this week. Support is around 83,000; if it breaks below, the next target is 81,000.
Risk warning: This content is for market recap only and does not constitute investment advice
Six major martial arts sects won’t besiege Guangmingding! Now they’re going to besiege Chongqing instead?
Where can going out for fun be as comfy as staying at home? 😌
I didn’t buy Bitcoin during the day. I was waiting for the 8:30 PM Non-Farm Payrolls data—turns out it surged right after that. It’s not that you can’t afford to buy 85,000 in the afternoon, it’s that buying 87,000 at night has even less value for money 😅
Right now, $BTC is hovering around 84,500. Will the PCE come and break higher just like a fake breakout to surge to 85,650? It’s like riding an elevator—straight up and straight down. $ETH 2690. Don’t get fooled by this kind of pulse-like market.
On the macro front: the US dollar has surged to 102, hitting a new four-month high. The situation in the Middle East continues to heat up: the U.S. has dispatched its third aircraft carrier and plans to add more troops, and Brent crude has reclaimed 100. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has touched 5.3, and the pressure on the long end hasn’t eased at all.
Even though the PCE data came in below expectations and reduced the rate-hike odds for October to a little over 30%, long-bond yields are still quite firm—so you can’t get overly optimistic.
Tonight at 20:30, you can重点关注(focus on)the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). If the data is on the hot side, the market will keep pricing in a December rate hike. If the data weakens, BTC may finally get a chance to test above 85,000.
Looking at the chart simply: the 84,500 level is a hurdle that’s hard to get through this week. Support lies at 83,000; if that breaks, the target is 81,000. Don’t make rash trades before the NFP result comes out.
If AI comes out and SI is out, then it should drop into 💩, right? I’m down more than $8,000—$AI has dropped to half, and it looks like it can’t stop falling, so I have to rotate into $PONS.
The hero keeps doing a 100U定投 into $BTC , Day 48. Buy price: $83,754.01, buy quantity: 0.00119
$BTC is currently around 83,700. After last night’s PCE data came out and it shot straight up to 85,650, unfortunately the move only lasted for about 4 hours—everything was quickly given back. In the Asian session, price has been ranging roughly between 83,500–84,500; $ETH 2680.
The good news only pushed the price with a single spike—don’t treat it as a valid breakout.
News: Williams said there could be another rate hike this year, but no need to rush. The U.S. plans to release 40 million barrels of SPR to rein in prices. The U.S.-Iran negotiations are still stuck; Iran and other parties continue to respond to the U.S.’s Hormuz proposal. In China: starting Oct 1, mortgage interest subsidies begin; PSL is cut by 25bp.
August PCE came in below expectations: headline 3.4% (vs. 3.7% expected), core 3.0% (vs. 3.3% expected). The probability of a rate hike in October dropped immediately from 70% to 35%. Goldman Sachs pushed its rate-hike expectations back to December. Short-end yields fell, but long-dated Treasuries remained resilient—oil didn’t drop much. The Strait agreement still hasn’t been finalized.
Market: Shorts got squeezed hard, but longs couldn’t hold their profits either. 85,600 is the strong resistance in this move. Support: if 83,000 breaks, then look for 81,000. Liquidity is thin during the National Day holiday—when facing this kind of spike-and-reversal action, don’t blindly chase trades.
⚠️This is only a market recap and does not constitute investment advice.
September 30, Binance Alpha 30-day new token trading competition
DGAI, current price 0.9512, about 9.4 million in 24-hour volume, down 6 points, FDV 950 million. Limit orders成交led 1.03 billion in one day yesterday; today so far成交led 21.83 million.
XDP, 24-hour volume 204 million, up 6.5%, current price 0.0233, FDV 230 million. 7 days left in the trading competition.
4Stock, current price 0.00862, 24-hour volume 1.53 million, down nearly 10 points, FDV 8.62 million.
CNPY 0.3334, volume 21.6 million, down 7.7%, FDV 186 million.
GSTOCK, down -18.63%, current price 0.0199, volume 4.49 million, FDV 19.64 million.
TAC has a contract, current price 0.00153, slightly up 1.26%, volume 1.05 million, FDV 15.51 million.
BREW down 17%, 0.00791, volume 1.2 million, FDV 7.91 million.
FLORK, up +16.58%, current price 0.00715, volume 0.55 million, FDV 7.15 million, 2 days left.
CP only traded 76,000 in 24 hours, up slightly 0.56%, current price 0.0128, FDV 64.24 million.
NES 0.1630, volume 360,000, FDV 167 million.
Scan #ALPHA / Before punching in, take a look to see whether there is a linked wallet invitation code. After binding the code, the wallet trading fee can be reduced by 30% directly. - Alpha, new coins, and on-chain trading go through the same system - Takes just 10 seconds; it won’t affect your existing account Manually enter the invitation code: SSSYYY Path: Binance App → top-right “Wallet” → “Invite Friends” → “Enter invitation code: SSSYYY”
BTC around 83,600; Tuesday low 82,800; ETH 2,680. The rally from that 80,000+ move has basically been given back; for now, it’s ranging around 83,000.
Macro: Williams said another rate hike could be in the cards later this year, but it’s not urgent. U.S.-Iran talks are at a stalemate. The U.S. plans to release 40 million barrels of SPR to pressure oil prices. Gold plunged nearly 4% on Monday. The 10-year Treasury yield spiked to 5.27%, then pulled back on Tuesday following the remarks.
Tonight 20:30 PCE: If the data is hot, rate-hike expectations strengthen; if it cools, the market may have a chance to break and hold above 84,000. There’s no substantive agreement between the U.S. and Iran yet, so the geopolitical premium remains.
ETFs continue to see net inflows, but interest rates are weighing on the price action. 83,000 is a key support; if it breaks, watch for 81,000. Don’t go heavy on positions until after the PCE prints.