Globally, we're currently digging around the levels of late 2023 to early 2024, where the last local rally kicked off. This is a strong historical demand zone, but it's too early to celebrate. There's regulatory pressure from above, tight monetary policy from the Fed, and liquidity is flowing into stablecoins due to geopolitical tensions.
Current $176B is the first point for careful accumulation, but strictly with limit orders and no overexcitement.
The main block for mid-term accumulation is the $140B – $150B range. If geopolitics or a dip in Bitcoin below 60k triggers panic, altcoins will shoot down there in one squeeze. On the 5-year candlestick chart, this is a powerful historical mirror support. That's where, in this range, we need to set our main limit orders to add to our position.
If panic spirals out of control and the $140B – $150B block doesn't hold, we could see a total capitulation scenario. On the 5-year chart below, there's a void all the way down to the $110B – $120B zone — these are the lowest lows of the prolonged bear market of 2022–2023.
The index will be driven there if Bitcoin flies down to test $52k–$54k. At that point, altcoins will stack up another 2-3 times from current levels. There, altcoins will have to be scooped up with all remaining fiat, and from there, a V-shaped bounce will begin.
Current $176B is the first point for careful accumulation, but strictly with limit orders and no overexcitement.
The main block for mid-term accumulation is the $140B – $150B range. If geopolitics or a dip in Bitcoin below 60k triggers panic, altcoins will shoot down there in one squeeze. On the 5-year candlestick chart, this is a powerful historical mirror support. That's where, in this range, we need to set our main limit orders to add to our position.
If panic spirals out of control and the $140B – $150B block doesn't hold, we could see a total capitulation scenario. On the 5-year chart below, there's a void all the way down to the $110B – $120B zone — these are the lowest lows of the prolonged bear market of 2022–2023.
The index will be driven there if Bitcoin flies down to test $52k–$54k. At that point, altcoins will stack up another 2-3 times from current levels. There, altcoins will have to be scooped up with all remaining fiat, and from there, a V-shaped bounce will begin.
