#美联储利率决议即将公布 Been busy catching the World Cup lately, of course just a little gamble for fun, totally forgot to keep an eye on the Fed meeting. So tonight! Is it show time for #沃什首秀 ? Are we going for a big move? Honestly, I'm not too sure.
Let me share my thoughts. There's a prediction that tonight Waller won't submit his SEP dot plot forecast. If he actually does that, we might see a quick dump! The market loves certainty, and such a high level of uncertainty will definitely cause a nosedive first, then we wait for his speech. I think he won't proactively mention tapering; Waller is likely still leaning towards rate cuts or holding steady. This should lead the market to rebound or stabilize, but once the speech is over, the market will still worry about the uncertainty in Waller's policies or the risks of rising inflation and increasing unemployment, which could continue to drive prices down. If that's the case, it's not a true hawkish stance but rather a drop due to uncertainty. Then, my fellow traders, our opportunity to stack up comes! Let’s go all in!
This viewpoint is just for entertainment, just like my bets on the World Cup, it's all about relaxing a bit!
Mid-term bullish, short-term bearish, keeping my positions manageable without adjustments!